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Karl-Anthony Towns 2018-2019 Season Outlook

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1 hour ago, BetterCallHinkie said:

 

"you're only an iron man until you're not" - Josh Loyd

True. Harden ****** me last season in one of my keeper leagues.  Most durable first round guard haha.  That’s why I traded him for Curry + Vucevic.  If they’re going to miss games Curry is a tad higher on the player rater and Vuc is a top 50 center.  The only advantage to Harden is he’s more durable and Curry will have rest days, but if they both have rest days....

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Posted (edited)
6 hours ago, StifleTower2 said:

I mean I understand that intellectually but I’m not going to go through every player and estimate the total games they will miss then compare that total  against the value of the games by a replacement player.  Because any games missed is merely an estimated guess and not reliable.  Garbage in/garbage out.  Your method is more accurate but I think sometimes dumb, easy, and close is good enough for me. 

I agree and it is mainly to do when ranking the top 25ish players. I am not doing this for 200 players. I do think you can start to get some pretty accurate assumptions on rest though. The main point I was trying to make was that you need to consider your format before making your rankings and factoring in "projected health"

 

Oh, this is super important to do if you are going to target injured players, like a Porzingis or Boogie. I think injured players and your top 2 picks are probably the extent of this detailed analysis/projections....or none if you aren't totally nerding out over fantasy bball. 

Edited by thezing1
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For the last 30 games or so in the 2016-17 season KAT got up to 28 pts per game.   I think that would be a good projection for where he'll be if either Jimmy Butler or Wiggins is out of the picture and KAT once again gets 18+ field goal attempts.  That would boost his value to maybe 3-5 rather than 5-8.  

 

For a player who has been so consistent and doesn't seem to force things it's hard to see his blocks suddenly taking a leap to 2 per game.  It can happen...but I wouldn't hold my breath on that.  But let's say that this does happen--then he will be the clear 2nd best C ahead of Jokic, but still not as good as AD.  

Edited by Airball B
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I doubt timberwolves will make anymore moves, but yes if either Butler or Wiggins gets traded or hurt, KAT's value jumps up big time. might even be the top player taken if that happens

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11 minutes ago, sya said:

I doubt timberwolves will make anymore moves, but yes if either Butler or Wiggins gets traded or hurt, KAT's value jumps up big time. might even be the top player taken if that happens

Probably not taken. He was pretty underrated last year. But if he's getting 28 ppg, he'd be at least the #2 player in fantasy.

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Since you want a player in the top 10 play all, or almost all games in a season, his value takes another jump over some guys often picked ahead of him.

Edited by Nene

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