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About lassetjus

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  • Birthday 04/30/1981

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  1. Mookie Betts 2017 Outlook

    For anyone worried about Betts' batting average, xStats (which uses statcast driven batted ball data) has Betts down for an xBA of .296. It was down from .310 last year, but still a lot better than the average he ended up with this year. You could say that he was actually unlucky in that department. All other counting stats were very nice.
  2. Aaron Judge 2017 Outlook

    If you believe in statcast driven data, then know this: Giancarlo Stanton has an xHR of 51.3, while Judge has an xHR of 56.6. Stanton seems to be projected to go in the 1st round of drafts, so there's no reason for Judge not to be considered for the 1st round, as well. I can tell you just by looking around at discussions and "expert" mock drafts, that Judge has been going in the mid to late 2nd round.
  3. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Rough last couple of weeks. Looks like pitchers have finally adjusted. The good news is that Rhys has the entire summer to adjust back. Also, maybe this "slump" will pump the brakes on the hype train and you will be able to draft him in a reasonable spot.
  4. Head 2 head playoff updates.

    Know one cares but here goes. I won my money keeper H2H league for the 2nd year in a row that has been running for 13 years. We end a week early to avoid all the weird resting of pitchers that go on in the last week. It's my 6th championship, and I am a 4-time runner up, so that means I have either won or been runner-up in 10 of the 13 seasons of my league. Maybe I need better competition or maybe I am just good. My roster before I cannibalized it for streamers and hot hitters is listed below. They carried me this season to a dominating regular season 1st place finish and to the Championship. In the last week I switched out Moustakas for Jose Reyes, and his stolen bases this week were critical. Various guys carried my team throughout the season, but the MVP obviously is Judge, who was a 20th round pick. He slumped hard after the ASB, but turned in on again in September, when it really mattered (in real life and fantasy). Pham, Andrus, Smoak and Hoskins were waiver gems. My strategy of keeping all batters let me stock up on aces in the early rounds of my live draft allowing me to snag both Scherzer and Kluber, who luckily both ended up pitching today and solidified my pitching categories. Waiver gems on the pitching side were Godley, Alex Wood, Luke Weaver and Corey Knebel. Man, Jon Gray really turned it on in the last month. I guess it was worth the wait. Thanks for all the great discussion on these message boards throughout the season, great job and good luck if your league is still going. 12-team H2H $$ Main Keeper League (5 Keepers From Round Taken or Assigned Round for Waiver Pickups, 3-Year Max Keeper) (13th year in existence, 5-time Champion, 4-time Runner-Up) Categories: 7 x 7 (R, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OPS, K) x (W, K, ERA, WHIP, SV, HLD, QS) C-Wilson Ramos 1B-Justin Smoak 2B-Matt Carpenter 3B-Mike Moustakas SS-Carlos Correa (16) IF-Rhys Hoskins LF-Tommy Pham CF-Andrew Benintendi (18) RF-Mookie Betts (16) OF-Aaron Judge UTIL-Elvis Andrus SP-Max Scherzer, Corey Kluber, Zach Godley, Jon Lester, Alex Wood, Jeff Samardzija, Jose Berrios, Jon Gray, Luke Weaver RP-Kenley Jansen, Corey Knebel, Edwin Diaz, Hector Neris, Chris Devenski, Tommy Kahnle, Carl Edwards, Jr.
  5. Head 2 head playoff updates.

    I ran into this steaming problem this week. I had the superior pitching staff but still felt compelled to stream myself to match the other guy who was going to try to compile wins in Strikeouts, Wins and Quality Starts. That's kind of what you have to do unfortunately unless your league institutes a rule against streaming in the playoffs or institutes a move limit for the playoffs with injury exceptions. You do have to stoop to the level of the steamer and really look days ahead and try to pick up the better streamer and leave your opponent with worse streamers. You want to target guys who can go 6 innings and has strikeout potential, otherwise there is no upside to taking the risk on the steamer. I picked up steamers for today, but kept them on my bench, as I picked them up purely to block my opponent from picking them up.
  6. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Without a doubt carrying many fantasy teams to Championships right now.
  7. Waiver Wire - Streaming Options - Week 21

    If Glasnow stays on turn based on his last AAA start, he could start this weekend for the Pirates. Word was that they were waiting until September to call him up due to service time. He has been pitching exclusively out of the stretch in AAA, and that may help his control issues (less moving parts). That change of permanently pitching from the stretch has worked for guys like Carrasco and Duffy in the past. If you have an NA slot in Yahoo, you can park him there and even keep him there for his 1st start if you want to see how he does first.
  8. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Yep. I never understood anyone complaining when a guy hits a lot of mistakes for homeruns. That's usually how homeruns are hit. And it's not a guarantee that a homerun will be hit when a mistake is made. Case in point, look at Aaron Judge for the past 6 weeks. Consistently has been fouling off mistake pitches and not hammering them the way he was the 1st half of the season.
  9. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Still a small sample but it's growing and quality of contact stabilizes pretty quickly. You either hit the ball hard or you don't. And your swing produces a certain launch angle more often than not. These are the Statcast metrics used for their xwOBA formula, which uses exit velocity and launch angle. Among batters with at least 30 at bats, Rhys Hoskins ranks 11th in the MLB. The top 10 include, Judge, Trout, Freeman, Stanton, Goldschmidt, Correa, etc. You get the idea. This is good company to be in. Combine his elite quality of contact (xWOBA) with his elite plate discipline (26.7% o-swing) and contact ability (4.6% swinging strike) and you have an all around elite batter.
  10. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Small sample arbitrary endpoint update: First 3 games: .000 / .167 / .000 / .167 OPS / -39 WRC+ / .000 BABIP Last 7 games: .304 / .467 / .826 / 1.293 OPS / 221 WRC+ / .167 BABIP Bonus Stat over last 7 games: Insane 20% BB rate, 3.3% K rate. Major league pitchers already giving him major respect.
  11. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Agreed. That is something that has me excited about him. 475 plate appearances in AAA is a pretty large sample. There he had only a 15.8% k percentage. That is excellent for someone with his power. Even if that number goes up as it probably will with the tougher competition, if it's around 22% that's still pretty good for a guy with his power.
  12. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    While we are playing with small samples.... First 3 games: .000 / .167 / .000 / .167 OPS / -39 WRC+ / .000 BABIP Last 3 games: .364 / .462 / 1.182 / 1.643 OPS / 299 WRC+ / .125 BABIP
  13. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Super Small Sample (only 9 batted ball events), but to ease your worries: 18.8% BB rate is very good. 25.0% K rate not good and way above his AAA rate, but a sterling 6.5% swinging strike rate suggests room for improvement. "unlucky" .111 BABIP despite batted ball metrics that would suggest a higher BABIP - 55.6% Hard, 44.4% Oppo, 22.2% LD
  14. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook

    Get used to it...
  15. Rhys Hoskins 2017 Outlook 20% chance for 20+ WAR over the next 6 years... not bad.