Corleone

Tyreek Hill 2018 Outlook

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2 minutes ago, Corleone said:

In the latest update for Tyreek in this thread, to give you a sense of where he stands week-to-week...

 

Tyreek produced the following numbers in Week 11...

10 catches (on 14 targets)

215 receiving yards

22 punt return yards

2 TD's

 

This was his **FOURTH** week of the season in which he was the #1 WR for the week (Week 1, Week 6, Week 10, Week 11).

 

In my main league's scoring system (.25 point PPR format for WR's & RB's, .50 point PPR for TE's, 6 points for a TD, 1 point for every 15 receiving or rushing yards, 1 point for every 30 return yards, and 3 point bonus for a 100-yard receiving or rushing game), here are Tyreek's ranks. Every scoring system is different, but it goes to show where Tyreek has ranked across the past two years...

 

At the end of Week 3 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 7 2017, he was the #2 WR

At the end of Week 8 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 9 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 10 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 13 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 14 2017, he was the #4 WR

At the end of Week 16 2017, he was the #3 WR
(Tyreek then sat out Week 17 2017 along with other KC starters)

At the end of Week 1 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 2 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 3 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 4 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 6 2018, he was the #1 WR
At the end of Week 7 2018, he was the #2 WR

At the end of Week 8 2018, he was the #2 WR

At the end of Week 10 2018, he was the #1 WR

And at the end of Week 11 2018, he is the #1 WR.

 

Soooo, wait a second...you're saying he's NOT boom/bust, correct?

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I remember being called crazy for saying Tyreek had overall top 2 WR upside. Because Sammy Watkins is there, Mahomes can't be as good as Smith was last year, Hill's efficiency has to go down, etc. The moral of the story is believe in top end talent.

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So mad I didn’t get this guy. I was targeting  Mahomes and always wanted to stack with Hill but Keenan Allen fell and took him instead. Yikes. Congrats to Hill owners the guy is a cheat code for fantasy football.

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55 minutes ago, Corleone said:

In the latest update for Tyreek in this thread, to give you a sense of where he stands week-to-week...

 

Tyreek produced the following numbers in Week 11...

10 catches (on 14 targets)

215 receiving yards

22 punt return yards

2 TD's

 

This was his **FOURTH** week of the season in which he was the #1 WR for the week (Week 1, Week 6, Week 10, Week 11).

 

In my main league's scoring system (.25 point PPR format for WR's & RB's, .50 point PPR for TE's, 6 points for a TD, 1 point for every 15 receiving or rushing yards, 1 point for every 30 return yards, and 3 point bonus for a 100-yard receiving or rushing game), here are Tyreek's ranks. Every scoring system is different, but it goes to show where Tyreek has ranked across the past two years...

 

At the end of Week 3 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 7 2017, he was the #2 WR

At the end of Week 8 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 9 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 10 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 13 2017, he was the #3 WR

At the end of Week 14 2017, he was the #4 WR

At the end of Week 16 2017, he was the #3 WR
(Tyreek then sat out Week 17 2017 along with other KC starters)

At the end of Week 1 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 2 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 3 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 4 2018, he was the #1 WR

At the end of Week 6 2018, he was the #1 WR
At the end of Week 7 2018, he was the #2 WR

At the end of Week 8 2018, he was the #2 WR

At the end of Week 10 2018, he was the #1 WR

And at the end of Week 11 2018, he is the #1 WR.

 

If you were to measure week to week consistency you be showing ups where he ranks in isolation each individual week. Not were he stands YTD after each week.

 

I don't really care, because his high weeks single highhandedly win match ups, so cheers mate.

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I don't see how he isn't a top 3 pick next year.  Second place WR is more than 40 points off the pace.  So jealous of all you guys that have this advantage.

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Drafting him at the 21 spot in my Dynasty league startup this year has been such a pleasure. He is a fantastic player, love watching him. The Chiefs need to get a contract with him done before next season, he gonna get paid!

Edited by metalmat

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He definitely falls under the category of a true league winner, because Tyreek was drafted as a WR2 in most leagues.

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Monster game, look forward to more! Not to add to speculation but I noticed on his very last catch last night, he looked to be holding his wrist/hand awkwardly. It looked like his hand made contact with the defenders helmet.  I expected to see some news this AM about it, but haven’t seen anything so I hope it was nothing. The bye week of course helps though. Looked minor if anything. 

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9 hours ago, Slatykamora said:

If you were to measure week to week consistency you be showing ups where he ranks in isolation each individual week. Not were he stands YTD after each week.

 

I don't really care, because his high weeks single highhandedly win match ups, so cheers mate.

 

Cheers as well and agreed towards his highs. Here also are stats for the top WR's this season, in terms of Top 20 WR weeks and duds (from the scoring system I mentioned above; obviously there could be slight variations per scoring system, but it gives a pretty good idea about each player's production):

 

Tyreek: 6 weeks in Top 20; 5 weeks in Top 10 (4 weeks as #1 WR); 1 dud

Thielen: 8 weeks in Top 20; 5 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 0 duds

D.Adams: 7 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 0 duds

A.Brown: 7 weeks in Top 20; 2 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 0 duds

M.Thomas: 7 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 1 dud

Hopkins: 6 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 0 duds

Julio: 6 weeks in Top 20; 5 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 0 duds

Odell: 7 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 2 duds

Diggs: 4 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 3 duds

Evans: 5 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 3 duds

Green: 4 weeks in Top 20; 1 week in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #2); 0 duds

Hilton: 3 weeks in Top 20; 2 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #2); 2 duds

B.Cooks: 6 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 2 duds

JuJu: 6 weeks in Top 20; 1 week in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 1 dud

Sanders: 4 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 2 duds

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6 minutes ago, Corleone said:

 

Cheers as well and agreed towards his highs. Here also are stats for the top WR's this season, in terms of Top 20 WR weeks and duds (from the scoring system I mentioned above; obviously there could be slight variations per scoring system, but it gives a pretty good idea about each player's production):

 

Tyreek: 6 weeks in Top 20; 5 weeks in Top 10 (4 weeks as #1 WR); 1 dud

Thielen: 8 weeks in Top 20; 5 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 0 duds

D.Adams: 7 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 0 duds

A.Brown: 7 weeks in Top 20; 2 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 0 duds

M.Thomas: 7 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 1 dud

Hopkins: 6 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 0 duds

Julio: 6 weeks in Top 20; 5 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 0 duds

Odell: 7 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 2 duds

Diggs: 4 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 3 duds

Evans: 5 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #3); 3 duds

Green: 4 weeks in Top 20; 1 week in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #2); 0 duds

Hilton: 3 weeks in Top 20; 2 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #2); 2 duds

B.Cooks: 6 weeks in Top 20; 4 weeks in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 2 duds

JuJu: 6 weeks in Top 20; 1 week in Top 10 (0 weeks as #1 WR; high is #4); 1 dud

Sanders: 4 weeks in Top 20; 3 weeks in Top 10 (1 week as #1 WR); 2 duds

 

 

That green column is so damn beautiful :)

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13 minutes ago, dylanj said:

gets the raiders next B)

 

giphy.gif

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Random fun fact time...

 

Here's how Tyreek has done for owners in Week 16 (the Finals in almost all leagues) so far in his career...

 

--Week 16 2016: 6 catches - 95 yards - 1 TD (and 21 punt return yards)

--Week 16 2017: 6 catches - 109 yards - 0 TD (and 1 punt return yard)

 

To those of us that have him, let's hope we're still playing in Week 16, and that he has another TD and/or 100 yard receiving game in him for that week. 

Edited by Corleone

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Continuing this ongoing feature...

Per Pro Football Reference, here are the WR's since 2000, who have at least 26 TD's in the first 42 regular season games of their careers:

 

      Scoring
Rk Player From To Lg Tm G W L T W-L% XPM XPA XP% FGM FGA FG% 2PM Sfty TD Pts
1 Odell Beckham 2014 2016 NFL NYG 42 20 22 0 0.476                 35 210
2 Tyreek Hill 2016 2018 NFL KAN 42 30 12 0 0.714                 32 192
3 Dez Bryant 2010 2012 NFL DAL 42 19 23 0 0.452             1   29 176
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On 8/19/2018 at 4:40 PM, Gohawks said:

I very highly doubt he outscores Thomas. Thomas is the model of consistency.

Don't you ever doubt me again...

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