IlliniGuy76

Kris Bryant 2018 Outlook

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In his last 94 ABs he has an OPS of less than 600. I know of bullpen non roster catchers that have higher OPS’ than that. 

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7 hours ago, osb_tensor said:

few interesting stats. according to statcast:

his avg exit velocity this season (87) is consistent with last season (87), but both are a little lower than in 2015 and 2016 (89 in both). nothing that screams "problem"

his avg launch angle is actually higher this season (19) than last (16), and more in line with 2015 and 2016 (19 and 20). again, nothing that jumps out as a negative.

the outfield positioning is pretty consistent year to year, where he sees a normal outfield configuration (i.e., not a shift) on about 91% of his pitches.

the infield positioning, though, has taken a nose dive this season. bryant has seen a dramatic increase in non-standard infield positioning (i.e., infield shift) on a per pitch basis.

  • 2015 - 77.9% of pitches were with a standard infield position alignment by the defense
  • 2016 - 56.3%
  • 2017 - 62.6%
  • 2018 - 44.6%

obviously the infield shift doesn't play much of a role in hitting home runs, but i wonder if it could affect a change in his plate approach? also, this is opponent dependent and if he's played teams that shift more than others at the beginning of the season, it could regress as the season moves on. ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

 

This is actually very alarming to me. 87.1 for a guy with his raw power is unfathomable. The MLB average is 87.3 Bryant is 6'5" and was one of the most vaunted power hitters in baseball a couple years ago. For reference sake, Aaron Judge's average exit velocity is nearly 10 MPH higher. To me, this shows that he's taken his sell out for contact approach a bit too far. He's decided he's going to strike out less but the only way he can do that is by not tapping into his power as much. He needs to find a happy medium where he keeps the K's in check but doesn't do so at the expense of his power swing so often.... easier said than done, of course, but I think that's what's going on here.

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53 minutes ago, Jyeatbvg said:

He's actually droppable now...

 

giphy.gif

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He’s like the billy Madison scene with the flaming bag of poop... 

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Anyone else feel he hasn’t been right since the concussion?

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1 hour ago, cyberer said:

Anyone else feel he hasn’t been right since the concussion?

 

KB's injury happened at the end of April. He hit 6 of his Hr's (8 total) in the first 2 weeks of May. Don't think Concussion is causing this. If anything, this doesn't go back to the injury, it goes back to 2016, which was the last time he was performing to expectation. At this point, we're just trying to figure out who KB actually is. Is he more 2016 or 2017? Unfortunately, looking like 2016 is the outlier now. 

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Posted (edited)

I know he's trying to be a more complete hitter with a more mature approach at the plate but frankly, it's not working.  It'd be a different story if he was hitting .320 and walking a ton but the dude is batting .280 and on pace to strike out 140 times still.  if you're gonna do that, might as well just sell out on the power, cash in the 40+ bombs and settle in the .275 area w/ 190 K's like you used to a couple yrs back.

 

This .280 with 20 hrs 80 rbi pace is garbage and kind of a bummer from one of your expected big time cornerstone hitters....

Edited by markygunit
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leading off today....

 

didnt think i was drafting a leadoff hitter who doesnt run...

 

really disappointed at this point

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Posted (edited)
7 hours ago, jeffr913 said:

Is this guy over rated or what

What.

Edited by Dislimb

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I’m tired of the “complete hitter” stuff.

 

He’s a great hitter. We know. 

 

Hes a medicore asset in the fantasy game. 

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June 23: Kris Bryant is not in today’s starting lineup v the Reds. It’s just a routine day off for the hard hitting third baseman.

Can anyone tell me what Kris Bryant has hit hard in the past two seasons? 

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18 hours ago, Stickfig13 said:

I’m tired of the “complete hitter” stuff.

 

He’s a great hitter. We know. 

 

Hes a medicore asset in the fantasy game. 

yep he and rizzo both been overrated in fantasy for awhile now. still got suckered in with bryant in the 2nd rd in a couple leagues. (looking at jdm lines stings)

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The FantasyPros blurbs are funny too:

 

Fantasy Impact

Bryant has been slumping the past two weeks but is still one of the best options in fantasy. Enjoy owning Bryant.

Jamie Mellor1 day ago

 

It’s like none of these fantasy writers own Bryant so they don’t know how meh he has been.

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Posted (edited)

ops down 80ish pts from last 2 years says alot or i should say slg wayyy down

think i would trade bryant straight up for bregman

 

edit- bryant will hit a hot streak soon but still this is brutal

Edited by colepenhagen

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Mar/Apr: 15 BB's/14 SO's

May: 13 BB's/25 SO's

June: 6 BB's/27 SO's

 

Disturbing trend to say the least.

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He's still caught between approaches, IMO. Needs to scrap the selling out for contact approach and go back to driving the ball out of the ballpark. His K% improvement from year to year has been impressive but when it comes at the cost of 30%-40% of your home run output it's not really worth it.

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I don’t know, maybe he’s just not that good. His MVP year was his ceiling. 

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This smells like something more than a DTD thing. My guess is that he has been hurt for some time.  

 

I’m looking to sell 

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1 hour ago, Stickfig13 said:

This smells like something more than a DTD thing. My guess is that he has been hurt for some time.  

 

I’m looking to sell 

 

I waiting for the news blurb with 'retroactively put on the DL' - give him two weeks off if its going to help - get him healthy, don't need a nagging shoulder injury

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Unless he has a huge second half, which appears highly unlikely at this point with the Juan Pierre hitting approach he and his batting coach seemed to have embraced, this'll be the last year I own this guy in my keeper league.  My patience has worn thin as this is going on Year 2 of this dumba$$ hitting style.  It's incredibly frustrating because this feels nothing like just a player having an "off year" which happens all the time in baseball. No, it feels intentional -- the guy is trying to be something he ain't -- fixing what wasn't even broken.

 

This dude is 6'5, 230 pounds with prodigious power.  Leave it to the Cubs to try to tinker with his approach after an MVP season. 

 

And by the way, he hit 39 homers BEFORE MLB implemented the new "baseballs" that caused the spike in hr's across the board.  He should really be sitting on 50 hrs annually, rivaled only by the likes of Judge and Stanton.  

 

But nahhh, hey I know, let's try batting him leadoff fellas!  Again, 6'5, 230 pounds.  

 

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Posted (edited)

Its his swing, he can't hit pitches high in the zone or above, pitchers have adjusted to him pitch him high or low and away and he can't do anything with it. Don't give him anything low middle and in, he can't hit the other pitches, same thing with Bellinger, guys with uppercut swings can't hit pitches high in the zone and do anything with it

Edited by azeri98
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2 hours ago, markygunit said:

Unless he has a huge second half, which appears highly unlikely at this point with the Juan Pierre hitting approach he and his batting coach seemed to have embraced, this'll be the last year I own this guy in my keeper league.  My patience has worn thin as this is going on Year 2 of this dumba$$ hitting style.  It's incredibly frustrating because this feels nothing like just a player having an "off year" which happens all the time in baseball. No, it feels intentional -- the guy is trying to be something he ain't -- fixing what wasn't even broken.

 

This dude is 6'5, 230 pounds with prodigious power.  Leave it to the Cubs to try to tinker with his approach after an MVP season. 

 

And by the way, he hit 39 homers BEFORE MLB implemented the new "baseballs" that caused the spike in hr's across the board.  He should really be sitting on 50 hrs annually, rivaled only by the likes of Judge and Stanton.  

 

But nahhh, hey I know, let's try batting him leadoff fellas!  Again, 6'5, 230 pounds.  

 

 

Something isn’t going right in Chicago. Bryant has been mediocre, Rizzo is having a down year, Addison Russell is a shell of his 2016 year, and Schwarber is a sub .250 hitter. 

 

 

 

 

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