Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

ChrisFarley

Alex Avila 2013 Outlook

18 posts in this topic

After a great 2011 season: .295/.389/.506, 19 hr, 82 rbi, 2012 was a loud thud: .243/.352/.384, 9 hr 48 rbi.

After some research, Avila apparently had a lot of nagging injuries including a concussion.

Are you optimistic on his 2013 outlook?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

he just doesn't elicit any excitement on my end. i'd take him if he drops. that's about it.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2012 was an injury riddled year for Alex Avila. Recent reports indicate he is 100% healthy and has been working out with Miguel Cabrera.

Assuming Alex Avila is indeed healthy heading into 2013, do you think he can come close to replicating his 2011 season? .295/.389/.506

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

He was injured whole season,that's the reason for these awful numbers.One of the guys I'll be definitely targeting.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I honestly completely forgot about him, but I think 2013 will be a mix of 2012 and 2011. I think his average will be around the .250-260 area, but the power numbers will bounce back a little bit.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I actually really think he has a nice chance to have a bounce-back year. He should be a better play in OBP>AVG leagues, though. His OBP was still pretty good despite all things last season.

15 HR and a BA north of .265, an OBP around .360 maybe? Depending on where he hits in the order, 60-75 RBI seems about right. I think he could fall and be a nice value pick... catcher is very deep this year, though. So if he doesn't stay healthy or sputters out of the gate (should I wind up drafting him), he would be a guy I wouldn't hang onto for long. There are always nice catchers on the wire early in the year. A.J. went undrafted in my league last year, and I don't think anyone took him seriously until about May. There are a lot of other examples.

I wouldn't spend a lot, but I wouldn't overlook him, either.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

How is spring training going for this guy? I am excited to see what he can do.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

As others have said, this is a guy that I'll be targeting if he drops....and very likely to target in a 2 C league. But he doesn't excite me at all.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I owned the clown last year. I ended up putting him a vs-RHP platoon for much of the year. If used in that way and paired with a run-of-the-mill scrub .260 BA catcher it is possible to create a decent line for virtually no cost. It does require a fair amount of juggling and daily maintenance, as well as an extra roster spot.

Anyway, the relevant split is handedness with Avila:

Career OPS v LHP: .682

Career OPS v RHP: .821 (that's tasty)

2012 OPS v LHP: .539 (only 15 hits all year, wow).

2012 OPS v RHP: .796

There's enough data to say he is very playable against RHP and practically unownable against LHP. As mentioned above, he's much better in OBP leagues. Where he hits in the lineup is also an ongoing concern.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

2012 was an injury riddled year for Alex Avila. Recent reports indicate he is 100% healthy and has been working out with Miguel Cabrera.

Assuming Alex Avila is indeed healthy heading into 2013, do you think he can come close to replicating his 2011 season? .295/.389/.506

He had a hit percentage of 38% in 2011, for a catcher that's insane, his xBA was .264. I think his power is legit and he can have another 15 HR season but expect the average to be in the .250 - .260 range.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

He was hurt last year (knee tendonitis, which afaik isn't a one year fluke thing and could creep up this year on him again) and now he's back and seemingly healthy in a more potent lineup. He'll have the everyday catching job with Pena backing him up, but will get plenty of at bats if he stays healthy.

I don't see him as a 290 hitter but wouldn't be surprised if he turned in 275 or so this year.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Is he done?? Pena starting 2 games in a row

Realistically it makes sense for Pena to start siphoning off at bats. Avila had a great 2011 an alright last year and has been brutal this year. Pena is good behind the dish and seems to work well with the pitchers as well as being able to hit, which is a definite plus so far. The Tigers arent heavily invested in either, outside of Avilas dad being an assistant GM/VP of the Tigers, so it wouldnt be shocking if they started splitting time more evenly.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Look who has me thinking about ditching Salvy Perez!

Two bombs in two days!

Law of averages says things already went down - now it's time to go up!

Time to grab!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.