Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

Fenam

Martin Perez 2014 Outlook

192 posts in this topic

Great change-up: 8.5 runs above average (top 15 minimum 120 IP). Working on the cutter. Solid 2013. Sparkling new contract.

Worth a late round flyer?

Pitchergifs.com

FB:

i1kDRim1sReo7.gif

CH:

ibiuYDctHS0Wqa.gif

Slider:

ibnj2IboSzE4HN.gif

Curve:

ibssIxhjrk9TDM.gif

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Possible opening day starter for the rangers. Former top prospect. I kind of like him as a post hype sleeper.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Didn't like his ratios last year so why all the optimism for this coming year. I want to believe...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Groundball tendencies, excellent changeup, hopefully adding a cutter helps him vs. LH batters.

Still very young and certainly can take a step forward. The "when" is the big question.

With a strong offense backing him, should be good for some Ws even if he just repeats last year's numbers.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Didn't like his ratios last year so why all the optimism for this coming year. I want to believe...

22 years old. Third season in the bigs. Ratios moved in the right direction last year (ERA from 5.45 down to 3.62, WHIP went down big too). I haven't heard any talk of an innings cap yet, and it sounds like he's going to be locked into the rotation all year.

If Taxes has confidence enough to start this guy on Opening Day, it's probably a telling sign.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If Taxes has confidence enough to start this guy on Opening Day, it's probably a telling sign.

I think the sign is everybody's hurt (Yu & Holland) or stunk (Ogando)

1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

If Taxes has confidence enough to start this guy on Opening Day, it's probably a telling sign.

I think the sign is everybody's hurt (Yu & Holland) or stunk (Ogando)

lol this.

i used martin last year for a bit, i'm not entirely down on the kid, but his minors numbers don't really look all that encouraging. i base a lot of my young pitching flyers on their minor league portfolio, and this kid's isn't impressive at all. In nearly 600 innings (massive sample size) his career whip is 1.46, and strikeout rate is 7.6/9. not to mention an era over 4. color me not impressed..

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

i used martin last year for a bit, i'm not entirely down on the kid, but his minors numbers don't really look all that encouraging. i base a lot of my young pitching flyers on their minor league portfolio, and this kid's isn't impressive at all. In nearly 600 innings (massive sample size) his career whip is 1.46, and strikeout rate is 7.6/9. not to mention an era over 4. color me not impressed..

I agree that the underlying numbers don't scream "future ace." But you cannot simply cite his numbers and assume he's tapped his entire potential. He is 22 years old right now and made leaps and bounds improvements last year compared to the previous year. He has always been a hyped prospect and he showed flashes of dominance in several games last year:

  • June 28: 6.2 IP, 7 base runners, 0 ER, 14 ground ball outs, 4-0 win vs. high-powered CIN
  • July 31: 7.1 IP, 6 base runners, 1 ER, 2-1 win vs. LAA
  • Aug. 11: 9.0 IP, 6 base runners, 1 ER, 8 Ks in 8-1 win @HOU
  • Sept. 3: 7.0 IP, 8 base runners, 1 ER, 5 Ks, 5-1 win @OAK

He will never be a high K guy. But he's a ground ball pitcher (had 55 GB outs in 36.1 IP last September, and 198 GB outs in 124.1 IP total) and plays for a winning team. He is easily worth a late-round flyer and could slot nicely as a solid SP3 or SP4.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

breakout potential here. Rangers are very high on this kid, and he made big improvements last year and it went on. He's a gamer, which they need since all the injuries to staff. More real life value than fantasy, but still useful in most leagues. Wins especially.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

He's got the goods. Not sure if this is the year he's ready to be consistently good though.

That said, lovin' it!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A thing to watch for is how he fares vs. lefties. He has got a top changeup but needs a similarly strong pitch vs. lefties to truly take a step forward. Very encouraging of the combo of Ks and grounders tonight.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A thing to watch for is how he fares vs. lefties. He has got a top changeup but needs a similarly strong pitch vs. lefties to truly take a step forward. Very encouraging of the combo of Ks and grounders tonight.

Had the lefties chasing the slider and the righties flailing at the change. When both are working he can be pretty deadly. Got Revere who is one of the harder players in the league to strike out twice, chasing a slider in the 1st then later with a big looping curve. His best pitch might have been a 3-2 change to Rollins, fooled him so bad, it was great.

1 person likes this

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Have to keep it in perspective that the Phillies notoriously struggle versus left handed pitching. He will be a nice stream option but he will run into his troubles pitching in Arlington more times then not. I do like him though but just on a matchup basis. With that being said he may be lined up for two starts next week if Yu comes back for his Sunday start. Boston and Houston would be on tap.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

A thing to watch for is how he fares vs. lefties. He has got a top changeup but needs a similarly strong pitch vs. lefties to truly take a step forward. Very encouraging of the combo of Ks and grounders tonight.

Had the lefties chasing the slider and the righties flailing at the change. When both are working he can be pretty deadly. Got Revere who is one of the harder players in the league to strike out twice, chasing a slider in the 1st then later with a big looping curve. His best pitch might have been a 3-2 change to Rollins, fooled him so bad, it was great.

There was also a wicked 3-2 change up to Utley that disappeared from the strike zone right as Utley swung above it. A thing of beauty, and shows me he has confidence in his change up in any situation.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm not starting him because I have better options, but I think he matches up okay against Boston. Ground ball pitcher. Didn't walk any in his first outing. I will be interested to see his strikeouts in this one.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I'm not starting him, but will be watching intently. @BOS is one of the worst possible matchups for a SP. No need to take a chance on thrashing my ratios this early in the week.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

BOS hasn't looked that good so far, but I am leaning toward benching as well although I think he will pitch fine.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

BOS hasn't looked that good so far, but I am leaning toward benching as well although I think he will pitch fine.

When Boston snaps out of it whichever pitcher is on the mound is going to get slaughtered. But I have no idea when that will be.

I always forget that this kid is only 22. I'm seeing prime Wandy Rodriguez in him. Thoughts?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.