True, they have to go to somebody. Assuming Carr throws 30TDs is not farfetched, but does Jordy have enough left in the tank to catch even 5? As much as Amari Cooper struggled last year, he still scored 7 TDs. For me, it's a safe bet that he scores 10+ this year -- which puts him right around 30% (same as last year) of those 30 TDs. Now lets factor in Martavis Bryant, one of the best red-zone WRs in the league. This guy has scored 17 TDs on 126 receptions in his 3-year career. If he gets 50 receptions this year, it's reasonable to expect another 8 TDs. Jalen Richard/Deandre Washington accounted for 3 TD receptions last year, so lets assume they combine for 5 based on Carr's increased productivity.
Where are we so far? 23 TDs.
But wait... what about the TE? Jared Cook has been talked up quite a bit by Gruden already, and stands to have an even larger role.
Scored only twice last year despite posting a respectable 688 yards. It's safe to say he'll be in the 3-5 range this year.
Seth Roberts, Johnny Holton, might get 1 or 2.
So unless the projection is for Carr to throw 40 TDs, I don't see anything but scraps for Jordy.
For me, I'd easily much rather spend that late round flier on Emmanuel Sanders, Rex Burkhead, Edelman, Hurns, Garcon, Crowder, Robert Woods, Devante Parker or even Kelvin Benjamin -- all of which have a LOWER ADP than Jordy.