AnonymousRob

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Everything posted by AnonymousRob

  1. Boston Red Sox 2018 Outlook

    Well they've still got a real shot I guess.
  2. Boston Red Sox 2018 Outlook

    No idea why I'm wading into this argument, but yeah, it was. Hell, we all make them sometimes so it's not a big deal, but predicting any team - no matter how hot - to go 18-3 or better is silly.
  3. Buy Low/Sell High 2018

    This is one. One person's sell high is another's buy high.
  4. 4/22 - GAME DAY THREAD

    McCullers on the cusp of having a really bad day. Control is lacking.
  5. Mar/April Closer Thread 2018

    I think we might have to wait until Greene is traded, but he's definitely a good add if you have space.
  6. Buy Low/Sell High 2018

    I'd be looking to buy Yu Darvish. Normally I'm almost entirely beholden to the stats. If the peripherals don't look good, I don't want someone. I think that's mostly the right approach. But sometimes, if you want to *really* gamble on landing the most potential value, you need to take a blind leap. And I think Darvish is someone worth looking to land. Right now there's virtually nothing in his profile that looks promising. It's ugly no matter which numbers you look at. It's been a brutal start to the year. The World Series was a pretty big disaster, and I'm guessing a lot of his owners have that in the back of their mind as they fear he's going to be an epic bust. And he might be. But it's Yu Darvish. He's only 31 - I refuse to believe he's washed up. Fun note - King Felix is only 4 months older! But unlike Felix, Yu's velocity is still there. I hope he's going to turn it around, and I'm willing to back up that hope by trading for him.
  7. Dansby Swanson 2018 Outlook

    I'm not seeing anything in the peripherals that indicate he's a different player. This screams fluke hot streak to me. Sure, babip cam be a flawed stat but even the numbers behind it look pretty comparable to last year. A 439 babip? Ehhhhh. I know stats don't always show the whole picture, so somebody who's watched him tell me why he's a different guy this year. Right now I'd be dumping him for whatever I could.
  8. Drew Pomeranz 2018 Outlook

    I don't know the numbers so could be skewed by my memory, but they seem fairly normal on that front. Aggressive when needed but nothing major either way.
  9. 4/20 - GAME DAY THREAD

    Samardzija looked great before tiring in the fifth and walking everyone. It's a Christmas miracle he surrendered zero runs. Upton BARELY missed a grand slam. So, so close.
  10. Mar/April Closer Thread 2018

    He's been quietly terrible.
  11. Ozzie Albies 2018 Outlook

    Yes, depending what you get. Same as before.
  12. DJ LeMahieu 2018 Outlook

    The latest sleeper and the bust podcast has a lot of love for this guy and mention him as a buy high.
  13. Mar/April Closer Thread 2018

    How many pitchers have had this problem at all, regardless of whether it derailed their career? I'm extremely skeptical Melancon ever comes back, let alone comes back and is effective, but I have no idea what kind of sample size we're dealing with in regard to the injury itself.
  14. Ozzie Albies 2018 Outlook

    You're confusing dump him with sell high. There's a difference.
  15. Drew Pomeranz 2018 Outlook

    They're a top 5 offense. They were expected to be on the cusp of a top ten offense. They were a top ten offense the last couple months of 2016 once the young kids came up as well. Their pitching is awful. Not their offense.
  16. Ozzie Albies 2018 Outlook

    If we've reached the point of putting him in the Trout stud territory, that's a clear sign to explore your offers. He's in no way a guy you need to get off your team before his value craters. He's going to be great this year. I would rather have Dj LeMahieu over Ozzie and Dozier too. Probably a couple other guys, but I'm not thinking of everyone. But even if you'd rather have Albies that's fine. You should still explore offers. Maybe you take someone you like a bit less, but you seriously upgrade another position.
  17. Ozzie Albies 2018 Outlook

    That's the entire concept behind 'sell high'. I don't think it's an outrageous idea to explore what he could net in a trade.
  18. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    Sure you can. I've no doubt you could sell him right now for other first basemen or some other position who were ranked slightly lower but off to good starts.
  19. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    That's a reasonable concern. Last year I got burned with Miggy waiting for the turnaround. If we hear anything about injuries I'd get scared and start backing out of my Votto shares. Beyond that, I'd probably wait at least another month before I even thought about getting really nervous. There's always a danger to waiting, but there's a reason Votto was a high draft pick. Look at his previous year threads. We go through this kind of stuff each time.
  20. Scott Kingery 2018 Outlook

    Here's a direct link to the player eligibility page. Right now Kingery has 6 at ss, 4 at 3rd, 4 at LF, 1 at RF.
  21. J.A. Happ 2018 Outlook

    ^^ I fear you're correct in he's playing free swinging teams instead of being a new pitcher. Tonycpsu made the same argument upthread. Still nice to ride him while it's going, but expect the ride to end soon enough.
  22. Joey Votto 2018 Outlook

    Apparently yes. People shouldn't be panicking over this guy and yet here we are. You shouldn't be able to get him for some ww scrub, but I'd buy if you can. In obp leagues he's arguably a top 2 guy if Freeman is hurt.
  23. 4/18 - GAMEDAY THREAD

    Eno was pretty stumped by it as well. It's a crazy stupid answer, even by the crazy stupid standards baseball can often give.
  24. Eric Thames 2018 Outlook

    Let's talk Thames. He had a legendary first month, crushing an insane 11 homers with a 345 batting average. After that...mostly a hideous display of all his flaws. But the last month of the year was very promising. Could it be due to the fact he recovered from a hamstring issue that had plagued him for awhile? Could it be due to just random flukes and variances that come in any season? Maybe he finally adjusted to pitchers after they adjusted to him? His last month of the year he had his hardest hit rate of the year - 2 points higher than his first month, at 51.2% of all pitches being hit hard. He also had his highest line drive rate of the year at 34.1%. His previous high was the month prior. The last month of the year was also his lowest number of ground balls hit, with just under 32% being worm burners. His next lowest mark? The month prior. There's no way he's going to give us a 447 babip like he did the last month, but I think it's possible there's some value here. Steamer projects him to hit 253 with a 347 obp. In 552 plat appearances, they project 28 bombs and 8 stolen bases. I think there's some possible upside here as his miserable slide into nothingness last year has left quite a few owners bitter about buying back in. Right now ESPN has him ranked as the 19th 1st baseman off the board.
  25. Rich Hill 2018 Outlook

    Ehhh, I'm sure he could try toughing it out but there really isn't any point from a real life perspective. We all knew LA was going to play games with the dl again. It's smart business to give him a few breaks throughout the year at the slightest hint of potential trouble.