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2013 1B Rankings

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We already have one for 3B and 1B is always one of the most interesting to discuss given how deep it always is... what are everyone rankings heading into 2013? Who goes off the board first after Pujols, Fielder and Votto?

Here are my early rankings for 2013 (Didn't include guys like Posey, Mauer or Santana because no one should be drafting those guys to play 1B):

1. Votto

2. Fielder

3. Pujols

4. A. Gonzalez

5. Encarnacion

6. Butler

7. Ortiz

8. Konerko

9. Swisher

10. Rizzo

11. Freeman

12. Goldschmidt

13. LaRoche

14. Teixeira

15. Napoli

16. Hart

17. I. Davis

18. Dunn

19. C. Davis

20. Hosmer

21. Trumbo

22. Cuddyer

23. Morales

24. G. Jones

25. Reynolds

26. Pena

27. Morneau

28. Morrison

29. Howard

30. Young

What do your rankings look like?

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According to Rotoworld, it says that David Ortiz played only seven games at 1st base. He will not have 1st base eligibility for the 2013 season.

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I think you put Teix way too low.

It looks weird seeing his name down there but there some concerning trends with Teix that don't bode well for the future...

wOBA

2008 - .410

2009 - .402

2010 - .369

2011 - .361

2012 - .345

BB%

2010 - 13.1%

2011 - 11.1%

2012 - 10.3%

He's also swinging at more pitches outside of the strike zone and making contact with less pitches inside the strike zone than ever before

Compare his .345 wOBA (Which, considering the trend of it getting worse for 5 straight years, you can't expect to improve much in 2013) to some of the names I had above him, Goldschmidt (.363), LaRoche (.361), Swisher (.363) and I think I have him ranked appropriately.

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If they let him hit lefties, morales is such a steal right there

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I understand why and hope everyone has Hosmer right there. The hype is gone. He will be on nearly all my teams and I believe he finishes in top ten.

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According to Rotoworld, it says that David Ortiz played only seven games at 1st base. He will not have 1st base eligibility for the 2013 season.

Some platforms only require 5 games started to gain eligibility.

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I like Rizzo ahead of Freeman but not Goldy. Freeman just doesn't excite me. Mediocore power in a big ballpark. I think Goldy's 10-15 bags and at least 100 more ABs this year put him in the top ten. Rizzo is interesting as I feel the HR's will be there but RBI opportunities not so much. I see RIzzo hitting .290/28/85/75. I see Goldy topping 100 RBI's this year.

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I think Brandon Belt has a breakout year and should be ranked around 20ish.

Ive got him for a buck in my 13-team league...he is right on the bubble as one of my keepers. I like him for a bit of a breakout too (20-80-10)

and one thing I really like is that he gets some bags, I could see him being top 3-4 stolen base leaders for 1B. Looking at this list, which I dont take too much objection too and not seeing him on there makes me think maybe he isnt worthy of a keeper, from the standpoint I can just get him back for a buck.

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I realize he's isn't the player he used to be, but Ryan Howard seems way too low. He should be all the way back from injury now. I think he is a lock for 30 HR's and 100 RBI's.

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I will probably wait till February until I actually start ranking players, but a couple of my thoughts on the 1b.

There is no clear-cut #1 1b. Votto's knee is a concern as he had absolutely no power when he came back. Will it bother him this year? He also has only 1 season with over 30 homers. Pujols was awesome in the 4 middle months, not so awesome in April or September. His 2nd year in LA will he make a strong comeback? Personally, I think so. Fielder is great and has that same "settled in with his team for his second season" deal, and it's possible he improves this year. Last year he didn't score many runs but with V-Mart and Hunter potentially to hit behind him, his runs may climb. The #1 debate is between them 3, most likely, and I'd put them Pujols, Fielder, Votto.

With Teixeira, you are basically guaranteed big time power stats if he is healthy. Average can change year to year based on a little luck, so while his average looks like a dead weight he could easily hit .275+ as he has numerous times in years past. I would put him MUCH higher.

A-Gonz power seems to have evaporated, however with Crawford Kemp Either Hanley around him, he'll have plenty of rbi chances and maybe his 2nd year (and 1st full year) in LA helps regenerate him. .300/25/115 seems do-able.

I will be one of the people that either kicks himself for passing on Edwin Encarnacion, or smiling for staying away.

Goldschmidt is a .300+ hitter waiting to happen. He has a very high line-drive rate and babip. He hit .300+ at every stop in the minors (remember, he skipped over triple AAA). He may great strides cutting down his k-rate last year. You're better off penciling him in for 12-15 steals than around 20, but a .310 average with 25 homers could happen.

Eric Hosmer may suck this year, but he will be undervalued. Very rarely do players do what he did in 2011, at the age of 21, and then just start sucking. He has a pedigree to go with that success. There is no positive trend from last year to carry to this year, and his fly ball rate is terrible, as well as his average vs lefties. However, if is ADP creeps down to #20 overall 1b range, you need to take a chance on his talent.

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So my league is 20 game eligibility and I just finished most of my 1B prep. I tend to put guys where I think they have the most value, so if a guy were 1B-OF, I would usually put him at 1B, but there are some guys this year depending on who I have at 3B and then the other CI spot, Im not sure Im comfortable rolling with as my 1B if I go value there, like a Garrett Jones type, I just dont quite trust him, I might like him more as my OF4/5 spot, but Id be OK with a Swisher at 1B.

So here is what I've got and I actually think its the weakest at the top its been in a while:

Couple of thoughts:

I have Goldschmidt Top 5 behind only Votto, Gonzalez, Fielder and Pujols. Im not an E5 buyer, you have to show me more than the one season.

Im probably still a buyer on Teixeira, if I were in a straight draft and had e5 or tex, and had to take one, Im going Tex.

Billy Butler, E5, Trumbo are also in my top 10.

There are a bunch of coin flip guys: Freeman, Davis (both), Craig, Morales, Rizzo, Hosmer, Cuddyer and some others Im forgetting.

Guys I want no part of, might call out in Auction:

Ryan Howard - 3 categories he is below average to outright liability.

Brandon Moss - dont really want a platoon guy, even with the ridiculous HR per AB he put up in 2012

Sleeper Value Guys look to the NL WEST:

Brandon Belt - potential across the board contributor with SBs, my fear is runs in that line up which is WEAK as well as RBI.

Tyler Colvin - I like this guy again as across the board guy, especially if Helton retires, has OF-1B eligibility, probably would take him more like my OF5 or UTIL before all in with him at 1B, but still a guy to watch in Spring.

Yonder Alonso - Yes I know Im a homer!!!

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If they let him hit lefties, morales is such a steal right there

I think Morales gets a slight bump in value with his trade to the Mariners. He will be everyday player now mostly at 1B with an up an coming Seattle team. He will have a lot of XBHs

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If they let him hit lefties, morales is such a steal right there

I think Morales gets a slight bump in value with his trade to the Mariners. He will be everyday player now mostly at 1B with an up an coming Seattle team. He will have a lot of XBHs

I agree, I would of preferred to maybe see him someplace else, but having full time gig is a big step forward.

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If they let him hit lefties, morales is such a steal right there

I think Morales gets a slight bump in value with his trade to the Mariners. He will be everyday player now mostly at 1B with an up an coming Seattle team. He will have a lot of XBHs

I agree, I would of preferred to maybe see him someplace else, but having full time gig is a big step forward.

SEA moved the fences in. Maybe that helps the whole lineup.

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