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smeeze

Stevan Ridley 2013 Season Outlook

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Stevan Ridley showed up to the Patriots' conditioning program "looking like a house" after adding "a noticeable amount of muscle" in the offseason.

Beat writer Jeff Howe suggests Ridley "might be even more difficult to tackle" now. In 2012, Ridley finished seventh in the NFL in rush yards after contact while tying Reggie Bush and Arian Foster for the 11th most missed tackles among running backs, per Pro Football Focus' charted stats. As long as Ridley hasn't gained a ton of weight to slow him down, we're on board with additional muscle. May 3 - 11:41 AM

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Bernard Pollard ended this dude's career. He's probably still punch-drunk.

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Clown posts excluded, can't see him producing much better than last year unless he becomes more involved with the passing game.

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The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.

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I don't think it matters what RB they have, with the garbage time and all the short yardage TD opportunities the patriots get, any half decent RB should have a good season

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The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.

the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football under belichick. not sure what you're smoking

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I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.

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The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.

the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football under belichick. not sure what you're smoking

Maybe I'm imagining things, but I remember a lot of revolving door action in that backfield in recent years not just from game to game but within games. Guys getting yanked for no discernable reason at all.

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The Patriots are an Indy Car. Tom Brady is the driver. Beliaczyx is the crew chief. Ridley is a tire. I'm not spending big on a tire. They change em too often.

Beliaczyk is more Shanny than Shanny.

the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football under belichick. not sure what you're smoking

Maybe I'm imagining things, but I remember a lot of revolving door action in that backfield in recent years not just from game to game but within games. Guys getting yanked for no discernable reason at all.

nevertheless, again the patriots starting rb has always been productive in fantasy football. ridley finished 9th last year, hell BGE(far less talented btw) was successful finishing 15th in 2010, and 22nd in 2011 in an injury filled season

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I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.

It does seem logical that Vereen will get the majority of touches Woodhead leaves behind, but get real, the Patriots never indicated anything and Belejerk certainly never gives anything away. Plus, Vereen has to stay on the field to get these touches, something he had trouble doing. To your other staement, Vereen is a dynamic outside runner, but he will never match Ridley's power and explosiveness between the tackles. Barring injuries or fumblitis, Ridley's role and workload will not change and will probably get a slight bump. His experience and familiarity will the Patriot offense goes a long way to earning the trust of Brady and Belechick.

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I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.

ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about? even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries. plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

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I don't know why everyone is knocking Ridley's talent. Sure, he has virtually no role in the passing game but he runs like a man possessed when he gets his carries. The Patriots also led the league in 1st and goals last year and will likely challenge for that stat again. As RMJ_12 mentioned, the team lacks WR talent and their TEs have had issues staying on the field. The only way I can see Ridley losing carries is injury or if he puts the ball on the ground too much.

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I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.

ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about? even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries. plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.

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I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.

ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about? even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries. plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.

why do you assume all of woodhead's touches go to vereen and blount and boldin are competing to cut into ridley's touches? makes no sense

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I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.

ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about? even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries. plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.

why do you assume all of woodhead's touches go to vereen and blount and boldin are competing to cut into ridley's touches? makes no sense

Because Blount and Boldin are 1st and 2nd down runners like Ridley. Neither of them are passing-down backs. When the Patriots were in a hurry-up offense (which is/was often), nether Ridley nor Boldin were ever in on those situations in 2012; and Blount has 21 total catches for his entire 3 year career. The only other 3rd down-type back on the roster is Leon Washington and he's there mostly for kick/punt returns.

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I have the opportunity to keep Ridley. There are just too many risks and other factors at play that there are better options out there. Yes, he finished #11 in RB scoring last year in our league, making him a low-end RB1. But the Patriots have already indicated that Vereen will get all of Woodhead's touches, plus more because he's obviously a more dynamic back. Brandon Bolden is still there too. Not all that concerned with Blount, but Ridley is a two-down back in a timeshare. He scored single-digit fantasy points six times last year, including that GOOSE EGG Week 15 (First-Round of some fantasy playoffs) vs. San Francisco.

I wouldn't draft him as an RB1 (top 12). He's a third round pick in 12-team leagues.

ridley got 290 carries last year what are you worried about? even if vereen gets ALL of woodhead's 76 carries AND 40 catches vereen is still getting 290 carries. plus i think the pats will run a little more this season due to lack of wr talent and injured tight ends

Add those 114 touches of Woodhead to the 70 touches Vereen got himself in that 3-4 headed monster last year. The only other backs who will be fighting for carries in 2013 are Bolden and Blount...both of whom are competing for Ridley's snaps, not Vereen's. I'm not saying Ridley is a bad back and I'm not questioning his nearly 300 carries last year. I just don't like the overall situation to spend more than low 3rd/high 4th round pick on him.

why do you assume all of woodhead's touches go to vereen and blount and boldin are competing to cut into ridley's touches? makes no sense

Because Blount and Boldin are 1st and 2nd down runners like Ridley. Neither of them are passing-down backs. When the Patriots were in a hurry-up offense (which is/was often), nether Ridley nor Boldin were ever in on those situations in 2012; and Blount has 21 total catches for his entire 3 year career. The only other 3rd down-type back on the roster is Leon Washington and he's there mostly for kick/punt returns.

and the 40 "carries" woodhead got cant go to ridley? plus im not too worried about bolden getting many more carries than last season. also i honestly dont even think blount makes the team

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Why would anyone worry about Ridley? Dude is the best back in New England since Corey dillon, after showing flashes in year one he FLATOUT proved last year to be a feature back with potential to be elite in that category

Pats always have committed to the run, and when we have a feature back we will go with him, as has been proven last year with Ridley, 2010 with law firm (to an extent, due to his lesser talent), and especially with Corey in 04

Sure the offense is pass first and versatile but we always commit to the run, and when we have a number one back we have no problem letting him do his thing... Just hadn't had one in a while

Ridley should put up another 1200 yards and 10 td's this year, hell he mightt even run for MORE and even catch a few more passes too with welker and woodhead and lloyd out of the picture...

and vereen is another possible fantasy option due to his ability as a homerun hitter running and receiving the ball, he might put up big numbers as well as the #2 back and receiving option.... Very talented and productive rb duo in New England behind that monster offensive line.

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people gotta understand the Pats more often than not plays into the second half of games with a lead... before Ridley's fumbling issues, he was on the field closing out games and gaining most of his yards... there were times where he was taken off the field or doesnt get the goal line carries in the first half; its more of the Pat's offensive system and possibly keeping Ridley fresh to close out games...

the only worry is his fumbling...

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I was all about taking a chance on Ridley last year based on BJGE finishing as an RB2 the previous two years. At a price of a 6th round pick, I figured you were getting a high end RB2. Sure enough, that worked great. But this year, he costs a late 2nd/early 3rd and I can't fathom him getting more carries. For a guy who finished around RB11, you are pretty much paying for his ceiling if you draft him this year.

IIRC, Bolden got hurt last year so Ridley gained a few carries from that injury and now they've brought in Blount who was averaging 4.6 ypc on 385 carries on a HORRIBLE Raheem Morris team. Ridley managed a healthy 4.4 ypc last year, but that can't be too hard when you play for the Patriots. Also take into account that Ridley has 25 carries inside the 5 yard line and he's only amassed 8 yards and 8 touchdowns on those 25 carries. BJGE converted over 50% of his carries inside the 5 into touchdowns.

Despite a solid fantasy football season, Ridley is looking very replaceable (very much like his predecessor). Chances are that he hangs onto his job, but I think people are letting fantasy football cloud their judgment if they think he's got a rock solid hold on his job as a 1st and 2nd down runner (and goal line back). His stats are actually pretty mediocre, so if he fumbles and Blount, Vereen, or Bolden take over and start producing at a higher clip, there is little reason to believe BB won't let them keep the job.

Ridley has swung from a top redraft target in 2012 for me to a total DND in 2013.

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I was all about taking a chance on Ridley last year based on BJGE finishing as an RB2 the previous two years. At a price of a 6th round pick, I figured you were getting a high end RB2. Sure enough, that worked great. But this year, he costs a late 2nd/early 3rd and I can't fathom him getting more carries. For a guy who finished around RB11, you are pretty much paying for his ceiling if you draft him this year.

IIRC, Bolden got hurt last year so Ridley gained a few carries from that injury and now they've brought in Blount who was averaging 4.6 ypc on 385 carries on a HORRIBLE Raheem Morris team. Ridley managed a healthy 4.4 ypc last year, but that can't be too hard when you play for the Patriots. Also take into account that Ridley has 25 carries inside the 5 yard line and he's only amassed 8 yards and 8 touchdowns on those 25 carries. BJGE converted over 50% of his carries inside the 5 into touchdowns.

Despite a solid fantasy football season, Ridley is looking very replaceable (very much like his predecessor). Chances are that he hangs onto his job, but I think people are letting fantasy football cloud their judgment if they think he's got a rock solid hold on his job as a 1st and 2nd down runner (and goal line back). His stats are actually pretty mediocre, so if he fumbles and Blount, Vereen, or Bolden take over and start producing at a higher clip, there is little reason to believe BB won't let them keep the job.

Ridley has swung from a top redraft target in 2012 for me to a total DND in 2013.

Well, just a SLIGHT overreaction. I think you trying too hard to be the FF Ninja. Belechick and Brady are big on predictability and reliability. Ridley is both. He has better knowledge of the offense and more time in than all the other backs combined. Unless he gets injured or fumbles several times in the first few games his 2013 numbers will look a lot like his 2012 numbers, probably better if he gets a few more targets in the passing game.

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I was targeting him last year, because I thought the value he offered for his ADP was great. I like him this year too, just not sure if I'm willing to pay what he'll cost. I think he'll be in for another solid year, but I also think he has a lower ceiling than alot of others because of how they run their offense. I hate how pretty much whatever RB is in the game when they get near the GL gets the carries because of the uptempo pace. I watched with frustration at times last year as Woodhead or Vereen were punching it in. Also he didn't break 100 yards once in the second half of the season, although he did score 7 TDs. But that brings us back to the first point, TDs in that offense can sometimes be unpredictable.

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I was all about taking a chance on Ridley last year based on BJGE finishing as an RB2 the previous two years. At a price of a 6th round pick, I figured you were getting a high end RB2. Sure enough, that worked great. But this year, he costs a late 2nd/early 3rd and I can't fathom him getting more carries. For a guy who finished around RB11, you are pretty much paying for his ceiling if you draft him this year.

IIRC, Bolden got hurt last year so Ridley gained a few carries from that injury and now they've brought in Blount who was averaging 4.6 ypc on 385 carries on a HORRIBLE Raheem Morris team. Ridley managed a healthy 4.4 ypc last year, but that can't be too hard when you play for the Patriots. Also take into account that Ridley has 25 carries inside the 5 yard line and he's only amassed 8 yards and 8 touchdowns on those 25 carries. BJGE converted over 50% of his carries inside the 5 into touchdowns.

Despite a solid fantasy football season, Ridley is looking very replaceable (very much like his predecessor). Chances are that he hangs onto his job, but I think people are letting fantasy football cloud their judgment if they think he's got a rock solid hold on his job as a 1st and 2nd down runner (and goal line back). His stats are actually pretty mediocre, so if he fumbles and Blount, Vereen, or Bolden take over and start producing at a higher clip, there is little reason to believe BB won't let them keep the job.

Ridley has swung from a top redraft target in 2012 for me to a total DND in 2013.

Well, just a SLIGHT overreaction. I think you trying too hard to be the FF Ninja. Belechick and Brady are big on predictability and reliability. Ridley is both. He has better knowledge of the offense and more time in than all the other backs combined. Unless he gets injured or fumbles several times in the first few games his 2013 numbers will look a lot like his 2012 numbers, probably better if he gets a few more targets in the passing game.

Nope. Just being realistic. Don't be the sucker who pays for last year's stats. Ridley is highly unlikely to surpass last year's numbers, but his average draft position is basically even with last year's production.

And why would he see more targets? With Shane Vereen and Leon Washington around, Ridley is still a 2 down back. But now he's got competition. Right down Ridley is all downside and no upside.

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I was all about taking a chance on Ridley last year based on BJGE finishing as an RB2 the previous two years. At a price of a 6th round pick, I figured you were getting a high end RB2. Sure enough, that worked great. But this year, he costs a late 2nd/early 3rd and I can't fathom him getting more carries. For a guy who finished around RB11, you are pretty much paying for his ceiling if you draft him this year.

IIRC, Bolden got hurt last year so Ridley gained a few carries from that injury and now they've brought in Blount who was averaging 4.6 ypc on 385 carries on a HORRIBLE Raheem Morris team. Ridley managed a healthy 4.4 ypc last year, but that can't be too hard when you play for the Patriots. Also take into account that Ridley has 25 carries inside the 5 yard line and he's only amassed 8 yards and 8 touchdowns on those 25 carries. BJGE converted over 50% of his carries inside the 5 into touchdowns.

Despite a solid fantasy football season, Ridley is looking very replaceable (very much like his predecessor). Chances are that he hangs onto his job, but I think people are letting fantasy football cloud their judgment if they think he's got a rock solid hold on his job as a 1st and 2nd down runner (and goal line back). His stats are actually pretty mediocre, so if he fumbles and Blount, Vereen, or Bolden take over and start producing at a higher clip, there is little reason to believe BB won't let them keep the job.

Ridley has swung from a top redraft target in 2012 for me to a total DND in 2013.

That is the part everyone (i.e. people with Ridley as a keeper) seems to be dismissing or refuse to acknowledge. Granted Bolden's stats last year were completely inflated by one ridiculous game against Buffalo, he was very much a part of the rotation before the knee injury and four-game suspension. ESPN says he was third in total RB snaps behind Ridley and Woodhead in 2012 before missing time. The Patriots obviously like Bolden and will get him involved. No way Ridley exceeds his 290 carries from last year...and no way I'm spending a second round pick on a guy you're simply HOPING will match last year's stats. Even in the third round, I'd rather have the upside of a Randall Cobb or Larry Fitzgerald before Ridley. The price is just too high for him this year, especially in his situation. Fourth round...I'm all over him, but someone will reach before that.

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I was all about taking a chance on Ridley last year based on BJGE finishing as an RB2 the previous two years. At a price of a 6th round pick, I figured you were getting a high end RB2. Sure enough, that worked great. But this year, he costs a late 2nd/early 3rd and I can't fathom him getting more carries. For a guy who finished around RB11, you are pretty much paying for his ceiling if you draft him this year.

IIRC, Bolden got hurt last year so Ridley gained a few carries from that injury and now they've brought in Blount who was averaging 4.6 ypc on 385 carries on a HORRIBLE Raheem Morris team. Ridley managed a healthy 4.4 ypc last year, but that can't be too hard when you play for the Patriots. Also take into account that Ridley has 25 carries inside the 5 yard line and he's only amassed 8 yards and 8 touchdowns on those 25 carries. BJGE converted over 50% of his carries inside the 5 into touchdowns.

Despite a solid fantasy football season, Ridley is looking very replaceable (very much like his predecessor). Chances are that he hangs onto his job, but I think people are letting fantasy football cloud their judgment if they think he's got a rock solid hold on his job as a 1st and 2nd down runner (and goal line back). His stats are actually pretty mediocre, so if he fumbles and Blount, Vereen, or Bolden take over and start producing at a higher clip, there is little reason to believe BB won't let them keep the job.

Ridley has swung from a top redraft target in 2012 for me to a total DND in 2013.

Well, just a SLIGHT overreaction. I think you trying too hard to be the FF Ninja. Belechick and Brady are big on predictability and reliability. Ridley is both. He has better knowledge of the offense and more time in than all the other backs combined. Unless he gets injured or fumbles several times in the first few games his 2013 numbers will look a lot like his 2012 numbers, probably better if he gets a few more targets in the passing game.

Nope. Just being realistic. Don't be the sucker who pays for last year's stats. Ridley is highly unlikely to surpass last year's numbers, but his average draft position is basically even with last year's production.

And why would he see more targets? With Shane Vereen and Leon Washington around, Ridley is still a 2 down back. But now he's got competition. Right down Ridley is all downside and no upside.

Yea, but dnd? You and everyone else is tripping, trying to out think the room. You got fragile Vereen who flashed for about 6 qtrs. in limited duty and Washington's the new Woodhead? That's all you have? First, Washington is like 50 years old. If you think he's Sproles then welcome to fantasy island. Then rotoworld and the talking heads are pumping Vereen, like he's gonna take over? Nonsense. There's a good chance Ridley gets more involved in the passing game and he's the workhorse in that backfield, no way around it. I think Ridley's good for one more massive season before a slight breather in 2014.

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