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Homerj24

Aaron Hicks 2019 Outlook

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Hicks went 27/11 last year with 90 runs and 79 RBI. I've always liked him and felt he just needed an every day job. Can we expect an encore?

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yes

 

i also think hes going to leadoff which is a very good thing in fantasy

 

btw he put those numbers up in 480 ABs.  if he can actually play 150 games (big if) and lead off...look out.  very underrated IMO especially OBP leagues

Edited by jfazz23

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There's a lot to like with Hicks: great walk rate, good K rate, decent ADP (118), hitting high in the order of a very powerful lineup.

 

But I'm skeptical of a couple things that maybe some folks could address:

- Low average upside (~.250) resulting from what?  He seems to pull the ball too much (45% pull% in 2018), only 17.8% opp%. 

- 19% HR/FB rate in 2018 looks really unsustainable. 

- He showed a lot more speed and SB potential early in the minors, but in 2013 it looks like he pretty much stopped running.  He took 13 bags in 2015 with the Twins, 3 in 2016, and 10 in 2017, and 11 last season.

 

So I'm concerned he could put up a line more like .250/20/60/80/5 than .265/25/75/100/15.  He's being drafted in an OF clump that contains Myers, Pollock, Brantley, Gordon, and Puig.  At this moment I prefer a couple others over Hicks in that group.

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30 minutes ago, En Votto Veritas said:

There's a lot to like with Hicks: great walk rate, good K rate, decent ADP (118), hitting high in the order of a very powerful lineup.

 

But I'm skeptical of a couple things that maybe some folks could address:

- Low average upside (~.250) resulting from what?  He seems to pull the ball too much (45% pull% in 2018), only 17.8% opp%. 

- 19% HR/FB rate in 2018 looks really unsustainable. 

- He showed a lot more speed and SB potential early in the minors, but in 2013 it looks like he pretty much stopped running.  He took 13 bags in 2015 with the Twins, 3 in 2016, and 10 in 2017, and 11 last season.

 

So I'm concerned he could put up a line more like .250/20/60/80/5 than .265/25/75/100/15.  He's being drafted in an OF clump that contains Myers, Pollock, Brantley, Gordon, and Puig.  At this moment I prefer a couple others over Hicks in that group.

 

- 19% HR/FB rate in 2018 looks really unsustainable. 

 

not for a switch hitter in yankee stadium

 

i still believe his biggest concern is health

Edited by jfazz23

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season hasn't even started and he is injured.

 

Quote

Aaron Hicks (back) has been ruled out for Opening Day.

Hicks had been optimistic that he'd it back in time for the opener, but he needed another cortisone shot Sunday. The hope is that he'll be ready to play in time for the second series of the season, although we'll just have to wait and see how he recovers over the next few weeks. Assuming the Yankees place him on the injured list, this will mark the seventh straight season that Hicks has had at least one DL/IL stint and the 10th time overall. Brett Gardner will handle center field while Hicks is out, while Giancarlo Stanton figures to see more time in the outfield.

Mar 17, 2019, 10:16 AM

 

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On 2/17/2019 at 6:23 AM, Ecofolux said:

 Huge year if he does and stays healthy.

Thanks a lot Ecofojinx

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"Thanks for the payday, suckers!  If you need me, I'll be on the golf course with Jacoby".

- Aaron Hicks.  March 14, 2019

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Posted (edited)

Love hearing the words "cortisone" regarding backs and joints lol

 

I have what they call a barking back and bothersome elbow, cortisone shots are part of my life

 

This is no good and not that he is stacking bank 🤑, all about the Gardner train!

Edited by CraftyRighty

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He slid to the 17th round of a 12 team redraft.  At that cost he was too good too pass up, back injury and all.  

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Finally on the DL.  Hasn't resumed baseball activities... are we fearing a May return at this point? 

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On 3/28/2019 at 12:15 PM, midlip said:

Finally on the DL.  Hasn't resumed baseball activities... are we fearing a May return at this point? 

 

No I'm fearing a June return then another shut down to be honest

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He has started baseball activities.  At least a couple weeks away from returning.  Really sucks he's out so long.

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My guess is we are looking at mid May give or take.  I thought I got a steal when I drafted him in the double digit rounds of my draft, but all I've gotten so far was a stolen roster spot.   I kid,  I just hope he's 100% beyond the injury when he returns and doesn't have any lingering effects.  Backs can be tricky.

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TUE, APR 16, 4:52 PMROTOWIRE.COM

Hicks (back) is remaining in New York for now rather than heading to extended spring training as originally planned, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.

Spin: The decision appears to be a simple change of plans and isn't related to any setback. Hicks will remain with the team through its current homestand, which runs through Sunday, and could take batting practice Thursday.

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I am losing my patience a bit. Especially since I held him over Meadows...

Back injuries are tricky, I like the talent but we're probably looking at early to mid May still and even then every AB is going to be nail biting hoping he stays healthy. But IF he's healthy he can be a difference maker batting lead off though. 

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He's sitting on my bench still.  I took him pretty late in my draft as he slid and slid.  For where I got him I'm not upset (yet).  I know backs are dicey but at this point my real concern isn't when he returns, it's that he returns without issue.  My fear is the longer than expected stint on the shelf will push impatience, and he re-injures himself coming back to quickly.   Healthy, at the top of the Yankees lineup as players return is such a darn sweet spot to be in.

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I was ready to drop but then there comes news that he's getting close to a rehab assignment.  Then there's a setback.  Really frustrating.  At this point I feel like I've invested too much time to drop him now.  But he's still going to miss a bunch of time, probably still 3 weeks away at this point.

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18 minutes ago, MrBrown said:

I was ready to drop but then there comes news that he's getting close to a rehab assignment.  Then there's a setback.  Really frustrating.  At this point I feel like I've invested too much time to drop him now.  But he's still going to miss a bunch of time, probably still 3 weeks away at this point.

Do you not have DL spots? Seems like an odd decision to drop

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10 minutes ago, midlip said:

Do you not have DL spots? Seems like an odd decision to drop

Nope and other injuries on same team.  Hicks has a ton of talent and can be a top fantasy OF. The guy is just so injury prone I really hope he can stay heathy once he finally returns from this injury.

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It's been over a week and still have not seen an update. At this point I think his expected May return seems too optimistic. This guy is just rotting on my bench. 

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15 hours ago, Ry34No said:

It's been over a week and still have not seen an update. At this point I think his expected May return seems too optimistic. This guy is just rotting on my bench. 

 

Not to mention all the waiver wire pickups since he went on the DL that have sexier upside. And all the yankee injuries that limit his.

I mean what's best case ROS? .270 / .350obp / 12 HR / 80R / 50RBI ? I kinda forget why i loved him so much...

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1 hour ago, DrizzleOnTop said:

 

Not to mention all the waiver wire pickups since he went on the DL that have sexier upside. And all the yankee injuries that limit his.

I mean what's best case ROS? .270 / .350obp / 12 HR / 80R / 50RBI ? I kinda forget why i loved him so much...

What waiver pickups?  12HR is really low considering he hit 15 last year in a half season.  You're really selling him short.  It's tough wasting a bench spot on an injured player but at this point he shouldn't be too far off.  And not like there's constant updates on injured players.  You just wakeup one day and hear good news.

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