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Rabbit Maranville

Dallas Keuchel 2014 Outlook

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He has quietly put up some decent numbers. If he keeps this up, he's definitely rosterable as a back-end guy in mixers.

His peripherals say the numbers are for real, and he's scrapped his bad curve for a good slider. Allow Eno Sarris to explain(excuse the random URL)

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/brad-miller-swinging-at-the-wrong-pitches/

I bought going into this week, and I've liked what I've seen. Who else has made the add?

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I've strongly considered it as a back end rotation guy like you said but I'm scared he'll blow up and ruin a week of mine. Then again I don't know much about him and haven't done the research.

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I've got my eye on Keuchel.

Things I like so far:

1. SwStr% is trending up 11.2% this season versus 8.9% '13 and 5.5% '12.

2. Aforementioned change from Curve to Slider

3. The fastball has been much better this season so far. Looks like he is using the two seamer more with much better control. I can bust out the sabermetrics if you want but it might be a little much. Summary: >FT% + >FT(K%)-FT(BB%) = :)

4. Trending down Contact% is 85,3% versus 90.2% '13 and 93.5% '12

5. Of pitchers under age 28 his K/BB is tenth. Notable guys he is currently ahead of: Lynn, Straily, Darvish, Cashner, Ventura, Teheran, Ryu, Wheeler. He's 26 btw and was born on New Years day in 1988.

Obviously all that can change in one bad start, but so far so good.

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His start today was nowhere as bad as the stats would indicate. He was absolutely dealing through 6, then suddenly lost his control and walked the bases loaded. Cisnero comes in and then proceeds to let all of the inherited runners score and then 2 more runs of his own in an 8 run inning for the Mariners

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This guy should be monitored in all mixed leagues right now.

He is sporting a very nice K% and GB%, which are two factors that I love to see in a pitcher.

His numbers so far are respectable, but the peripheral indicators suggest that he is actually getting a tad unlucky and should actually have even better numbers. He had a 3.35 FIP and 3.08 xFIP entering today and is putting up a solid performance against Detroit.

Right now he might just be a spot starter for you depending on your league size, but if he on your waiver, his numbers so far are legitimate and might actually improve once that HR/FB% and LOB% regulate a little bit.

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This guy should be monitored in all mixed leagues right now.

He is sporting a very nice K% and GB%, which are two factors that I love to see in a pitcher.

His numbers so far are respectable, but the peripheral indicators suggest that he is actually getting a tad unlucky and should actually have even better numbers. He had a 3.35 FIP and 3.08 xFIP entering today and is putting up a solid performance against Detroit.

Right now he might just be a spot starter for you depending on your league size, but if he on your waiver, his numbers so far are legitimate and might actually improve once that HR/FB% and LOB% regulate a little bit.

Keuchel presents a perfect opportunity for a bottom-of-the-barrel bargain that may pay dividends.

He is on no one's radar for good reason.

  • Terrible career ERA? Check.
  • Mediocre career K rate? Check.
  • Mediocre 3.95 ERA this year? Check.
  • Plays for the worst team in baseball? Check.

Yet he is leading the entire majors by over 4% in best ground ball rate (66+%); has completely reworked his ability to rack up strikeouts (21.7% K rate, 8.17 K/9) that is backed up by excellent peripherals (10.9% SwSt, 75% contact, 2.97 FIP, 3.08 xFIP). I can't see a single thing in his profile that he is doing worse this year than previous years, except for his F-strike%, which is only slightly down to a still very-good 61.8%.

Although his .308 BABIP seems normal and unlikely to decline, he is giving up only 11.5% line drives and is generating 13% pop ups -- in other words, even his moderate .308 BABIP may start going down and help Keuchel's overall numbers improve.

All this to say that I think Keuchel is primed for a very nice rest of season. He won't get many wins, and he needs to cut down on HRs allowed, but I see no reason why this elite ground ball, solid K-rate pitcher shouldn't be owned in at least 14 team leagues right now.

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Anyone thinking of rolling him out against the Rangers tonight?

Rolling the dice and starting him. The Rangers have been lackluster to start the season. That coupled with not many games this week is prompting me to start him. He'll probably stick on my team if he looks decent. Hoping for the QS + Ks and not much else.

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He's been quietly decent and his stats have me interested. If he has a good game against Texas its time to grab him.

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Keuchel is 0-2 with a 4.75 ERA in five career starts against the Rangers.

Think I'm going to pass on him tonight.

Read more at http://sportschatpla...wITO1iA759zs.99

He's a case where those numbers won't be so useful since he's reinvented himself for this year with the slider

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looking dominant through 5 vs. Tex

gets 2 starts next week @LAA and @Sea

might be worth a pickup

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Shut out against the Rangers should get people talking. Is this guy the real deal?

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Shut out against the Rangers should get people talking. Is this guy the real deal?

giving up only 2 runs in 7 2/3 innings last week at Detroit was pretty impressive as well.

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Everything I've read on this guy says that he can maintain at least a semblance of what he is doing out there. He is a remade pitcher.

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