genya

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  1. Sam Darnold had a tale of two halves last year, where he played a lot better after returning from his foot injury suffered in week 9. His last 4 games were considerably better statistically than the first 9 he played, and it seems to be continuing into 2019. Comp% Yd/Gm TD INT 2018 - First 9 55.0% 215 11 14 2018 - Last 4 64.0% 233 6 1 2019 - 2 games 69.9% 257 3 1 In these last 6 games in 2018 and 2019 where Darnold started post foot injury, Robby Anderson has been performing to a tune of 83/1291/11 yearly pace. Robby Anderson Targets Rec Yards TD 6 games 54 31 484 4 16 game pace 144 83 1,291 11 The opponents for those 6 games were 2018 - BUF, HOU, GB, NE, 2019 - BUF, DAL. All opponents were bottom third in points allowed in their respective years, i.e. bad matchup, with the exception of the 2018 GB game. Robby Anderson's 6 game stat line above would be good for 14.65 points per game in half-PPR, which would be around WR11 overall in current standings. I think it'll be a tough pace for him to continue but there is definite ROS upside with Darnold back and his schedule as was already posted.
  2. Malcolm Brown missed 9 games over the past two years due to injuries (3 separate injuries) in a BACKUP role. I think that just cements the fact that Henderson is the one you want to hold on to.
  3. Deshaun is averaging 6.7 points more per game than the QB12 on the year (Minshew). 6.7 points is the difference between RB12 Fournette and RB35 Chris Thompson. Not really minimal.
  4. Currently WR11 in 0.5 PPR average points per game (not including DeSean Jackson's one game) and that's for an 0-5 team with 3 different QBs throwing to him and a hamstring issue. He also had a WR17 finish against Chicago. The only thing that scares me going forward is Haskins starting and looking like Baker Mayfield out there. Otherwise locked into my lineup.
  5. If you're on the Malcolm Brown train just know that he missed 9 games over the past two years due to injuries (3 separate injuries) as a BACKUP. Make sure to grab his handcuff.
  6. I generally agree that the Rams offense is a much bigger issue, but, last year Gurley was in on 86% of snaps in games that he played (825 snaps out of 959, weeks 1-15). The 75% value probably includes snaps from games he missed. On a per game basis he is getting about 17% fewer snaps this year.
  7. Pretty amazing stat considering Fitzpatrick and Rosen combined only have 7 pass attempts from inside the 20 all season.
  8. Well for one, Albert Wilson has already put up numbers in the league, and seems to be gameplanned for since he got the ball 4 times on 9 plays that the team ran to start the year (small sample, I know). And secondly i would strongly argue that Preston Williams has chemistry with Rosen. He has 9 catches on 24 targets from Rosen in preseason and regular season games combined for a scoreless 158 yards and 37.5% catch rate. In week 3 he caught 3 passes for 37 yards from Rosen on 11! targets. I'd rather see what Wilson can do.
  9. posted this in the wrong thread, but: Albert Wilson - Miami, if he plays. He played 7 games last year before getting hurt and has on pace for 59/894/9 (with a couple huge games in there), which would be good for WR21 in half PPR over the full season. This year he played two drives against Baltimore before getting hurt and he was getting fed on those drives (4 touches on 6 snaps): Drive 1 Ryan Fitzpatrick pass incomplete short right intended for Preston Williams Ryan Fitzpatrick pass complete short right to Albert Wilson for 12 yards (tackle by Kenny Young) Kalen Ballage up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Pernell McPhee and Brandon Williams) Ryan Fitzpatrick pass deep right intended for Kenyan Drake is intercepted by Earl Thomas at BAL-39 and returned for 14 yards Drive 2 Ryan Fitzpatrick pass incomplete short right intended for Albert Wilson Ryan Fitzpatrick pass complete short left to Kalen Ballage for 13 yards (tackle by Earl Thomas)Albert Wilson up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Tony Jefferson) Kalen Ballage right end for -8 yards (tackle by Matt Judon) Ryan Fitzpatrick pass complete short left to Albert Wilson for 1 yard (tackle by Patrick Onwuasor) He's a slot receiver, short passing game option for a team that can't push the ball down the field and could have some value in PPR.
  10. Albert Wilson - Miami, if he plays. He played 7 games last year before getting hurt and has on pace for 59/894/9 (with a couple huge games in there), which would be good for WR21 in half PPR over the full season. This year he played two drives against Baltimore before getting hurt and he was getting fed on those drives (4 touches on 6 snaps): Drive 1 Ryan Fitzpatrick pass incomplete short right intended for Preston Williams Ryan Fitzpatrick pass complete short right to Albert Wilson for 12 yards (tackle by Kenny Young) Kalen Ballage up the middle for 4 yards (tackle by Pernell McPhee and Brandon Williams) Ryan Fitzpatrick pass deep right intended for Kenyan Drake is intercepted by Earl Thomas at BAL-39 and returned for 14 yards Drive 2 Ryan Fitzpatrick pass incomplete short right intended for Albert Wilson Ryan Fitzpatrick pass complete short left to Kalen Ballage for 13 yards (tackle by Earl Thomas) Albert Wilson up the middle for 1 yard (tackle by Tony Jefferson) Kalen Ballage right end for -8 yards (tackle by Matt Judon) Ryan Fitzpatrick pass complete short left to Albert Wilson for 1 yard (tackle by Patrick Onwuasor) He's a slot receiver, short passing game option for a team that can't push the ball down the field and could have some value in PPR.
  11. In the playoffs last year he also had 4 receptions for 5 yards on 7 targets, so in 6 games post knee injury that adds up to 8 receptions for 13 yards. Pre-knee injury he had 59 receptions for 580 yards last year in 14 games. It seems like the knee injury has rendered him ineffective in the passing game, or its no longer part of the gameplan. In the game tonight he seemed to really take a while to get out of the backfield to get open on pass plays.
  12. One game is not enough to draw any conclusions off of. Gurley still played 70% of snaps, he was pulled at the goal line for Henderson one time (after getting like 4 straight carries) and never pulled for Brown at the goal line. Gurley did get a carry from the 11 that the box scores dont show because it was called back by penalty. Both of Browns TDs were on drives he started and finished (although one of those started from the opp 10). I think we need to see what todays game looks like for a clearer picture.
  13. Adrian Peterson 2018 snap share: Wins: 55.9% Losses: 38.9% Losses by 10+: 31.7% Chris Thompson RB2 ROS.
  14. I don't think I'm missing it I just disagree with the premise. For a handcuff to be elite he has to have some kind of talent (i.e. "elite"). If you consider the league winning/RB1 handcuffs that worked out in the past few years: Chubb 2018 Jordan Connor 2018 Kamara 2017 Jordan Howard 2016 [5.1 YPC that year] they have one thing among them... they were/are really good. All 4 are at least starter material in those years and after. Malcolm Brown is not that. He has a career YPC of 4.1. His longest run of his career is 20 yards (Gurley had a 25 yard run last Sunday). He has 117 career touches for Sean McVay and 3 TDs to show for it, two of them this past Sunday. His best offer in the offseason from Detroit was still for a backup RB role, so none of the 32 teams obviously considered him for a starter role. The prevailing opinion seems to be that Brown would get a 90%+ snap share to warrant his elite RB1 status if Gurley goes down but I don't see why McVay would do that. The only thing supporting that is that he got 21 snaps behind Gurley in week 1, but, we don't know if McVay would want Brown to carry a full load, or if he thinks that Brown is good enough to carry a full load. I don't think McVay is just going to just hand the keys to the offense to Brown. There's another decent RB on the roster where they may split carries, or the Rams might sign or trade for a CJ Anderson like player who balls out. There have been plenty of cases over the past few years where highly valued handcuffs fell flat in their starting role (Ekeler 2018) or had to split carries (Tevin Coleman 2018), or coaches went in a different direction that what most thought (Alfred Morris/McFadden). I think this is one of those cases, hence I think that spending 20+% of FAAB with that risk is unwise. I'd much rather have Henderson for free once hes dropped this week. He might be good enough to actually carry the load.
  15. Im trying to bring some reason into this discussion where a lot of people are just buying because of the 2TDs and 17 points scored but you do you.