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Quincy Enunwa 2018 Outlook

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It's going to take a couple more games before convincing me he's got an floor higher than 14+ Fantasy Points a week in PPR...

 

But, as a 2016 Quincy Enunwa owner, I will say that he should have a pretty safe PPR floor of about 9-10 points.

 

He seemed to always be good for at least 4-50-0 or 3-60-0 lines at a minimum. And that was with Fitzmagic throwing to him back in 2016.

 

I think he's established himself as the go-to receiver for Sam Darnold. And I would venture a guess that as long as he's not going against a Defense with a shut-down corner, he should be alright.

 

9 or 10 fantasy points in PPR per week seems like a realistic floor for him each week, with the exception of the @JAX game in week 4.

 

I do believe though that he has a realistic shot at becoming a legitimate threat on a weekly basis, and wouldn't surprise me to see him post multiple 6-70-1 lines this year.

 

The thing I love is that Darnold isn't afraid to throw the ball, and NYJ coaching staff is letting him. He's averaging 30 attempts per game. That number would probably be closer to 35 or 40 had NYJ not obliterated DET in the 3rd quarter of week 1.

 

In most games, Darnold will likely be throwing 30-40 times, and you can guarantee that 8-12 of those targets will belong to Enunwa, with the remaining 20 or 25 going to Anderson, Powell, Kearse and Pryor.

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Thoughts this week?

 

Already been discussed?

 

-Short week

-over achieving Cleveland defense?

 

Wondering which argument is stronger: Two points above being to Enunwa's benefit or detriment. 

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Looking for advice starting enunwa this week? Pretty safe to do so or?

 

Do you think Clevelands Defense will out match the Jets and enunwas pt total?

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Very safe to start Enunwa on a weekly basis.

 

WR2 ROS.

 

Jets are a passing WCO. Darnold targets Enunwa like crazy. Enunwa plays outside and slot. Clear cut #1 WR on the team. Very talented receiver.

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Enunwa will be just as safe as he’s been the first two weeks. Browns will likely get pressure on Samwise and force the ball out early which feeds right into Q’s strengths. Same high target floor with the caveat being redzone action and possible scores. No scarier than any other week though if you’ve liked what he’s been producing for your team, continue as such.

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I think all of us hate starting players on Thursday night because of the short week.  You could however, enjoy a huge night like Julio in week 1 or Green in week 2 and go into Sunday with a massive lead.  Or you could get Tyler Eifert in week 2 and end up feeling like crap until Sunday.

 

But I think Quincy is safe.  He's gotten targets.  Seems like there isn't any reason why Darnold wouldn't continue to look at him as the first read.  Browns defense likely gives less time to throw and Darnold will have to look for the short route first.

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1 hour ago, CooL said:

I think all of us hate starting players on Thursday night because of the short week.  You could however, enjoy a huge night like Julio in week 1 or Green in week 2 and go into Sunday with a massive lead.  Or you could get Tyler Eifert in week 2 and end up feeling like crap until Sunday.

 

But I think Quincy is safe.  He's gotten targets.  Seems like there isn't any reason why Darnold wouldn't continue to look at him as the first read.  Browns defense likely gives less time to throw and Darnold will have to look for the short route first.

I agree, I certainly don’t expect a Julio like night but I think 5 catches 50 yds is his floor with about 40% shot at a TD. I think he’s a safe albeit not the highest ceiling WR2 ROS. I don’t like the Thursday games, but his target share is top 15 in the league, so unless you had a crazy draft or are in a 10 team standard league, he should probably be starting.

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10 hours ago, Titan said:

I agree, I certainly don’t expect a Julio like night but I think 5 catches 50 yds is his floor with about 40% shot at a TD. I think he’s a safe albeit not the highest ceiling WR2 ROS. I don’t like the Thursday games, but his target share is top 15 in the league, so unless you had a crazy draft or are in a 10 team standard league, he should probably be starting.


I ask in earnest... why is their a big "*" by his name as far as ceiling is concerned? He was a blink of an eye away from 30+ ppr points last week. He's big, pretty quick, aggressive, getting peppered with targets - we saw him make a stunning play in the red zone in week 1 to will himself into the end zone. I know this offense has it's warts but his floor seems safe AND his ceiling seems much higher than he's getting credit for.

 

Is it just due to the way this offense is playing or Darnold? 

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I think it is box score watching that scares people off of Enunwa.  Watching the actual games is better evidence of what he is in this offense.

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21 hours ago, MillenWasmyFavorite said:

Thoughts this week?

 

Already been discussed?

 

-Short week

-over achieving Cleveland defense?

 

Wondering which argument is stronger: Two points above being to Enunwa's benefit or detriment. 

 

Cleveland's defense is much improved -- they're especially aggressive up front and have really put the pressure on both Big Ben and Brees.  But in my opinion this just plays to Enunwa's strengths, lots of quick passes over the middle and YAC. He should be in for another good PPR night even if he doesn't score a TD. The Browns defense of the last few years probably would have encouraged the Jets coaching staff to lob deep bombs to Robby Anderson to get him going.  I think Enunwa's floor games (aside from JAX and MIN) are often going to involve defenses that can't bring any pressure on Darnold and can't cover downfield.

 

Short weeks always seem to gas the defense more than the offense, too.  Starting with confidence.

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Browns fan here...starting Enunwa tonight. Our defense gives up a lot over the middle (and we are also missing our best LB Kirksey) so he should soak up those targets!

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23 minutes ago, eg4190 said:

 

Cleveland's defense is much improved -- they're especially aggressive up front and have really put the pressure on both Big Ben and Brees.  But in my opinion this just plays to Enunwa's strengths, lots of quick passes over the middle and YAC. He should be in for another good PPR night even if he doesn't score a TD. The Browns defense of the last few years probably would have encouraged the Jets coaching staff to lob deep bombs to Robby Anderson to get him going.  I think Enunwa's floor games (aside from JAX and MIN) are often going to involve defenses that can't bring any pressure on Darnold and can't cover downfield.

 

Short weeks always seem to gas the defense more than the offense, too.  Starting with confidence.

Don’t agree with this notion.  Thursday Night games, for the most part, are low scoring games.

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People do not understand Enunwa is not just a short pass specialist. He is explosive and is just as good at deep tracking, patterns, and routes. Dude is a beast and he pops off the screen when you watch him.

Edited by Dirtywater97
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3 hours ago, reichl555 said:

Don’t agree with this notion.  Thursday Night games, for the most part, are low scoring games.

That's not correct; over the last few years they've actually been even or higher scoring games.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/NFL_Network_Thursday_Night_Football_results_(2006–present)

 

MANY shootouts there. Not saying that this game will be one of them, but TNF does tend to be good for offenses most of the time.

 

As a Jets fan, the big concern is the pass rush (I would not be shocked if we are the first team to lose to them). How do you mitigate a dominant guy like Garrett? Quick passes/screens. The Browns do NOT have anyone to match up with Enunwa. He's just too big, strong, and fast for most DBs to cover effectively. I don't know if that will translate to a big game for him or not but they will be looking to get him the ball because he's their best weapon and and he presents matchup problems. He also has the speed/quickness to take a short pass to the house (see the Detroit TD). 

 

I don't anticipate them being able to take many deep shots but they should be able to do what they did last week so I expect another game with 10ish targets, 7 receptions, and 80+ yard with TD upside. 

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Brown, JuJu, and Thomas all just destroyed the Browns secondary the last two games. I don't see any reason that Enunwa does not have similar success. Darnold has shown he's willing to chuck the ball up and down the field. 

Edited by bigbluecrew56

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5 minutes ago, bigbluecrew56 said:

Brown, JuJu, and Thomas all just destroyed the Browns secondary the last two games. I don't see any reason that Enunwa does not have similar success. Darnold has shown he's willing to chuck the ball up and down the field. 

He can chuck it, but if he can’t hit him on those passes then it’s a tough comparison. Ben was was sacked 4 times and picked off 3 times vs CLE. It’ll be interesting to see how Darnold plays with CLE pressuring him with everything they have. You have to think about how hard CLE  will play desperately trying to get a win. If Darnold can make plays under pressure and hit Enunwa I have no doubt that Enunwa can put up a decent stat line.

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7 minutes ago, mikepferrara said:

He can chuck it, but if he can’t hit him on those passes then it’s a tough comparison. Ben was was sacked 4 times and picked off 3 times vs CLE. It’ll be interesting to see how Darnold plays with CLE pressuring him with everything they have. You have to think about how hard CLE  will play desperately trying to get a win. If Darnold can make plays under pressure and hit Enunwa I have no doubt that Enunwa can put up a decent stat line.

 

Good analysis. I love Enunwa like mostly everyone else here but a Thursday night game against a defense that almost beat NO and tied Pitt... I don’t know. I want to believe, but as this poster noted, Ben and Brees have seen pressure like this before. Will Darnold, a turnover prone rookie, be able to stand and deliver? Thats the biggest question tonight next to gameflow.

 

To me this projects to be a tight ugly low scoring game, so maybe they throw less? IDK. But it seems like a Golladay-type player might be the safer/higher ceiling option this week. 

 

Having said that, I think if Enunwa produces again tonight you can basically just keep him in your lineup ROS and maybe try to trade another WR for help elsewhere. 

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Enunwa's leading the team in targets, receptions, yards, and tied w/ 1 TD (should've been 2). Browns look good, but they're not the '85 Bears. Darnold's going to complete passes, and it's a good bet they're to Enunwa. Starting with confidence until I see cracks in his floor.

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1 hour ago, mikepferrara said:

He can chuck it, but if he can’t hit him on those passes then it’s a tough comparison. Ben was was sacked 4 times and picked off 3 times vs CLE. It’ll be interesting to see how Darnold plays with CLE pressuring him with everything they have. You have to think about how hard CLE  will play desperately trying to get a win. If Darnold can make plays under pressure and hit Enunwa I have no doubt that Enunwa can put up a decent stat line.

I would honestly throw out the week 1 game from CLE/PIT in terms of analysis. It was a divisional game under irregular circumstances (weather, Bell distraction, etc). That said, I do expect Darnold to be under a lot of pressure but I don't think he's been sacked much so far. He is pretty good when the pocket breaks down so I'm excited to see how they handle Garrett, for better or worse. He'll probably throw at least one INT, but the CLE secondary is probably worse than or even with Detroit and Miami.

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I see a lot of doubt concerning Enunwa, but to me he's an every week WR2 based on the number of looks he gets.  FF is all about consistency, for WRs that means targets.  I see a lot of WRs who don't get as many targets ranked ahead of him, probably by the same people who didn't even have him on radar this season.  If he shows well again tonight which I suspect he will, he's top 24, end of story.

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Oh man he was so open on that pass into the end zone!  They are doing a couple wide receiver screens per game to him, too.  Thanks for sharing.

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5 minutes ago, SharkSwimmer said:

Oh man he was so open on that pass into the end zone!  They are doing a couple wide receiver screens per game to him, too.  Thanks for sharing.

Ha. I thought the game started already. I was like what the...

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