Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

ballfan4141

Alex Rios 2013 Outlook

215 posts in this topic

he had a good season. but you can never know what to expect. I dont think anymore can get a really accurate projection on his numbers.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I don't see why he couldn't put up very similar numbers to 2012 in 2013. I doubt he will hit over .300 again, but high .280's to the mid .290's in BA is well within reach.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Odd year, which means avoid Alex. Better luck next year. He is so hard to predict. He is very talented but lacks motivation a lot of the time. That lineup is pretty solid assuming they will probaby go De Aza - Keppinger - Dunn - Konerko - Rios - Viciedo - Alexei - Flowers - Beckham. Something along those lines. Should be in a good spot for RBI's with some great OBP guys in front of him. The Keppinger add went under the radar but he had a .367 OBP last year and is a professional hitter, he has more BB's than K's in his career. Perfect 2 hitter for that team. I could see Alex getting 90 RBI's again no problem.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'd ideally like him as a UTIL/Bench guy out of the draft, but I'd grab him as an OF3 if I'm hard up. He's simply talented, which gives him - still - nice upside to gamble on. And yes - lots of lineup upside as well as Cmilne points out.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you are in a keeper league, coming off his lousy 2011 someone probably got him cheap and therefore even with the risk he is a keeper.

As for the yearly leagues, he will be drafted lower than his stats would suggest he should (unless you have newbies simply drafting off like an ESPN stats list or something) but with the numbers he did put up and the upside he has you have to think he is top 25-30 OF for someone.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It's reasonable to be leary of Rios because of his wild inconsistency. However, he really seemed to settle in last season, he plays in a hitter's park and even with a slight step backwards he will still put up some very nice numbers. Worth taking a shot on him because I think he'll be undervalued again despite his great season in 2012.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If you are in a keeper league, coming off his lousy 2011 someone probably got him cheap and therefore even with the risk he is a keeper.

As for the yearly leagues, he will be drafted lower than his stats would suggest he should (unless you have newbies simply drafting off like an ESPN stats list or something) but with the numbers he did put up and the upside he has you have to think he is top 25-30 OF for someone.

Agreed...he's a $1 keeper for me and is automatic. I think the odd year/even year thought process is just crap. Dude made major changes to his hitting approach last year after starting slow, and the results were solid...and consistent. Although I think his average may drop some, his production numbers HR/R/RBI should be consistent.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

He's hitting higher in the line up this year to start. Not sure where but if he continues this success, he's solid. Best $2 pick up ever.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I certainly can't argue with anybody who keeps him for a buck or two. I'm just so aggravated by his wild year-to-year swings, I'm almost at wits end with it. It would be really nice if he would put together 2 solid seasons in a row. Is that too much to ask??

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

http://www.kffl.com/gnews.php?id=840847-white-sox-alex-rios-to-hit-third

Chicago White Sox OF Alex Rios is expected to hit third this season. DH Adam Dunn hit third last season, but he has always been distracted by movement on the bases when he hits. So, he'll likely hit fifth, since OF Alejandro De Aza will hit leadoff and look to steal bases.

Fantasy Tip: We don't think this move affects Dunn much. It might hurt his RBI potential a bit with slow-footed Paul Konerko hitting ahead of him, as opposed to 1-2 hitters. But Dunn isn't typically a guy that drives in a ton of runs due to his low batting averages. If Rios can handle the three-hole, it should boost his value a bit.

2013-02-25 06:36:47 | Source: Chicago Sun-Times - Daryl Van Schouwen

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

It is so tough to predict this guy, but he was a top 30 player last year and his ADP seems to be consierably lower then that. I honestly have no idea how this guy will do this year, and he could be a complete flop again.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Tough to predict, avoid. Simple.

He's falling in drafts and can be had as an OF3 or OF4. That's worth the risk given the upside.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

He went in the 11th round in the fangraphs mock. What am I missing here?

That there's probably an equal chance that he's 2011 Rios again as he's 2012 Alex Rios.

Career-high HR/FB rate, career-low walk rate in 2102. He walked 26 times total for the whole season. BA repeat unlikely.

And he's 32 years old.

He had 90+ runs scored and 90+ RBI in 2012. Here are some players who didn't:

Albert Pujols, Carlos Gonzalez, Jay Bruce, Jose Reyes, Prince Fielder, Dustin Pedroia, Hanley Ramirez, Buster Posey.

I'm not betting Rios repeats in 2013.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There is almost no analysis that can be done on Rios at this point. There is no predicting him, no rhyme or reason. Some years he's great, some years hes completely mixed league irrelevant and horrific. Total crap shoot as to what guy you will get this year. At how low he is going I actually think he's kind of worth it, but plug your nose when you pick this clown...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There is almost no analysis that can be done on Rios at this point. There is no predicting him, no rhyme or reason. Some years he's great, some years hes completely mixed league irrelevant and horrific. Total crap shoot as to what guy you will get this year. At how low he is going I actually think he's kind of worth it, but plug your nose when you pick this clown...

Guys like him, Ellsbury, Yasmani Grandal, they all give me a headache trying to decide if there is any kind of baseline I can find to try to project them from. I'll probably just ignore them all this year and just let them aggravate some other owner...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Good thing about him is that he'll bat third this year.It gives him possibility for runs and RBIs.My league draft on 26th and if this trend continues I'm definitely a buyer.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

On fire. 3rd straight game going yard. Maybe last year wasn't a fluke.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

4th are people selling or are you thinking a second year in a row he will be strong?

Holding strong. Great spot in the lineup. Great home ballpark. Crappy pitching division. Very consistent health. I'll just plug him in and leave him there all season and be confident he will have .335 to .340 OBP, 25 HR, 90 RBI, 25 SB's and near 100 runs. That is around 3rd round value. Unless I get that value in a trade back, I'm not in a big rush to sell.

1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Guy was the

4th are people selling or are you thinking a second year in a row he will be strong?

His batting stance has changed from the days of his suckitude. He's now hitting 3rd in the lineup. I'm thinking he sustains a solid level of production but obviously he isn't going to HR or SB every day.

Guy was the 5th ranked OF after Trout, Braun, Cutch and Hamilton last year and #16 overall (per Y!). Most people who drafted him this year got him in the 7th round or later. How much better can you get by trading up? His ceiling as practically as high as OF's go and he proved a couple years ago that he is capable of being the #1 guy or fairly close to it (3 month stretch, overall at ASB 2010, or seconder rounder for entire 2012) for a sustained period of time.

Trade him if you must but only for top shelf because he was very undervalued during drafts. I'm holding.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Since he changed to the more upright batting position with his feet closer together, which he did last year after his early struggles....he's been incredibly consistent. I think he has tweeked his stuff perfectly, and the results are solid. It's early, but I think the odd year/even year crap is just that...look for another strong season. Will he have his slump? Yea...a lot do...but I think you'll like the results at the end of the season.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Guys like Rios are often underrated after their breakout year. Look at Bautista as a great example. The guy hit 54 bombs and no one believed him, the next year he hit .300 and 43 bombs. Rios should have a very solid year. There is almost no upside to trading him as no one is going to give you value.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites