OrangeCrush

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Everything posted by OrangeCrush

  1. Freddie Freeman 2018 Outlook

    Smh... speachless
  2. Reynaldo Lopez 2018 Outlook

    Anyone starting him tomorrow @Twins?
  3. Carlos Correa 2018 Outlook

    Inside Injuries‏ @InsideInjuries 15m15 minutes ago More Carlos Correa left tonight's #Astros game early due to discomfort in his left big toe. He was noticeably hobbled while trying to fight through it. Don't be surprised if this one lands him on the DL. Inside Injuries‏ @InsideInjuries 12m12 minutes ago More Correa was initially hurt yesterday when he fouled a ball off of his foot. When asked about it before the game he showed it bandaged up but said he was ready to go. Big toe injuries are painful to play through because they affect acceleration and any pushing off motion.
  4. Carlos Correa 2018 Outlook

    haha. no kidding. Still always hurt
  5. Carlos Correa 2018 Outlook

    That's fine. He's always got an injury
  6. Carlos Correa 2018 Outlook

    what if there is a small fracture? Than it turns into a huge deal. His track record scares me
  7. Carlos Correa 2018 Outlook

    This dude is made of glass. Another injury
  8. Carlos Martinez 2018 Outlook

    gonna chalk it up to chilly weather today and OD jitters
  9. Lewis Brinson 2018 Outlook

    I remember when Trout came up for a cup of coffee. It was ice cold. The next season he hit the ground running
  10. Lewis Brinson 2018 Outlook

    Where is the love?? This guy has been impressive this spring. I understand he's in Miami but he was a highly touted prospect. Fish Stripes‏ @fishstripes Mar 16 More Lewis Brinson has 7 extra-base hits this spring. Tied for 4th in the entire Grapefruit League.
  11. Thor for Severino

    So I play in a standard H2h pts league. +7 Win - +3 QS- +1 Inn- +1 K +5 CG- +10 SHO - -1 BBI - -1 ER .Having mix feeling about the offer. Sevy had one hell of a year last season while Noah spent most of the yr injured. Pound for pound Thor is the more talented player but injuries and team are playing a part in my back and forth on the offer. What do you guys think?
  12. Jose Berrios 2018 Outlook

    Interesting little article.. https://www.twincities.com/2018/03/09/jose-berrios-pleased-with-delivery-has-yet-to-walk-a-batter-this-spring/
  13. Who should I Keep?

    Ray
  14. Carlos Martinez 2018 Outlook

    Just saw that... I sure hope so. Can't afford an injury this early in the season. http://www.oleantimesherald.com/sports/national/martinez-has-a-little-trouble-locking-it-in-during-stint/article_23543678-53ea-5f4e-8034-84eefe3e1ea2.html
  15. Dynasty trade WHIR

    Rodon is always hurt. I'd be sheepish about dealing for him... Esp for Buster. I'd look for a better deal
  16. Thor for Severino

    Already drafted. My staff is Thor, CMart, Berrios, Aa.Sanchez,Taillon,Tehran,Waino,Morton,Walker
  17. What is my team missing?

    Its a pretty solid team for a 14 man league
  18. Thor for Severino

    Anyone else?
  19. Thor for Severino

    Was a lat muscle thou. Not like the elbow or shoulder kept him sidelined.
  20. Chris Archer 2018 Outlook

    by Jeff Zimmerman - March 9, 2018 Rays vs Red Sox I watched Chris Archer‘s start to see how his changeup is coming along. It’s really not. Fastball: Straight Slider: Looked good Change: The change is OK but not a game changer. He did get a swing-and-miss from Mookie Betts with one. It seemed to always be on the release side of the plate with a small amount of sink. It’s acceptable to keep hitters guessing if they know it may get thrown. Right-handed hitters didn’t have to worry about it as they only saw seven total last season. Archer needs to throw it to righties at least 5% of the time, possibly even 10%, to keep hitters from zeroing in on his other two pitches.
  21. Odell Beckham Jr 2018 Season Outlook

    I give up with these guys... Every off-season its someone else.. Zeke last yr now Odell. I might have to hang this up... I can't take these keeper hits any longer. Taking the fun out of it
  22. Rhys Hoskins 2018 Outlook

    Ray Flowers: There have long been debates about the outlook of Hoskins. Never looked at as an elite prospect, there have been many who like the skills and others who thought he was merely a mistake hitter. Those in the negative camp also worry about a somewhat long and stiff swing and the fact that he isn’t overly athletic is an issue too. He’s hit everywhere, even in the big leagues last season, but there are still questions... like can he handle elite level stuff and will pitchers be able to exploit the holes in his swing? Despite those concerns, his absurdly high ADP as of this writing is intact (more on that below). Though he appeared in 50 games, folks think they know who Hoskins is. Do we? Let’s play the sample size game briefly. Let’s look at some slash line numbers while playing fun with sample sizes. 50 Games: .259/.396/.618 Final 32 games: .236/.390/.491 Final 25 games: .207/.374/.476 Final 20 games: .182/.341/.409 So, let me ask you... why are you so convinced that he’s the first 25 game guy (.307/.419/.750 with 12 homers) and not the second 25 game guy (.207/.374/.476 with six homers)? Why? Even if we look in total at who he was I don’t see a skill set that is appreciably different than a guy like Carlos Santana. Let’s break things down, starting with power. Hoskins hit 18 homers in 50 games, and he’s being drafted as if 35 homers is a lock this season. Is it? Hoskins has a 45 percent fly ball rate for his career. That’s a big number and it is one that can sustain a large homer total. His fly ball rate in 2016 at Double-A was 52 percent, and the number was 49 percent at Triple-A in 2017. He hits a lot of balls into the air. Let’s talk fly ball conversion rates. In 2016 the mark at Double-A was 20 percent. In 2017 the mark at Triple-A was 18.2 percent. Let’s call it 19 percent for the two levels. Amongst guys that qualified for the batting title last season, there were 144 of them, 37 men posted a mark of 19 percent in the HR/FB category. It’s a big number, but it seems sustainable for Hoskins. In the 21st century, there have been 14 seasons – by every player in baseball – with a HR/FB ratio of 30 percent (minimum 502 plate appearances). Obviously, that’s less than one per season. I bring this up because last season Hoskins posted a mark of 31.6 percent. It’s not a sustainable pace, not close. History tells us that. Hoskins own record tells us that (players establish their own rates). He is going to see major pull back in this number this season. This is the most obvious reason to expect that run to 35 that you’re all dreaming of to be a challenging one to pull off. Oh yeah, it’s also kinda unlikely that he’s gonna continue his onslaught against lefties that included six homers in 41 at-bats (a homer every 6.8 at-bats). That’s just common sense. Amongst players with 100 batted balls last season, Hoskins mark of 90.8 mph was 16th best. Seems a bit high to me, ditto the 21st best barrel rate of 8.0 barrels per nine. Not suggesting he doesn’t hit the ball hard, that just seems a wee bit elevated. Let’s talk batting average. The first thing you notice is that he hit .171 against lefties. He hit .273 against lefties in Triple-A in 2017, and .277 at Double-A in 2016, but the big leagues is a completely different animal (remember above, those that worried about Hoskins also worried about his ability to handle elite stuff). I’m not drawing any conclusions from 41 at-bats, but it is something to monitor. The next thing you notice is that he mashed hard stuff, but that he had no clue what to do with the soft stuff. Check out this table from Brooks Baseballand pay particular attention to the changeup and curveball numbers. Don’t think that major league teams have failed to notice. Teams will challenge him with off-speed stuff this year. Remember the fly balls? If he maintains his 45 percent fly ball rate, which seems like a number he is comfortable with, batting average is gonna be tough. Of the 15 qualifiers with a mark that high last season, two hit .300 (Justin Turner and Anthony Rendon). Of the other 13, none hit .275. Hoskins pulled the ball 49.2 percent of the time which obviously is an aid to the power numbers. However, it could be death to batting average. Only five men had a 49 percent pull rate and they hit .209, .204, .271, .259 and .278. Let’s talk contact rates. Hoskins had an 81.4 contact rate (contact/swings). Amongst players with 200 plate appearances last season, there were 349 of them, that rate was 98th. However, the mark was below 70 percent in September, and that’s a big concern. Remember, there were concerns about pitchers finding holes in his swing and exploiting them. Hoskins had a .241 BABIP last season. He hits the ball hard enough that one would think the number should be much higher, even with his lack of foot speed. Still, his 2016 (.297) and 2017 (.281) marks don’t suggest that mark is going to vault upwards this season beyond the league average. He does walk, his 17.5 percent mark last season led to an impressive 0.80 BB/K ratio, but that really is about the only positive here when we’re talking about batting average. Truth is, he should be expected to hit appreciably better than the .259 he hit last season. Again, think Carlos Santana. Speaking of him...
  23. Lance McCullers 2018 Outlook

    Rather be a day early than a day late. He could be special this season. Health has been a problem but he gushes talent http://www.smarterfantasy.com/baseball/2018/1/24/fantasy-baseball-2018-breakout-pitchers-lance-mccullers-will-become-a-star-this-season