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kidtwentytwo

Freddy Peralta 2018 Outlook

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Not sure why the brewers keep giving rookie pitchers their first start of the season in coors, but here we are.  This guy has promise, and does pitch in Colorado Springs.  Hopefully it doesn’t jack him

up too much

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What's the word on how long he stays (assuming a passable performance)?  It seems like he's taking Chase Anderson's spot, who's on the 10-day DL with an illness.  Presumably that illness will pass and Anderson will return to the rotation after the minimum DL stay.

 

Suter and Woodruff both seem like candidates to get replaced, but not sure to what extent the Brewers are going to want to replace either of them with a fresh rookie.

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Big debut! His stuff is more solid than wow, and his command can go sideways, but he hides the ball extremely well and does get spin.

Pretty nice for a 21 yr old.

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2 minutes ago, ST. STEVEN said:

Big debut! His stuff is more solid than wow, and his command can go sideways, but he hides the ball extremely well and does get spin.

Pretty nice for a 21 yr old.

What's his velocity like?

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3 minutes ago, pbjfb said:

What's his velocity like?

90-94, but more on the low end...

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2 minutes ago, ST. STEVEN said:

90-94, but more on the low end...

Seems like this guy doesn't necessarily have great stuff, just great delivery, so is that sustainable? Like after the batters see him a few times, they'll start to hit him? What do you think?

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Just now, pbjfb said:

Seems like this guy doesn't necessarily have great stuff, just great delivery, so is that sustainable? Like after the batters see him a few times, they'll start to hit him? What do you think?

His movement and esp deception keep working as he's gone up the ladder. His numbers have been very good, but never enough to really wow the scouts and make a top list. But at his age he could refine his arsenal and even add a tick or two? Not real likely considering he's barely 6 feet though.

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2.63 ERA last year in the minors with 169 Ks in 120 innings

 

3.63 ERA this year with 46 Ks in 34.2 innings

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4 minutes ago, pbjfb said:

Seems like this guy doesn't necessarily have great stuff, just great delivery, so is that sustainable? Like after the batters see him a few times, they'll start to hit him? What do you think?

I just watched his final inning. His fastball command is pretty inconsistent but it looks like he throws two different types - a 4 seamer that he has better control of and one that gets a little cut to it and almost a little rise to, which he seems to throw up in the zone. He’s a small guy and he puts a ton of effort into every pitch (reminded me a little of Lincecum in that regard). Hitters definitely had a tough time picking it up. Judging by his minor league record it doesn’t look like he’s pitched deep into games a whole lot which isn’t too surprising. He’s racked up some impressive k/9 ratios since 2015 though the bb/9 is a little scary. I’m taking a shot on him. I have to imagine he’ll get another start given how well this one went.

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Simple spot start or does he stick after that performance ? 

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9 minutes ago, Jor357 said:

Simple spot start or does he stick after that performance ? 

trying to find out...

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saw on twitter that Counsell said he was magnificent and will get at least another start (maybe more, depending on how things go, I am sure)

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32 minutes ago, Jor357 said:

I’m adding him . Hell with it . 

 

That's my attitude. There are plenty of reasons for caution, but a 21-year-old struck out 13 at Coors Field in his debut. I just gotta pick him up and see where this goes.

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Rockies are sneaky bad offensively.  I would add but not be overly optimistic.

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His numbers this year - out of Colorado Springs

 

34.2 IP, 3.63 ERA, 17BB/46K, with 30 hits and 1 HR allowed

(He allowed 77 hits and 8 HR with 62 BB/169K in 120 AA innings the year before)

 

So how does that profile out - talented, but scary and frustrating at times?  I see more points league appeal than Roto maybe

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15 minutes ago, Dirtywater97 said:

Had not dived into his start yet, but man this is just insane...

 

 

 

is that concerning long-term? eventually teams will figure a fastball out if he's throwing it that much....

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48 minutes ago, tuesdays said:

 

is that concerning long-term? eventually teams will figure a fastball out if he's throwing it that much....

 

If he threw it 91% of the time, it tails in many different ways.  At one point it looked like he threw across his body and the ball was going left and then tailed back in right - it's hard to describe, but it was nasty

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1 hour ago, tuesdays said:

 

is that concerning long-term? eventually teams will figure a fastball out if he's throwing it that much....

 

Depends on what side of the coin you're looking at. Different angles or not, there's no way Peralta has a huge ceiling if he doesn't have a good secondary arsenal or only has the fastball. It's just not going to happen. But we don't know what he has and what he doesn't. What we know is that, according to Brooksbaseball, he came out throwing fastballs and it was so effective that he didn't change off. 

 

While some pitchers buck the trend of course, the vast majority of pitchers base their repertoire around their primary weapon. If you have a great primary weapon, everything else is going to play up.

 

So it's definitely a positive that his fastball performed as well as it did. But he's definitely going to need to vary a bit more throughout his career. 

 

Seems like someone who could be very hard to square up though. 

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7 hours ago, tuesdays said:

 

is that concerning long-term? eventually teams will figure a fastball out if he's throwing it that much....

Maybe,  but way too early to tell.  Could have just been a reaction to the game itself... if they aren't hitting it why stop throwing it mentality.  No need to get fancy if they can't hit the cheese

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for weekly leagues is it safe to start him this week? not sure if he's getting the 2nd start. 

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