Lux Aeterna ll

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  1. Manny Machado 2018 Outlook

    Up to 65 RBI’s to along with 48 runs on a bad Orioles team. Wouldn’t be surprised to seem get up to a combined 210+ if he could just get off that squad.
  2. Brian Dozier 2018 Outlook

    Goes 2/6 with a homerun, two runs scored, and 5 RBI’s in the final game before the break. This dude’s ended the 1st half on one hell of a tear.
  3. Ian Happ 2018 Outlook

    I play in an OPS league as well, so when I saw him sitting on waivers, I decided to take a flier and see what he can do in the second half. With him, it looks kinda like a good news/bad news situation. The good news is that he's been much better over his last month and a half than he was to begin the year. Namely, since June 1, he has a .282 AVG to go along with a .413 OBP (which has been bolstered by a 18.3 walk rate), good for a WRC+ of 125. Also, his strikeout rate has been a "better" 31%, down from an unsightly 39.6% he posted through the end of May. So he's certainly been improving as the season has wore on. The bad news, to CAT's point, is that the counting stats haven't been there at any point in the season. Even during his increased success, he's only hit 3 HR's (slugging .408 since June 1), scored 17 runs, and driven in 8. That's largely to do with him hitting so low in the lineup, a situation that won't be easily remedied. My hope is that he'll be able to find a more consistent power stroke moving forward, which will convince Maddon to move him up a few spots in the lineup. That would solve many of his fantasy problems, but won't be an easy fix given his strikeout issues. I believe he can do it, and am taking my chances with him, but it's easy to see why so many have been discouraged with his output thus far.
  4. Rotoworld Summer H2H Mock Draft

    I’d like to participate in the next available mock, should there be room.
  5. 2018 NBA Offseason and Free Agency Thread

    Love the Jabari Parker signing by Chicago. Think it’s almost a perfectly executed deal: big money, but limited commitment (1 + 1 team option) for a young talent with [pretty serious] injury concerns. If he can stay healthy, he’ll likely be another building block the Bulls can use to strengthen their promising core. If he just can’t find a way to stay on the court, the Bulls can decline the team option, no harm no foul. If their young guys can stay healthy, Chicago looks like it’ll be a really fun team to watch at a minimum this year.
  6. Zack Godley 2018 Outlook

    I think he’ll continue to improve, and I’m willing to take my chances with him. The key between him being an okay and good option will be his control. He’s got a 4.53 BB/9 so far this year and a 1.53 WHIP. Those have got to come down. Hopefully he can make some sort of adjustment during the break.
  7. Trae Young 2018-2019 Season Outlook

    I personally wouldn’t draft him before round 10 because of efficiency question marks, but I like his long term outlook. He’s got unlimited range and a very good passer. I think he’ll grow stronger/more athletic as he gets older, making his life easier than it’ll be starting out. I will also say that I’d be incredibly surprised if Young doesn’t see 25+ minutes per game over the course of this season. The Hawks don’t have the intention or talent to compete, which means they’ll have to find some way to gets fans in the seats. Young brings the hype and energy the Hawks can sell, which to me says he’ll be seeing some major minutes early, regardless of Lin and what they do with Schroeder (who doesn’t want to be in Atlanta, and who the Hawks have no intention of keeping).
  8. 2018 NBA Offseason and Free Agency Thread

    Yeah, brutal turn for IT.
  9. 2018 NBA Offseason and Free Agency Thread

    That’s all very fair and makes sense. You’re right about next offseason; not certain the Bulls FO are wanting to rush things too much. It may hurt down the line, if he doesn’t evolve his game a bit, but Lavine could have proved himself by then. As for Smart, I agree he’s got a low offensive floor, but I think he could have easily been had for 4/52 while guaranteeing you a grinder/gamer. But again, I’m very optimistic of Dunn and the trajectory of this team, and that’s exactly where flexibility becomes important. If I’m a GM, I want to have the ability to sign whomever maximizes my chances of success, regardless of what position they play, whether they’re a vet, etc. Having an extra 20 Mil to spend on others does that. To use the Blazers as an example, how much better could they have been if they’d decided not to sign Evan Turner when they had all that space? Lavine is a better player than Turner was, and his deal isn’t nearly as bad, but the point remains: be careful how you spend your money when you have space. It disappears fast, and can hamstring you at the least opportune times. But it’s all academic at this point. He hasn’t played a minute under this deal, and we haven’t seen how he’ll recover/improve a year removed from his injury. To your point, he’s not the worst guy to give this money to (I.e. Turner, Mozgov, Biyambi, etc.). We’ll see how it all turns out. Worst case, he’s an electric above the rim scorer with range. That’s not so bad.
  10. 2018 NBA Offseason and Free Agency Thread

    Yes, I do. I think they could do better with the 20 million, regardless of how much cap space they have. I’m a big believer in flexibility, and am not a fan of just throwing 20 mil at guys because it apparently “doesn’t matter.” This isn’t DJ’s deal in Dallas, where he got way too much money, but for one year (which would have been great in this case, imo: give Lavine the chance to prove himself without locking in Chicago long term). Y’all are looking at 4 years. It could work out great, or it could burn you. At the price the Kings offered, I’m letting the Kings roll the dice. I’d rather have the ability to take additional shots at guys just as young without the flaws/question marks. I agree with your sentiment that it’s not the end of the world, but disagree that this somehow has no ramifications because of the cap space you have at the moment.
  11. 2018 NBA Offseason and Free Agency Thread

    I don’t think you’re giving your Bulls enough credit. You don’t suffer the same draw problems as the Magic, or even my Pacers. Chicago has absolutely been in the running for key FA’s in the past, and will be prime real estate if/when Dunn takes the next step, especially given how many other young talented players y’all have. That’s doubly true when they have $$$ to spend. You’re right about this season: Bulls had no inclination to sign a free agent or compete. That’s cool. But that doesn’t mean they had to pay Lavine that money over four years. It absolutely hurts your flexibility starting next year, when guys like Demarcus Cousins, Klay Thompson, Kemba Walker, and any number of different studs could be available through either options or RFA (Rozier, Irving, etc.). Could you have signed all of them? No. But I’d rather take my chances on someone other than LaVine. A shot at Marcus Smart, for example, who would’ve signed for far less over the same time and still fit the trajectory of your team. I’m not a Bulls fan. You are, and seem like you’re happy with the deal, so great. You got your boy. But I don’t physically understand how you could see next years free agent class and say Lavine was the best and only bet, especially given his injury history and defensive indifference.
  12. 2018 NBA Offseason and Free Agency Thread

    I’m glad you’re okay with it, given you’re a fan of the team. If, as you say, the Bulls have no interest in competing in the next few years, then you’re right: why not take the chance? It’d be great if he develops, and if he doesn’t.... what’s it matter? The playoffs weren’t a priority anyway. Given the injury he’s coming off from and even the player he was before it, I don’t see him living up to the contract, but who knows. He certainly could. As for Dunn, I guess I value what he brings much differently than you. He’s hard working and (as you pointed out) a bull dog on defense. He’s also shown the willingness/ability to improve his shot, as demonstrated in his lines from year 1 to year 2. Given his excellence on defense and playmaking abilities, if he were to improve his FG% up to around 44% and 3P% to 35%+, his value wouldn’t be all too different from my Pacer’s Victor Oladipo. I think he’ll be able to achieve that in the next couple seasons, and flourish in this league. I would be extatic to have him on my team, and can only hope Chicago decides not to pay him. Pairing him with Vic would be 🔥
  13. Karl-Anthony Towns 2018-2019 Season Outlook

    They’re really close in my book. If KD only plays ~68 games this year, you’re definitely right. I personally think he’ll play closer to 75, which is why I give him the edge, but I have Steph ranked under him for this very reason. Don’t see him playing 65+ games this year.
  14. 2018 NBA Offseason and Free Agency Thread

    That’s definitely true, he was a key piece in that trade for sure and you could definitely argue that letting a young/talented guy like him walk would be tough to swallow. But as it turned out, Kris Dunn is a stud and best part of their return. If I’m Chicago, I let Lavine take that contract and move to Sacramento, knowing my team will have the flexibility in the future to put a truly solid roster around Dunn, Lauri, and Portis while also making sure they get paid. Even taking his previous talent/upside before the injury, not sure Lavine deserved this type of money.