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FouLLine

Jason Heyward 2013 Outlook

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Once upon a time before the Harpers and Trouts reached the show Heyward was the baseball's prodigy child.

After a disappointing Sophomore season in 2011, Heyward had a strong 2012 campaign where he out produced his draft value last year.

His main problem was his lack of consistency throughout the season. Heyward would get blistering hot for a week or two but then drop off the face of the Earth for a week or two.

Now with another season under his belt and coming into the season at the ripe age of 23 Heyward should be ready to take his game to the next step. He should be more consistent and hit for a higher average this year.

He was 3 HRs shy of a 30 HR 20 SB season last year at the age of 22. Heyward's upside going forward is immense.

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Those steals to me seem like they will be a career high. I love him to be a 25 HR hitter for decent average and a handful of bags, but his ceiling seems lower to me than Harper and certainly Trout.

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I'm high on Heyward for '13 after his 2012 rebound. Most promising was the increase in FB% and decrease in GB%. However, the BB% dropped while the K% worsened.

When it's said and done, it's difficult not to imagine a 20/12 floor with realistic expectations of the following numbers, assuming continued development:

.275 avg

.350 OBP

25 jacks

90 runs

90 rbi

20 SB

Sign me up!

The question is this: pound for pound, who would you prefer J-Up or Heyward? (This assumes similar draft positions or auction value, but I may be way off on that.)

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I'm high on Heyward for '13 after his 2012 rebound. Most promising was the increase in FB% and decrease in GB%. However, the BB% dropped while the K% worsened.

When it's said and done, it's difficult not to imagine a 20/12 floor with realistic expectations of the following numbers, assuming continued development:

.275 avg

.350 OBP

25 jacks

90 runs

90 rbi

20 SB

Sign me up!

The question is this: pound for pound, who would you prefer J-Up or Heyward? (This assumes similar draft positions or auction value, but I may be way off on that.)

Tough call Upton or Heyward. I'll go with Heyward because his ADP will be more affordable. But Upton probably out does Heyward overall but I'd think it would be close.

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I'm high on Heyward for '13 after his 2012 rebound. Most promising was the increase in FB% and decrease in GB%. However, the BB% dropped while the K% worsened.

When it's said and done, it's difficult not to imagine a 20/12 floor with realistic expectations of the following numbers, assuming continued development:

.275 avg

.350 OBP

25 jacks

90 runs

90 rbi

20 SB

Sign me up!

The question is this: pound for pound, who would you prefer J-Up or Heyward? (This assumes similar draft positions or auction value, but I may be way off on that.)

Tough call Upton or Heyward. I'll go with Heyward because his ADP will be more affordable. But Upton probably out does Heyward overall but I'd think it would be close.

Both could be top 10 players and I can't say talent wise whom id rather have. But situationally, J-Hey is in a more positive place than after the last year or so of Upton mishandling in AZ.

I'll take J-Hey, two years removed from playing 'hurt for the Chipper'.

He still has MVP potential in him at a very young age.

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did he have any DL stints last year? or just some stretches of being banged up? I didn't own him anywhere, didn't pay much attention.

his first two years it seemed he was always day-to-day or DL bound. he's built so wiry too, so i had concerns about durability through 162 games.

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Haven't heard much on J.Hey lately...Any news lately? Trying to gauge his trade value

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Haven't heard much on J.Hey lately...Any news lately? Trying to gauge his trade value

He's a hold in all keeper leagues for me. Unless you're going to lose him next year due to league contract / singing settings.

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I feel like he will be a monster this year. This is the year he makes the braves his team

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Looks like he's slated to his 2nd for the Braves this season, which does hurt his RBI opportunities, but it makes it much harder for pitchers to pitch around him, and he'll score a ton of runs.

I think a monster season is coming.

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Power profiles to hit 35+ homers, I'm all in too. BJ Up won't hit in the 2 hole? J Hey 2nd seems to be a waste of his power. Maybe they figure he'll see more fastballs. JHey has an incredible eye too, he's primed to explode.

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Looks like the Atlanta manager is trying to go for a RIGHT-LEFT-RIGHT-LEFT-RIGHT thing with Simmons-Heyward-JUpton-Freeman-BJUpton. If Heyward and BJUpton switched, you would have RIGHT-RIGHT-RIGHT-LEFT-LEFT

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This Atlanta lineup is going to have a huge breakout this year.

Heyward and The Upton Brothers are going to be something special. Plus Freeman, man that lineup has so much potential.

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did he have any DL stints last year? or just some stretches of being banged up? I didn't own him anywhere, didn't pay much attention.

his first two years it seemed he was always day-to-day or DL bound. he's built so wiry too, so i had concerns about durability through 162 games.

Don't forget the trainer was quoted to saying either his back muscles or the connective tissue there is built weaker than most people. But he seems to be coping with it well.

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This Atlanta lineup is going to have a huge breakout this year.

Heyward and The Upton Brothers are going to be something special. Plus Freeman, man that lineup has so much potential.

Just posted in the BJ thread that I wonder what the odds are of all three of them going 30/30 this year.

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Looks like the Atlanta manager is trying to go for a RIGHT-LEFT-RIGHT-LEFT-RIGHT thing with Simmons-Heyward-JUpton-Freeman-BJUpton. If Heyward and BJUpton switched, you would have RIGHT-RIGHT-RIGHT-LEFT-LEFT

I'd hit BJ leadoff with Uggla 5th and McCaan 6th but that's just me.

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Yeah I can't understand this fascination with andrelton Simmons. I know he's a good prospect but you're built to win now and have 5-6 better hitters hitting in non-ideal spots bc he is leading off.

I think that leadoff talk for andrelton has quieted since the upton acquisition though

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Hard to argue, though, with those that say BJ isn't an ideal leadoff hitter either, he's still fairly allergic to walks. Seems to me he'd be better suited for the 2 hole and J Hey hitting 3rd would just be ideal. Burner on base ahead of him, mashers behind him, I hope ATL can work it out for him there at #3.

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I think they'll go with Simmons in the first 10-20 games and then see what's next.Braves now have a great offense and they can try different variations.

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I'm all in with Heyward this year. The stars are aligning for him to have a true breakout season. As others have stated, I think the RBI opps may be lacking early in the year. But I think there's a legit shot for 35/25 here....

If you don't own him in a dyno, this is your last chance to grab him. Last year would have been ideal, but the value now will only go up from here

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I'm all in with Heyward this year. The stars are aligning for him to have a true breakout season. As others have stated, I think the RBI opps may be lacking early in the year. But I think there's a legit shot for 35/25 here....

If you don't own him in a dyno, this is your last chance to grab him. Last year would have been ideal, but the value now will only go up from here

He is going to the the heart and soul of my team, keeping him at 7th round value is a huge steal.

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I'm all in with Heyward this year. The stars are aligning for him to have a true breakout season. As others have stated, I think the RBI opps may be lacking early in the year. But I think there's a legit shot for 35/25 here....

If you don't own him in a dyno, this is your last chance to grab him. Last year would have been ideal, but the value now will only go up from here

He is going to the the heart and soul of my team, keeping him at 7th round value is a huge steal.

Yeah and no considering last year he was going around the 9th - 10th round.

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I think 35/25 could happen, but it might be a long shot this year. I don't take ZiPS or Steamer as Bible but their projections are the following:

ZiPS - 24hr 16sb .265

Steamer - 27hr 13sb .268

You shouldn't take these numbers literally. I actually think he goes 28hr 20sb .275

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I think 35/25 could happen, but it might be a long shot this year. I don't take ZiPS or Steamer as Bible but their projections are the following:

ZiPS - 24hr 16sb .265

Steamer - 27hr 13sb .268

You shouldn't take these numbers literally. I actually think he goes 28hr 20sb .275

Those are such weak projections. There is little chance Heyward doesn't at least reproduce what he did last year if not build upon that. Also keep in mind that he will be hitting in a better spot of the lineup all season.

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