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Stanford410

Adam Laroche 2013 Outlook

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We all know Laroche was one of the best Free Agent pickups of 2012 because of his outburst. Some may say it was his only big power year however he has always hit 20+ home runs.

[for those who don't know, babip is batting average on balls in play]

in 2004(rookie season and had platooned with Julio Franco) 13 hr in 324 ab's(atl)

2005- 20 hr in 452 ab(atl) .328 babip

2006- 32 hr in 557 ab(atl) .319 babip

2007- 21 hr in 563 ab(pit) .318 babip

2008- 25 hr in 492 ab(pit) .308 babip

2009- 25 hr in 555 ab(3 teams) .328 babip

2010-25 hr in 560 ab(arz) .330 babip

2011-3 hr in 151 ab(wash, injured for 3/4 of season)

2012- 33 hr in 571 ab(wash) .298 babip

He had the lowest babip of his career last season, however hit the most home runs of his career last season as well. The power is there no doubt, but can he hit 30+ and return to the top tier of first baseman (top 5)?will he slide down to the edge of top 10, or be irrelevant for fantasy play this season? anyone have some projections? I dont see a big fallout + i think he will finish as the #7 or #8 1st basemen for 2013.

Im thinking around .265-.272 27-32 hr 99-107 rbi and 560+ ab's

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I have Laroche in every single one of my H2H leagues because he's a second half monster.

His career average OPS in the second half is .886, which from last year's overall numbers would put him right between David Wright and Josh Willingham from last year, or 13th overall. Last year, his numbers were slightly below average for him, for his second half, but still a very good number.

Another factor is the parks. He first really broke out with Atlanta, which plays neutral to LH batters in terms of power, but after being traded to Pitsburgh, his numbers took a hit because that is an extreme pitcher's park. I think he woud've been a consistent 30 HR guy, had he played outside of Pitt.

I think his overall value is as a good 1B, but he has exceptional value in the second half, especially for the price you are paying. And as long as he isn't hurt, he is consistent about the second half. The difference last year was really the fact that his first half wasn't horrible, which led to the across the board numbers spike. Given that he's in a good lineup, in a good park, I think he should replicate the numbers from last year.

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I have Laroche in every single one of my H2H leagues because he's a second half monster.

His career average OPS in the second half is .886, which from last year's overall numbers would put him right between David Wright and Josh Willingham from last year, or 13th overall. Last year, his numbers were slightly below average for him, for his second half, but still a very good number.

Another factor is the parks. He first really broke out with Atlanta, which plays neutral to LH batters in terms of power, but after being traded to Pitsburgh, his numbers took a hit because that is an extreme pitcher's park. I think he woud've been a consistent 30 HR guy, had he played outside of Pitt.

I think his overall value is as a good 1B, but he has exceptional value in the second half, especially for the price you are paying. And as long as he isn't hurt, he is consistent about the second half. The difference last year was really the fact that his first half wasn't horrible, which led to the across the board numbers spike. Given that he's in a good lineup, in a good park, I think he should replicate the numbers from last year.

Im hoping he does. Im not really one to keep guys over the age of 30, but he may be the first.

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Hitting clean-up with a good supporting cast, provided he stays healthy, I think he can equal his stats from last year.

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ESPN is raking him so low... I think he is one of my must drafts this year. Even if his stats fall to .270 25 90 that is still great value for where he is being ranked.

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Apparently not...I was happy to have him in the lineup, even with a normal first half slump I will take anything positive in the first few months

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Apparently not...I was happy to have him in the lineup, even with a normal first half slump I will take anything positive in the first few months

no one cares about his 2 HRs.

Hope he can continue and produce a good power for next few weeks so i can trade him..

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This dude just hit the wire in my 10 teamer. He had 33 homeruns last year... Is he really sucking that bad?

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I've watched a lot of Nats games so far and he's been hitting lasers all year. Before the 2HR game, he had a couple balls that would have easily been home runs in the warm weather (announcers said he could easily have 4 by now).

When he hit his first home run ... Showed a coach saying "about time" because he has been hitting well, just unlucky.

I like Laroche to repeat something similar to last year. Batting cleanup for one of, if not, the best team in baseball and feeling comfortable.

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yea i've watched most of his at bats...he's had a lot of good at bats and has hit a lot of balls hard, but right at people...he'll be fine and should be good for close to 30 homers and 100 rbi again, provided he stays healthy.

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couldn't squeeze him into my lineup in time tonight because Gattis already played at Util...so, he'll hit 2 HRs...you're welcome!

Man I'm ready for him to catch fire b/c it is fun to watch when he does.

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this guy needs to figure it out..3 strikeouts today, last one with the bases loaded..

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last year his stats were identical pre and post all star break for those thinking about the second half player he is.

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last year his stats were identical pre and post all star break for those thinking about the second half player he is.

Ya, but last year was an outlier than the norm. If you can, best to keep him on the bench first 6-8 weeks, then insert.

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Dude is unfathomably and comically awful right now. I had an open spot yesterday with the rain out and just sat him anyway to avoid his daily 0-4.

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dropping him. someone else can have him.

I think bench & hold is better move if possible. Always seemingly better in the 2nd half, & 5 hitter on one of the top offenses. I don't give that away for free.

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dropping him. someone else can have him.

I think bench & hold is better move if possible. Always seemingly better in the 2nd half, & 5 hitter on one of the top offenses. I don't give that away for free.

That is how I am playing it as well. He may take a roster spot from me for all of May.

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want to drop him but hes always been a slow starter only to heat up in the second half

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he's been embarrassingly brutal to start the year..0 for his last 26 or something lol. I'm just gonna bench him till he starts hitting.

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