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Everything posted by AnonymousRob

  1. Robert Stephenson 2018 Outlook

    He's definitely worth keeping an eye on. If he can bring in a lower walk rate I'm going to grab a seat on the bandwagon. I'm just not confident he can lower the walk rate.
  2. 20 Second Pitch Clock

    This is a really interesting angle. I wonder if steals will be going up by a noticeable degree in the next couple years? Who will adapt faster, the runners or pitchers? This definitely seems like something teams should try to exploit a bit.
  3. 2018 - League Settings - General Discussion

    I like this guy. That's on the league for having these rules in place. He has zero reason to cut them. You should place some sort of limit, not on the time but the quantity. Or just let it ride as he works his way to every minor leaguer and tell the others to shut up. But any limit would have to be pretty large and rolled in slowly as he's clearly going for this as a deliberate strategy. And why not? Maybe one of the nobodies becomes a winning lottery ticket. It's a smart way to maximize his potential within the confines of the rules.
  4. 2018 - League Settings - General Discussion

    If there's a limit on the number of minor leaguers, I don't see why it matters who they carry. If they want to carry some schlub who isn't ever going to make it I think that's dumb, but they're working under the same limits as everyone else so I don't see why it needs to be addressed. I guess I just don't see a need for an expiration date when you have a limited number of keepers for the minor leaguers.
  5. Trevor Story 2018 Outlook

    Fangraphs is projecting him to have his best strikeout and walk rates of his ML career. Interesting to see a conservative projection system buy in on those fronts.
  6. Tim Beckham 2018 Outlook

    It was really just fueled by an insane month of August. July he hit 160. August he hit 394. September/October he hit 180. I'm definitely willing to throw a flier at this guy but I'm not really interested in drafting him at any real cost.
  7. Yasiel Puig 2018 Outlook

    I'm starting to think Puig is going to be on my list of must haves. I think he's a virtual lock for 25+ homers and 10+ steals, and a 270 average/340 obp. I think he's going to give you pretty comparable stats to a Justin Upton (on a per plate appearance), but right now Puig is going outside the top 30. This is assuming he makes zero progress or doesn't have a lucky year. Where's the love? He's a showboating tool, but a damned talented one. Threats of benching aside, what's the reason to steer clear?
  8. Eric Thames 2018 Outlook

    Let's talk Thames. He had a legendary first month, crushing an insane 11 homers with a 345 batting average. After that...mostly a hideous display of all his flaws. But the last month of the year was very promising. Could it be due to the fact he recovered from a hamstring issue that had plagued him for awhile? Could it be due to just random flukes and variances that come in any season? Maybe he finally adjusted to pitchers after they adjusted to him? His last month of the year he had his hardest hit rate of the year - 2 points higher than his first month, at 51.2% of all pitches being hit hard. He also had his highest line drive rate of the year at 34.1%. His previous high was the month prior. The last month of the year was also his lowest number of ground balls hit, with just under 32% being worm burners. His next lowest mark? The month prior. There's no way he's going to give us a 447 babip like he did the last month, but I think it's possible there's some value here. Steamer projects him to hit 253 with a 347 obp. In 552 plat appearances, they project 28 bombs and 8 stolen bases. I think there's some possible upside here as his miserable slide into nothingness last year has left quite a few owners bitter about buying back in. Right now ESPN has him ranked as the 19th 1st baseman off the board.
  9. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    I think we need to see how this ends before we rip Boras. He's going to get burned at some point. It's inevitable. But he's been in this situation before and come out with an offer at the 11th hour. I'm not going to bet against him doing it yet again with JD.
  10. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    Damn, Christian Yelich's agent is on the warpath. Says Miami's long term plan shouldn't include his client, his relationship with the Marlins is 'irretrievably broken', and said a trade within the next month is in the best interest of both sides. Link
  11. 2018 - League Settings - General Discussion

    There's a league setup thread around here that will offer great advice (and this one will get merged into it once the mods stroll through). Read through that for some more tips. Budget doesn't really matter too much (if you went too high it'd just inflate everyone's value and things would mostly stay the same just at inflated rates). In your case I'd probably go with an average of $10 per player, which would make your league have $250 budgets. ESPN and yahoo have solid enough auction setups and are free. They're probably your best bets (unless you're doing one in person or have really unusual scoring setups).
  12. Andrew McCutchen 2018 Outlook

    He's in SF now. Not quite sure what this does for his value, but I'm interested in seeing what other outfielder the Giants end up landing.
  13. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    It's not being cute and it's not unfair cherry-picking. You made an incredibly stupid comparison talking about guys who are ww fodder going for a stud in fantasy leagues and compared it to this deal. It was a laughable comment that really had zero reason to be made. The Pirates got several young players with very solid upside who will be under control numerous years. This is not a massive steal like Chicago got with Sale, but it's a good deal. You're picking the Giles deal now? It's like you're making the worst possible arguments for your point. Giles, the guy who the Astros didn't bother to have close games during the biggest games in the postseason last year? Vasquez has given his team a 2.3 WAR. Giles has given his team 3.4 WAR. If that's the end of their careers, it's not a favorable trade for Philly, but hardly the end of the world. But Velasquez should probably rebound a bit after being hurt last year and I'm willing to wager things tip back in favor of Philadelphia this year. But even without that, they still have Eshelman (started the AAA ASG last year) and Arauz, who has looked promising but still in single-A. The odds are still in favor of Houston losing this trade.
  14. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    Real life baseball and fantasy baseball are different things. To compare the two seems really, really silly.
  15. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    Why do you say this? What would make it a good offer? What makes it a bad offer? Because you don't like it? Have you ever been wrong? Do the Pirates under this regime have a history of bad moves? I mean...I'd understand laughing at a team that regularly makes really bad moves. They deserve no benefit of the doubt. I don't think the Pirates fall into this category, but an open to hearing why they do.
  16. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    I think we should see how it plays out. I don't recall Pittsburgh having a history of bad trades, so I'll give them benefit of the doubt despite my skepticism.
  17. 2017-2018 Off-season and Hot Stove Thread

    Howie Kendrick to the Nationals for two years and a total of 7 million. Nice deal for a solid utility guy. Could be a solid fantasy asset as he'll end up having eligibility almost everywhere.
  18. Off-season Closer Thread 2017/18

    I still think Rodney will close, but he's Rodney. 50/50 chance he implodes and Reed takes over.
  19. 2018 Hall of Fame voting thread

    Not everyone who juiced up is among the all time greats. Why is that? I believe it's because Bonds was a significantly dominant player compared to his peers. Why do you believe he's up there with the greats but others who took steroids aren't?
  20. Off-season Closer Thread 2017/18

    Twins get Reed.
  21. 2018 Hall of Fame voting thread

    They played in the same era. Why should I not compare players from the same time-frame against one another? And if you want to compare them to those already in the Hall, Bonds is up there with the greatest of the greats. Sosa and Sheffield are nowhere close.
  22. 2018 Hall of Fame voting thread

    I'm not a believer in having automatic lines that get a player in, but if the veterans committee puts them in at some point I have no objections. For those who are unaware of cheaters in the Hall, this is not a new phenomenon. Here's a list of a few HoF cheaters. The HOF is not some moral sanctuary.
  23. 2018 Hall of Fame voting thread

    If we want to look at awards, Bonds won MVP 7 times, had 8 gold gloves, made 14 ASG, and has 12 silver sluggers. Sosa has 1 MVP, 7 ASG, 6 silver sluggers. Sheffield has 0 MVP's, but he made 9 ASG, 5 silver sluggers, and won a batting title.
  24. 2018 Hall of Fame voting thread

    It has nothing to do with sensitivity. My skin is about as thick as you're going to find. It's the baseball offseason - any of us here are pretty big baseball fanatics and there's really no point for us to be childish and short tempered with one another. We can save that for once the idiots swarm the board in April. It's mostly about how a player played compared to their peers. It's fun to compare players from different eras, but if we're looking at someone going into the HoF I think a greater emphasis should be given to those who played in the same times. Bonds looked heads and shoulders better than all the players you listed. He looked better than every single player in baseball. Of the players you listed, I believe only Sosa and Sheffield are eligible this year. I'm certainly open to hearing the argument they should get in, but their career WAR is about 60 each. That's a very good career, but I'm not certain it's necessarily a HoF one. But like I said, if someone wants to make the argument they should be I'm definitely open to being convinced. That career WAR puts them in the same level as Edmonds, Helton, Olereud, and Bobby Abreu. I would be thrilled to have any of those players in their prime, but I'm not quite seeing the argument for HoF. Barry Bonds has a career WAR of about 160. That's Willie Mays, Walter Johnson levels (but still 20 behind Babe). You could double the career WAR for Sosa and he would still be about 40 wins behind Bonds. That 100 win difference between Bonds and Sosa is equal to going from Stan Musial to Yunel Escobar, or Ted Williams to Nick Markakis. Barry Bonds ranks #4 in all time career WAR. Sheffield and Sosa rank 178 and 201, respectively. So no, I do not see how the other two eligible players from your list compare to Bonds, nor do I really see an argument for them to get into anything but the Hall of very good.
  25. 2018 Hall of Fame voting thread

    Baseball knew about widespread use of amphetamines and steroids in baseball as early as 1973, when a Congressional subcommittee released a report discussing the alarming use of anabolic steroids in baseball.