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NCAAB Team Pool, Who to Draft? (5th Pick)

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This year some friends and I are doing a NCAAB Division I pool, where the scoring is as follows:

1 win = 1 point

1 win against AP Top 25 = 2 points

1 win against AP Top 10 = 3 points

(So a win vs. a Top 10 team is worth 5 points)

Also, halfway through the season you can make one add/drop.

I have the 5th pick of a serpentine style draft, who should I target with my first two picks? Guessing UNC, Kansas and Duke will likely be gone before my turn, not sure about the fourth.

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