tonycpsu

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  1. Tipping Pitches

    The first thing to remember is that what we hear coming out of a baseball organization is a small subset of the things said within the clubhouse, on the field, and in the front office. If something comes out, the chances are high that there's a reason for it coming out -- not necessarily that what's coming out is BS, but that the reason we're hearing about it might not just be that the player in question was feeling chatty that day. So, let's say that Archer was actually tipping pitches, and that his catcher did notice it and correct it. That's certainly plausible. Still, how many other times did they notice a similar thing with someone else, but there was no reason to tell us, because the player in question was Ivan Nova or Trevor Williams or someone that wasn't a high-profile 2018 acquisition that's been under the microscope? Maybe not pitch-tipping, but some other mechanical flaw or something that wasn't really about the pitcher being "good" or "bad', but that might explain their poor performance during a particular stretch of games. My belief is that teams are *always* tweaking things, and that sometimes, those tweaks are followed by improved results. The obvious inclination is to connect the tweak to those results. Especially when it makes the player in question feel they identified the problem. In other words, there is tangible psychological benefit to assuming that the tweak improved the results, even if there could be many other explanations as to why he was much better in September than in August. I'm not saying that Cervelli, Archer, or anyone else is doing this consciously, or that I don't believe they found a thing. They probably found a thing. Whether other teams had picked up on that thing before they did is an open question, though. Obviously, coaches and advance scouts are going to be looking for advantages, and pitch-tipping is a real thing. But it's subtle, and it comes and goes. Do we know other teams saw it before Cervelli did? Do we know it was the kind of tipping signal that was significant enough to explain why he was so much better in September than August? I don't think we know these things.
  2. Final draft board (apologies for Fantrax's eyesore presentation): Rnd azeri98 DidiFan tonycpsu chud12 Magoo Brooklyn Dude brockpapersizer kidtwentytwo Mdubb23 jfazz23 Fuzzy_Slippers Slatykamora 1 Betts, Mookie BOS (RF) Trout, Mike LAA (CF) Ramírez, José CLE (3B) Yelich, Christian MIL (CF) Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL (LF) Martinez, J.D. BOS (RF) Lindor, Francisco CLE (SS) Turner, Trea WAS (SS) Arenado, Nolan COL (3B) Scherzer, Max WAS (SP) Sale, Chris BOS (SP) Machado, Manny (N/A) (3B) 2 Goldschmidt, Paul ARI (1B) Freeman, Freddie ATL (1B) Verlander, Justin HOU (SP) Snell, Blake TB (SP) deGrom, Jacob NYM (SP) Altuve, Jose HOU (2B) Kluber, Corey CLE (SP) Báez, Javier CHC (2B) Story, Trevor COL (SS) Judge, Aaron NYY (RF) Harper, Bryce (N/A) (RF) Bregman, Alex HOU (3B) 3 Nola, Aaron PHI (SP) Cole, Gerrit HOU (SP) Benintendi, Andrew BOS (LF) Blackmon, Charlie COL (CF) Bryant, Kris CHC (3B) Stanton, Giancarlo NYY (RF) Soto, Juan WAS (LF) Kershaw, Clayton LAD (SP) Rizzo, Anthony CHC (1B) Mondesi, Adalberto KC (2B) Correa, Carlos HOU (SS) Marte, Starling PIT (CF) 4 Bogaerts, Xander BOS (SS) Rendon, Anthony WAS (3B) Corbin, Patrick (N/A) (SP) Buehler, Walker LAD (SP) Bellinger, Cody LAD (1B) Carrasco, Carlos CLE (SP) Davis, Khris OAK (LF) Syndergaard, Noah NYM (SP) Severino, Luis NYY (SP) Hoskins, Rhys PHI (LF) Merrifield, Whit KC (2B) Bauer, Trevor CLE (SP) 5 Springer, George HOU (RF) Guerrero Jr., Vladimir TOR (3B) Albies, Ozzie ATL (2B) Aguilar, Jesús MIL (1B) Torres, Gleyber NYY (2B) Paxton, James SEA (SP) Strasburg, Stephen WAS (SP) Suárez, Eugenio CIN (3B) Seager, Corey LAD (SS) Taillon, Jameson PIT (SP) Greinke, Zack ARI (SP) Pham, Tommy TB (CF) 6 Price, David BOS (SP) Castellanos, Nicholas DET (3B) Haniger, Mitch SEA (RF) Flaherty, Jack STL (SP) Votto, Joey CIN (1B) Villar, Jonathan BAL (2B) Cain, Lorenzo MIL (CF) Bumgarner, Madison SF (SP) Márquez, German COL (SP) Andújar, Miguel NYY (3B) Clevinger, Mike CLE (SP) Sánchez, Gary NYY (C) 7 Gennett, Scooter CIN (2B) Díaz, Edwin SEA (RP) Carpenter, Matt STL (3B) Jiménez, Eloy CHW (LF) Upton, Justin LAA (LF) Treinen, Blake OAK (RP) Abreu, José CHW (1B) Realmuto, J.T. MIA (C) Turner, Justin LAD (3B) Segura, Jean SEA (SS) Gregorius, Didi NYY (SS) Ozuna, Marcell STL (LF) 8 Chapman, Matt OAK (3B) Hicks, Aaron NYY (CF) Wheeler, Zack NYM (SP) Morton, Charlie (N/A) (SP) Hader, Josh MIL (RP) Foltynewicz, Mike ATL (SP) Rosario, Eddie MIN (LF) Kimbrel, Craig (N/A) (RP) Pollock, A.J. (N/A) (CF) Dahl, David COL (LF) Brantley, Michael (N/A) (LF) Muncy, Max LAD (1B) 9 Conforto, Michael NYM (LF) Berríos, José MIN (SP) Hand, Brad CLE (RP) Jansen, Kenley LAD (RP) Osuna, Roberto HOU (RP) Encarnacion, Edwin CLE (1B) Donaldson, Josh (N/A) (3B) Olson, Matt OAK (1B) Robles, Victor WAS (CF) Chapman, Aroldis NYY (RP) Vázquez, Felipe PIT (RP) Peralta, David ARI (LF) 10 Doolittle, Sean WAS (RP) Smith, Mallex SEA (CF) Mikolas, Miles STL (SP) Canó, Robinson SEA (2B) Leclerc, José TEX (RP) Peraza, José CIN (SS) Martínez, Carlos STL (SP) Myers, Wil SD (1B) Ohtani, Shohei LAA (SP) Ray, Robbie ARI (SP) Cruz, Nelson (N/A) (RF) Gallo, Joey TEX (LF) 11 Anderson, Tim CHW (SS) Tanaka, Masahiro NYY (SP) Escobar, Eduardo ARI (3B) Rosario, Amed NYM (SS) Freeland, Kyle COL (SP) Desmond, Ian COL (LF) Iglesias, Raisel CIN (RP) Piscotty, Stephen OAK (RF) Gordon, Dee SEA (2B) Martínez, José STL (1B) Castillo, Luis CIN (SP) Inciarte, Ender ATL (CF) 12 Hamels, Cole CHC (SP) Hampson, Garrett COL (2B) Bader, Harrison STL (CF) Murphy, Daniel (N/A) (2B) Archer, Chris PIT (SP) Moustakas, Mike (N/A) (3B) Davis, Wade COL (RP) Glasnow, Tyler TB (RP) Contreras, Willson CHC (C) Nimmo, Brandon NYM (LF) Puig, Yasiel LAD (RF) Shaw, Travis MIL (3B) 13 Voit, Luke NYY (1B) Moncada, Yoán CHW (2B) Yates, Kirby SD (RP) Gurriel, Yuli HOU (1B) Odor, Rougned TEX (2B) Ramos, Wilson (N/A) (C) Darvish, Yu CHC (SP) Profar, Jurickson TEX (SS) Reyes, Alex STL (SP) Perez, Salvador KC (C) Giles, Ken TOR (RP) Porcello, Rick BOS (SP) 14 Camargo, Johan ATL (3B) Cabrera, Miguel DET (1B) Choo, Shin-soo TEX (RF) Winker, Jesse CIN (RF) Devers, Rafael BOS (3B) Markakis, Nick (N/A) (RF) Dozier, Brian (N/A) (2B) Hendricks, Kyle CHC (SP) Bieber, Shane CLE (SP) Eaton, Adam WAS (RF) Santana, Carlos PHI (1B) Rodriguez, Eduardo BOS (SP) 15 Happ, J.A. (N/A) (SP) Knebel, Corey MIL (RP) James, Josh HOU (SP) White, Tyler HOU (1B) Heaney, Andrew LAA (SP) Stripling, Ross LAD (RP) McCutchen, Andrew (N/A) (RF) Molina, Yadier STL (C) Ryu, Hyun-Jin LAD (SP) Hill, Rich LAD (SP) Wendle, Joey TB (2B) Eovaldi, Nathan (N/A) (SP) 16 Williams, Trevor PIT (SP) Andrus, Elvis TEX (SS) Grandal, Yasmani (N/A) (C) Morrow, Brandon CHC (RP) Polanco, Jorge MIN (SS) Domínguez, Seranthony PHI (RP) Lester, Jon CHC (SP) Mazara, Nomar TEX (RF) Gray, Jon COL (SP) Hernández, César PHI (2B) Renfroe, Hunter SD (RF) Laureano, Ramón OAK (CF) 17 Meadows, Austin TB (CF) Posey, Buster SF (C) Taylor, Chris LAD (SS) Tucker, Kyle HOU (LF) Schwarber, Kyle CHC (LF) Newcomb, Sean ATL (SP) Reyes, Franmil SD (RF) Adames, Willy TB (SS) Wood, Alex LAD (SP) López, Reynaldo CHW (SP) Keuchel, Dallas (N/A) (SP) Grichuk, Randal TOR (RF) 18 Nelson, Jimmy MIL (SP) Quintana, José CHC (SP) Cron, C.J. TB (1B) Teheran, Julio ATL (SP) Chirinos, Robinson (N/A) (C) Zimmerman, Ryan WAS (1B) Pivetta, Nick PHI (SP) Smith, Will SF (RP) Braun, Ryan MIL (LF) Smoak, Justin TOR (1B) Gausman, Kevin ATL (SP) McNeil, Jeff NYM (2B) 19 Vizcaíno, Arodys ATL (RP) Lucchesi, Joey SD (SP) Hernández, Teoscar TOR (LF) Simmons, Andrelton LAA (SS) Brinson, Lewis MIA (CF) Toussaint, Touki ATL (SP) Buxton, Byron MIN (CF) Cave, Jake MIN (CF) Urías, Julio LAD (SP) Maeda, Kenta LAD (SP) Herrera, Odúbel PHI (CF) DeSclafani, Anthony CIN (SP) 20 Schebler, Scott CIN (RF) Mancini, Trey BAL (LF) Kikuchi, Yusei (N/A) (SP) Dickerson, Corey PIT (LF) Hamilton, Billy CIN (CF) Britton, Zach (N/A) (RP) Hosmer, Eric SD (1B) Rodríguez, Dereck SF (SP) González, Marwin (N/A) (LF) Kemp, Matt LAD (LF) Anderson, Brian MIA (RF) Alvarado, José TB (RP) 21 Alfaro, Jorge PHI (C) Senzel, Nick CIN (3B) Margot, Manuel SD (CF) Bird, Greg NYY (1B) Godley, Zack ARI (SP) DeJong, Paul STL (SS) Seager, Kyle SEA (3B) Jones, Adam (N/A) (CF) Polanco, Gregory PIT (RF) Schoop, Jonathan MIL (2B) Arrieta, Jake PHI (SP) Astudillo, Willians MIN (C) 22 Soroka, Mike ATL (SP) Stewart, Christin DET (LF) Luzardo, Jesus OAK (SP) Ottavino, Adam (N/A) (RP) Matz, Steven NYM (SP) Bruce, Jay NYM (RF) Whitley, Forrest HOU (SP) Givens, Mychal BAL (RP) Skaggs, Tyler LAA (SP) Miller, Andrew (N/A) (RP) Mejía, Francisco SD (C) Cahill, Trevor (N/A) (SP) 23 Rodón, Carlos CHW (SP) Alonso, Peter NYM (1B) Sanó, Miguel MIN (3B) Betances, Dellin NYY (RP) Soler, Jorge KC (RF) Familia, Jeurys (N/A) (RP) Alcantara, Sandy MIA (SP) Happ, Ian CHC (CF) LeMahieu, DJ (N/A) (2B) Robertson, David (N/A) (RP) Bell, Josh PIT (1B) May, Trevor MIN (RP) 24 Jones, Nate CHW (RP) Hicks, Jordan STL (RP) Gray, Sonny NYY (SP) Cervelli, Francisco PIT (C) Gibson, Kyle MIN (SP) McHugh, Collin HOU (RP) Semien, Marcus OAK (SS) Bauers, Jake TB (1B) Velasquez, Vince PHI (SP) Wacha, Michael STL (SP) Stroman, Marcus TOR (SP) Jeffress, Jeremy MIL (RP) 25 Hirano, Yoshihisa ARI (RP) Musgrove, Joe PIT (SP) Samardzija, Jeff SF (SP) Barnes, Austin LAD (C) Gurriel Jr., Lourdes TOR (2B) Duffy, Danny KC (SP) Lowrie, Jed (N/A) (2B) Bundy, Dylan BAL (SP) Chacín, Jhoulys MIL (SP) Weaver, Luke STL (SP) Kepler, Max MIN (RF) Fry, Jace CHW (RP) 26 Strop, Pedro CHC (RP) Mullins, Cedric BAL (CF) Austin, Tyler MIN (1B) Honeywell, Brent TB (SP) Peralta, Freddy MIL (SP) Anderson, Chase MIL (SP) Jansen, Danny TOR (C) Muñoz, Yairo STL (SS) Kiermaier, Kevin TB (CF) Allen, Cody (N/A) (RP) Fulmer, Michael DET (SP) Peralta, Wily KC (RP) 27 O'Neill, Tyler STL (RF) Marte, Ketel ARI (SS) Riley, Austin ATL (3B) Kingery, Scott PHI (2B) Zunino, Mike TB (C) Buchholz, Clay (N/A) (SP) O'Hearn, Ryan KC (1B) Yarbrough, Ryan TB (SP) Paddack, Chris SD (SP) Núñez, Eduardo BOS (2B) Céspedes, Yoenis NYM (LF) Palka, Daniel CHW (RF) 28 Castro, Starlin MIA (2B) Burnes, Corbin MIL (RP) Souza Jr., Steven ARI (RF) Belt, Brandon SF (1B) Anderson, Tyler COL (SP) Franco, Maikel PHI (3B) Castillo, Welington CHW (C) Greene, Shane DET (RP) Lamb, Jake ARI (3B) Bour, Justin PHI (1B) McMahon, Ryan COL (1B) Sánchez, Aníbal (N/A) (SP)
  3. NFL Start/Sit Thread 2018 Week 11 This thread is for discussing who you're starting and/or sitting for week 11 of the 2018 NFL season. Because most non-obvious start/sit decisions depend on roster/format/league-specific context, feel free to include any of these considerations in your start/sit questions. Comments along the lines of "Who's Starting Player A?", "I'm Starting Player B over Player C", etc. in player threads may be moved to this thread or removed, at the discretion of the RW forums staff.
  4. Round 28 Results # Pick Player Team 325 28.1 Sanchez, Anibal ((N/A)-P) Slatykamora 326 28.2 McMahon, Ryan (COL-1B) Fuzzy_Slippers 327 28.3 Bour, Justin (PHI-1B) jfazz23 328 28.4 Lamb, Jake (ARI-3B) Mdubb23 329 28.5 Greene, Shane (DET-P) kidtwentytwo 330 28.6 Castillo, Welington (CHW-C) brockpapersizer 331 28.7 Franco, Maikel (PHI-3B) Brooklyn Dude 332 28.8 Anderson, Tyler (COL-P) Magoo 333 28.9 Belt, Brandon (SF-1B) chud12 334 28.10 Souza Jr., Steven (ARI-OF) tonycpsu 335 28.11 Burnes, Corbin (MIL-P) DidiFan 336 28.12 Castro, Starlin (MIA-2B) azeri98
  5. Round 27 Results # Pick Player Team 313 27.1 O'Neill, Tyler (STL-OF) azeri98 314 27.2 Marte, Ketel (ARI-SS) DidiFan 315 27.3 Riley, Austin (ATL-3B) tonycpsu 316 27.4 Kingery, Scott (PHI-SS) chud12 317 27.5 Zunino, Mike (TB-C) Magoo 318 27.6 Buchholz, Clay ((N/A)-P) Brooklyn Dude 319 27.7 O'Hearn, Ryan (KC-1B) brockpapersizer 320 27.8 Yarbrough, Ryan (TB-P) kidtwentytwo 321 27.9 Paddack, Chris (SD-P) Mdubb23 322 27.10 Nunez, Eduardo (BOS-2B) jfazz23 323 27.11 Cespedes, Yoenis (NYM-OF) Fuzzy_Slippers 324 27.12 Palka, Daniel (CHW-OF) Slatykamora
  6. Round 26 Results # Pick Player Team 301 26.1 Peralta, Wily (KC-P) Slatykamora 302 26.2 Fulmer, Michael (DET-P) Fuzzy_Slippers 303 26.3 Allen, Cody ((N/A)-P) jfazz23 304 26.4 Kiermaier, Kevin (TB-OF) Mdubb23 305 26.5 Munoz, Yairo (STL-SS) kidtwentytwo 306 26.6 Jansen, Danny (TOR-C) brockpapersizer 307 26.7 Anderson, Chase (MIL-P) Brooklyn Dude 308 26.8 Peralta, Freddy (MIL-P) Magoo 309 26.9 Honeywell, Brent (TB-P) chud12 310 26.10 Austin, Tyler (MIN-1B) tonycpsu 311 26.11 Mullins, Cedric (BAL-OF) DidiFan 312 26.12 Strop, Pedro (CHC-P) azeri98
  7. Round 25 Results # Pick Player Team 289 25.1 Hirano, Yoshihisa (ARI-P) azeri98 290 25.2 Musgrove, Joe (PIT-P) DidiFan 291 25.3 Samardzija, Jeff (SF-P) tonycpsu 292 25.4 Barnes, Austin (LAD-C) chud12 293 25.5 Gurriel Jr., Lourdes (TOR-2B) Magoo 294 25.6 Duffy, Danny (KC-P) Brooklyn Dude 295 25.7 Lowrie, Jed ((N/A)-2B) brockpapersizer 296 25.8 Bundy, Dylan (BAL-P) kidtwentytwo 297 25.9 Chacin, Jhoulys (MIL-P) Mdubb23 298 25.10 Weaver, Luke (STL-P) jfazz23 299 25.11 Kepler, Max (MIN-OF) Fuzzy_Slippers 300 25.12 Fry, Jace (CHW-P) Slatykamora
  8. NFL Waiver Wire Thread 2018 Week 11 This thread is for offering suggested waiver wire pickups for week 11 of the 2018 NFL season. It is not for the following: FAAB questions / discussions — these need to go in the FAAB Questions and Discussion thread Questions / discussions about adds/drops/trades — these belong in the Football Assistant Coach Forum Stories about your fantasy team — post these in the Cool Story, Bro! thread Team defense discussions — use the Streaming Defense thread Comments that fall into one of these categories or are otherwise not on topic for this thread will be removed. Some discussion of waiver suggetions is allowed, but this is not the place for an extended debate on the merits of any particular player. Take these in-depth discussions over to the outlook threads for the individual player(s) in question.
  9. Round 24 Results # Pick Player Team 277 24.1 Jeffress, Jeremy (MIL-P) Slatykamora 278 24.2 Stroman, Marcus (TOR-P) Fuzzy_Slippers 279 24.3 Wacha, Michael (STL-P) jfazz23 280 24.4 Velasquez, Vince (PHI-P) Mdubb23 281 24.5 Bauers, Jake (TB-1B) kidtwentytwo 282 24.6 Semien, Marcus (OAK-SS) brockpapersizer 283 24.7 McHugh, Collin (HOU-P) Brooklyn Dude 284 24.8 Gibson, Kyle (MIN-P) Magoo 285 24.9 Cervelli, Francisco (PIT-C) chud12 286 24.10 Gray, Sonny (NYY-P) tonycpsu 287 24.11 Hicks, Jordan (STL-P) DidiFan 288 24.12 Jones, Nate (CHW-P) azeri98
  10. Round 23 Results # Pick Player Team 265 23.1 Rodon, Carlos (CHW-P) azeri98 266 23.2 Alonso, Peter (NYM-1B) DidiFan 267 23.3 Sano, Miguel (MIN-3B) tonycpsu 268 23.4 Betances, Dellin (NYY-P) chud12 269 23.5 Soler, Jorge (KC-OF) Magoo 270 23.6 Familia, Jeurys ((N/A)-P) Brooklyn Dude 271 23.7 Alcantara, Sandy (MIA-P) brockpapersizer 272 23.8 Happ, Ian (CHC-OF) kidtwentytwo 273 23.9 LeMahieu, DJ ((N/A)-2B) Mdubb23 274 23.10 Robertson, David ((N/A)-P) jfazz23 275 23.11 Bell, Josh (PIT-1B) Fuzzy_Slippers 276 23.12 May, Trevor (MIN-P) Slatykamora
  11. Round 22 Results # Pick Player Team 253 22.1 Cahill, Trevor ((N/A)-P) Slatykamora 254 22.2 Mejia, Francisco (SD-C) Fuzzy_Slippers 255 22.3 Miller, Andrew ((N/A)-P) jfazz23 256 22.4 Skaggs, Tyler (LAA-P) Mdubb23 257 22.5 Givens, Mychal (BAL-P) kidtwentytwo 258 22.6 Whitley, Forrest (HOU-P) brockpapersizer 259 22.7 Bruce, Jay (NYM-OF) Brooklyn Dude 260 22.8 Matz, Steven (NYM-P) Magoo 261 22.9 Ottavino, Adam ((N/A)-P) chud12 262 22.10 Luzardo, Jesus (OAK-P) tonycpsu 263 22.11 Stewart, Christin (DET-OF) DidiFan 264 22.12 Soroka, Mike (ATL-P) azeri98
  12. Round 21 Results # Pick Player Team 241 21.1 Alfaro, Jorge (PHI-C) azeri98 242 21.2 Senzel, Nick (CIN-3B) DidiFan 243 21.3 Margot, Manuel (SD-OF) tonycpsu 244 21.4 Bird, Greg (NYY-1B) chud12 245 21.5 Godley, Zack (ARI-P) Magoo 246 21.6 DeJong, Paul (STL-SS) Brooklyn Dude 247 21.7 Seager, Kyle (SEA-3B) brockpapersizer 248 21.8 Jones, Adam ((N/A)-OF) kidtwentytwo 249 21.9 Polanco, Gregory (PIT-OF) Mdubb23 250 21.10 Schoop, Jonathan (MIL-2B) jfazz23 251 21.11 Arrieta, Jake (PHI-P) Fuzzy_Slippers 252 21.12 Astudillo, Willians (MIN-C) Slatykamora
  13. Round 20 Results # Pick Player Team 229 20.1 Alvarado, Jose (TB-P) Slatykamora 230 20.2 Anderson, Brian (MIA-OF) Fuzzy_Slippers 231 20.3 Kemp, Matt (LAD-OF) jfazz23 232 20.4 Gonzalez, Marwin ((N/A)-OF) Mdubb23 233 20.5 Rodriguez, Dereck (SF-P) kidtwentytwo 234 20.6 Hosmer, Eric (SD-1B) brockpapersizer 235 20.7 Britton, Zach ((N/A)-P) Brooklyn Dude 236 20.8 Hamilton, Billy (CIN-OF) Magoo 237 20.9 Dickerson, Corey (PIT-OF) chud12 238 20.10 Kikuchi, Yusei ((N/A)-P) tonycpsu 239 20.11 Mancini, Trey (BAL-OF) DidiFan 240 20.12 Schebler, Scott (CIN-OF) azeri98
  14. Round 19 Results # Pick Player Team 217 19.1 Vizcaino, Arodys (ATL-P) azeri98 218 19.2 Lucchesi, Joey (SD-P) DidiFan 219 19.3 Hernandez, Teoscar (TOR-OF) tonycpsu 220 19.4 Simmons, Andrelton (LAA-SS) chud12 221 19.5 Brinson, Lewis (MIA-OF) Magoo 222 19.6 Toussaint, Touki (ATL-P) Brooklyn Dude 223 19.7 Buxton, Byron (MIN-OF) brockpapersizer 224 19.8 Cave, Jake (MIN-OF) kidtwentytwo 225 19.9 Urias, Julio (LAD-P) Mdubb23 226 19.10 Maeda, Kenta (LAD-P) jfazz23 227 19.11 Herrera, Odubel (PHI-OF) Fuzzy_Slippers 228 19.12 DeSclafani, Anthony (CIN-P) Slatykamora
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