FearTheBeard

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FearTheBeard last won the day on March 29 2015

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About FearTheBeard

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  1. Daniel Murphy 2018 Outlook

    Full article by beat writer Chelsea Janes. Not encouraging to say the least. https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/nationals-journal/wp/2018/05/02/nationals-anthony-rendon-is-close-to-returning-daniel-murphy-is-not/
  2. Daniel Straily 2013 Outlook

    Yea - I'd say so. The Pale Hose are to the point right now where you can basically stream at will on, and Straily's pitched well lately. Few things to keep in mind - 2nd time they've seen Straily in the last week, Straily is a fly ball pitcher, The Cell gives up a lot of HRs, 10-15 mph wind blowing slightly out and to RF - keep an eye on that. He's a 4 pitch command guy so hitting his spots will be very important cause in my opinion his stuff isn't good enough to make up for being a little off with his command. Keep the FB down on the corners, continue to see good tilt out of that slider, have the change be just good enough to keep the LHB in check, and please don't throw that curveball - we should be good.
  3. Daniel Straily 2013 Outlook

    FoulLine, Here's what Cmilne has essentially said in about 2 pages worth of posts to combat your 5 pages worth of posts in this thread(yes, I know - it's an exaggeration). He's provided plenty of information on why he feels the way he does. He owns Straily and wants him to be good, but he thinks he'll be more of a 3-4 type starter in the future a lot like Scott Baker. He disagrees with how high you are on Straily. The reason he disagrees is he feels his FB isn't dominate in either velocity or life, and while Straily has shown a good slider - his change up has been non existent at the MLB level. While Straily should profile to have good command - given his stuff Cmilne doesn't think he'll be a future ace, which is what you believe. Cmilne also believe due to lack of a change up Straily will have a lot of difficulty Vs LHB. While is HR/FB% is high - in which Cmilne thinks will stay that way - and other metrics such as LOB%, xFIP, BABIP, and SIERA actually show he's been fortunate to have the numbers he's had thus through all his MLB starts. You watch him, he watches him - two different opinions - let it be...
  4. Daniel Straily 2013 Outlook

    While I think Straily is a good stream Vs the Astros, and could have a nice mid rotation future - I hate to party poop but where are some of you guys getting this "ace potential", "tons of upside", and "believe me you won't be sorry" stuff? I'm not trying to be a douche - but I'm up for a healthy debate. First off to answer Jay's question - yes the plan is for Straily to be sent down after this start for Colon - so as others have mentioned for him to get back on the rotation it'll take an injury/poor performance(which is likely to happen in any rotation). Ok - on to Straily - I get it - he had a great year between AA and AAA last season. K rate through the roof. A poster brought up his season around May/June in the MiLB forum and I quickly looked him up. I was blown away at the numbers, he wasn't even a Top 30 prospect in the A's Organization going into the year(not MLB, the A's). I began watching his starts online with AAA Sacramento and was left saying,"Well - kid has a clue, knows how to pitch, pretty good command, average velocity, not really deceptive, not much movement on his FB, fly ball guy, good slider, decent change, crappy curve, has command of offspeed stuff." When he got to the bigs late last year I began tuning into his starts and basically observed the exact same thing, just against far better hitters - the results weren't remotely good. Forget the ERA - as a previously poster also stated his FIP was 6.48, xFIP 5.30, here's some other stuff BABIP .225, LOB% 90.7%, 7.32K/9, 3.66 BB/9. SIERA 4.72, GB/FB 0.55. The only pitch he had grade out as effective was his slider. I'm not blasting the kid, I don't think he sucks - but he doesn't have anything I see that makes me say this kids gonna be great, especially now - even good for that matter talking about the present. So where did the K's come from in AAA? Minor league pitcher can be VERY successful with 4 pitches they can throw for strike, especially when hitters have to think about a 90-92mphFB, and Straily does have a good(maybe good to plus) strikeout offering with his slider. I've seen Straily twice in person, most recently 3/19/13 Vs the Dodgers at Camelback Vs a watered down lineup and definitely didn't come away impressed. And he was pitching for a job - not a 8 year guy working on his. His command was spotty, had very little feel for his breaking stuff or change(few hangers went a long way), and man is his FB straight. He just doesn't have that one things that makes someone a #1 or #2 SP, whoever said he throws 93-95mph - nope...Average velocity of 91.2mph last season, I'm not saying he can't top there, but he isn't that guy. Is he super deceptive with a lot of movement on his fastball? Nope. Does he have exceptional command? Nope - it's good, not great. Does he have devastating offspeed offerings? Nope - good slider, usable change. On a plus side - Straily isn't bad at anything either, which to me makes him SCREAM I'm a #3 to #4 SP in the MLB when I get it all figured out. There's a reason folks why the large majority of scouts aren't profiling him to be more than a #3 to back end guy.
  5. Tim Lincecum 2012 Season Outlook

    Sorry for hijacking the Tim Lincecum thread but I have to stick up for by boy here - dude seriously? Felix has dealt with crap since he has been in Seattle and has done nothing but battle and give his best effort - I've never even hard Seattle sports talk radio whisper this thought - NO WHERE. Felix loves being a Mariner, loves the city of Seattle - you base him checking out on what? Body language - does he have to throw a fit and punch water coolers when he gives up runs to show you he cares? You knocked another poster in this thread for questioning you on this saying cause he doesn't live in Seattle or go to Mariners games his opinion isn't valid. Well buddy, I live in West Seattle and go to Mariners games. Hanley Ramirez checked it in last season, Felix Hernandez did not - he's not that kind of player - that's ridiculous.
  6. Tim Lincecum 2012 Season Outlook

    I agree 100%...I just think the Tim Lincecum we saw last season, a very good pitcher - is who he is. Not the Tim Lincecum of '08 and '09 which was absolutely insane good. The dude's an ace, no doubt. But with declining velocity, declining K rate for 4 years, and increasing walk rate for 3 years - I think he's best years are behind him. The velocity isn't coming back, and per fangraphs his fastball is no longer grading out to be a plus option, it's actually a below average option. When Timmy threw 94-95 and grabbed 97 when he needed it he didn't have to be fine with his command considering how devastating his change is, and his slider is pretty damn good too. Now when he is sitting at 90-92, and dailing up to 94 at times he has to worry about being more pinpoint with his control(displayed in that increasing walk rate). When The Freak gets ahead of guys, forget about it, they are forced to commit to swing at his plus change and slider offerings. Tim's problem is he's having a more difficult time getting ahead of guys now with a velocity reduction, league familiarization(guys reading a laying of that change early in counts), and not the best command in the world. His command really struggles when his complicated delivery gets out of whack, happened last two seasons. He threw the towel in on throwing from the wind-up the final two months of last season due to mechanical issues. So setting this straight, I really like Timmy as a fan and a fantasy owner for 2012. Still has great stuff, pitches in a great pitchers park, and in a weak division full of pitchers parks. I can see him also possibly being a value pick this season due to so much attention of other SP. That being said, he should have taken that deal. That's huge money, guaranteed. I don't think his skill level in upcoming years is going to get him more money, he fits very well in SF, and every pitcher seems to get hurt at some point.