jvmillion83

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About jvmillion83

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  1. This. One of those guys you draft late and not worry where he is on the depth chart just like Kamara in '17. He'll be involved at some point and in a huge way. This offensive system can support two fantasy relevant RBs (considering those backs are good enough). I'd rather have this guy on my roster over some other mediocre back "who is the starter" in a much worse system.
  2. Landry, Cooper (slightly ahead of Cooks), Cooks
  3. I'm in a league where we can flex a QB but I drafted Luck in my draft before he retired. I'm having a tough time deciding which QB to pick up out of these two for my third qb to roster. (4 pts per TD, PT per 20 passing yards, pt per 10 rushing yards, 6 pts per rushing TD, -1 pt per INT, 5 pts per 350 passing yards) Jacoby Brissett- He didn't do so bad in some games when he started a few years ago. The coaching staff and supporting staff has changed. Frank Reich is one of the best coaches for QBs and I think with all their supporting cast, he can be a solid QB2. Joe Flacco- I'm a huge fan of how Denver addressed their offense this system including a huge upgrade in their coaching staff. I think Flacco can revitalize his career in Denver. He didn't have much for weapons in Baltimore since Steve Smith retired and how he's got more to work with including an OC that he worked with in Baltimore in his best years. I think he has potential to be a solid QB2.
  4. Yeah I don't think he'll top what Kamara did but this situation seems so similar to the Saints one a few years ago. Hill is that preseason guy, no matter his current role, just draft him on your roster and watch it all play out. I think this is one very late round pick that people might regret passing on His skill set fits the offense the best and this offense can make two rbs relevant.
  5. Marquise Goodwin finishes as a WR2- Was a 5th/6th rd pick at this time last year. Jimmy G's favorite WR. Justice Hill emerges close to what Kamara did in '17. Will Dissly finishes as top 10 TE- Someone needs to step up after Lockett for targets Larry Fitzgerald finishes top 20 WR- This offense will have a lot of completed passes. Zach Ertz finishes outside top 5 TE- Unlike last year, too many options for Wentz to throw to
  6. Speaking from experience, I did the same thing in an 18 round draft last year. Luckily I also took Chicago late but used the Jags week 1 and during Chicago's bye week and never used them again. I ended up dropping them before the fantasy playoffs. Someone picked them up, started them in RD 1 (the Derrick Henry game) and had an early exit.
  7. For what it's worth, turnover differential is a great metric in helping find value at defense each year. Sometimes Ds have years where the ball just bounces their way. It happens every single year. One glaring overvalued defense is Houston. They had a ratio of +5 in '15, -7 in '16, -12 in '17 but improved 25 points to +13 in '18. They faced a ton of bad QBs in '18 and their defense was completely healthy all year! This was the knock on their D the last few years before heading into last year. I'm not sure they will sustain all that luck with their health and they did lose a lot of key pieces in their secondary. They now face the NFC South and AFC West. Watson will be in many shootout games. They're not worth one of the top ten defenses off the board in my opinion. Some other ones I hate this year is Seattle. They lost the legion of boom and still had the best turnover differential in football at +15. Jarran Reed is out to start the year and they lost Frank Clark. That number is not sustainable. Cleveland is another one that jumped up 35+ points last year and while I think they're talented, the ball bounced their way a lot on D a lot of the year before the offense figured it out. They face a lot of firepower in their schedule and the Saints also face a lot of high scoring teams. (Houston, Rams, Dallas, Tampa) within their first five games. Although I'm intrigued by Carolina D, I'm staying away from the NFC South. The Rams also don't interest me as a top five pick. The Niners & Arizona have so much better offensive situations in the NFC West. I love Buffalo this year. They are my value pick to jump in the top 3 ('17 Jags, '18 Bears). Jets, Giants, Cincy, Titans, Dolphins in 5 out of their first 6 games (and the other game is vs a 42 year old QB who just lost his biggest receiving target to retirement). They got studs all over their D and play a ground and pound style with a HC who used to coach that style with Carolina. They moved down 14 last year in turnover differential due to an ineffective offense and injuries but there will be major progression. I also like the Jags to bounce back (Telvin Smith would've made this D so nasty). They had a huge playoff hangover last year and will have extra fire this year. The Bears & Chargers are the other elite defenses who have staying power in the top 5 providing they stay healthy. Other value picks I'm intrigued by. The Steelers. They go back to a balanced ground attack and will be so much better with Devin Bush and that -11 turnover differential should improve into the positive numbers. I'm also intrigued by the Broncos. That coaching staff with Vic Fangio and the assistants he brought in his miles better than Vance Joseph and that clown show. You can get Denver late and with Fangio and those defensive ends and other good pieces around that D, definitely worth a value pick. The Jets are another late value pick with an easy schedule like the Bills and now have CJ Mosely with the Williams guys up front and Adams in the backfield. I'm also intrigued by the Niners as a streamer and their front seven adding Nick Bosa and with everyone healthy seeing some improvement in that turnover differential after diving 22 points last year to -25. I think they could surprise.
  8. He's better than this but how overrated of a fantasy pitcher is this guy? He won't get many wins. He'll hurt you in losses. His era and whip have been declining for a few years now. He can barely get through the sixth inning now so he won't get many qs. He's decent in strikeouts but no longer elite in this category. I was on the train heading into this year hoping he'd get the extra benefit of being in the NL with Ray Searage but there's something here mental with him and it's now fair to question, will he ever take that next step? Have we already seen his ceiling? This reminds me of Javy Vazquez who was also an era/whip/k ratio guy earlier in his career pitching in Montreal and how everyone thought he'd take that next step with the Yankees and never got to that next level.
  9. Was kind of pumped to win this guy on waivers this morning. 28 years old and former top prospect in Texas where he had flashes of being good but never consistently put it together and missed time due to TJ surgery. I'm buying though. I've been intrigued by this situation since February. He was brought over by Thad Levine who was the former GM of the Rangers. He never really had good coaching nor been in a great pitching environment. Fast forward to Minnesota in a much better pitching park with a pitching coach who has really turned around this entire pitching staff as a whole and getting mentored by Johan Santana helps out a lot too. In addition, ditching his slider for a cutter is doing him wonders. I know beating Toronto is nothing but he was excellent vs Houston and has been absolutely killing it in the last month.
  10. Another bomb tonight. Anyone else think this guy resembles Jason Giambi?
  11. This Wildcard slate reminds me of three years ago where all four road teams won. These are pretty tough to predict: Houston 34, Indy 31- Watson's pass protection will get exposed but not in this game. I'm expecting playoff Watson and Luck to show up in this one in a classic. The Texans have a history of playing this early Saturday game and generally play well. Seattle 16 Cowboys 13- Russell Wilson doesn't lose on Wildcard weekend. These two teams are pretty even. This one is close but Seattle is the better coached team with the more clutch QB. Chargers 21 Ravens 9- They played a few weeks ago so the Chargers had time to make adjustments. This is the first time Jackson is seeing an opponent for the first time so he should see a new look. With his style, there's huge risks of him turning over the ball in their own territory. However I could see this going the other way where the Ravens get a lead, dominate the time of possession and win. Bears 20 Eagles 13- This Bears team is pretty special. The Eagles have played better on both sides of the ball but their magical run will come to an end.
  12. 1qb, 2 rbs, 3 wrs, 1te, k, def, 2 flexes (any position) I have first seed from the regular season. 1st seed has first pick in every round. You can only keep up to 6 playoff guys from your regular season roster. We start one lineup throughout. My current keeps: Watson, Lamar Jackson, Foles, Cooper, Chicago DEF, Tucker Other important keeps from other 3 participating teams: Brees, Mahomes, Zeke, M Gordon, Edelman With so many QBs on the board, would you consider taking Kamara 1st overall pick? Other 1st rd picks I've been considering Brady, Luck, Rivers, Wilson, Michael Thomas
  13. #1 Get your guys. I can't stress this enough. Use the popular ADP's to get an idea for the rest of the league and where to slot your guys. If one of your guys is gaining steam and you still want him, get him a few rounds earlier. Value drafting only gets you players to hold your team steady, not win your league. Start your research in May and figure out which guys in the first 3-4 rounds won't lose your league but for the rest of the draft, figure out which ones will put you over the top. I got laughed at for taking Bears D 2nd off the board the day after Mack was traded. Last year I overdrafted Wentz and Ertz. Do your research and trust your instinct on which guys will have big years. #2 Stay Active until the end. Fantasy football is a marathon, not a sprint. I just won a league where only two guys on my winning starting lineup were drafted. The rest were picked up as free agents throughout the year due to injuries. You have to be researching every angle right after your draft ends until you're eliminated. Everyone complains they have this great regular season until their team busts in the playoffs. No matter how great you think your team is, you have to be relentless on trade and waiver wire opportunities.
  14. 12 team ppr keeper yesterday's starting lineup: QB- Baker Mayfield RB- Alvin Kamara RB- Christian McCaffrey WR- Robert Foster WR- Robby Anderson WR- Adam Humphries TE- Jaylen Samuels FLEX- Dante Pettis DEF- Chicago Bench- Prescott, Josh Allen, Rashaad Penny, D'Onta Foreman, Ken Dixon, Anthony Miller, DJ Moore, Ian Thomas, Will Fuller IR- Hunter Henry My Opening week roster if everyone was healthy QB- Wentz (Played Mariota week 1 also played Dalton alot in first half), RB- Kamara, McCaffrey, WR- AJ Green, Will Fuller V, Cooper Kupp TE- Jack Doyle Flex Carlos Hyde (also drafted Carlos Hyde and Royce Freeman pretty early) This is a pretty active league and we're only allowed 50 in season moves. McCaffrey and Kamara were the engines of this squad year round but this goes to show you. You have to manage your roster week to week and keep knocking at opportunities (trades or on the waiver wire). I owe this championship to a lesson I learned last year. My team last year dominated because of LeVeon Bell, Gurley and Kamara but I drafted horribly at WR and didn't take the guys out of my lineup all year (Davante Parker, Demaryius, etc) but towards the end I had guys like Keelan Cole I'd pick up but not play. This year I learned that those WR3/WR4 waiver wire pickup guys are huge down the stretch. This one's a little sweeter though given the fight I had with injuries all year.