Sign in to follow this  
CrypTviLL

Andrew Benintendi 2019 Outlook

Recommended Posts

Boston's star now in his third full year (fourth year) in majors. Absolutely brilliant performance last year as a 5-category contributor. Currently going for about $32 auction dollars in Yahoo standard 12 team leagues. 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Rock solid roto player - I'd value him higher there than H2H. He's still young but early returns = long periods of power outage, followed by short power surges.

 

Numbers will be there at the end assuming health. Dude is pure quality.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Dude is a s.t.u.d. muffin.  As @SuperJoint rightly notes he gets a boost in roto over H2H due to his streakiness but man, does he pack a stat sheet at the end of the season.  OBP leagues or points leagues too as he's taking walks and dunking doubles like he's trying to be Joey Votto.  Easy 2nd round pick all day.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Anybody who owned Benny last year knows he did absolutely nothing the final 6-8 weeks of the year. I couldn’t even start him in my playoffs. Does anyone have a valid reason as to why he became a damn ghost?? I won’t be drafting him regardless because of it. Call me petty, but if a guy murders me when it counts I am out the next year.  

 

I dont know if there is much more potential than what he showed last year. Maybe better average and more runs but the power will always come and go I feel. 

Edited by chud12

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
14 hours ago, chud12 said:

Anybody who owned Benny last year knows he did absolutely nothing the final 6-8 weeks of the year. I couldn’t even start him in my playoffs. Does anyone have a valid reason as to why he became a damn ghost?? I won’t be drafting him regardless because of it. Call me petty, but if a guy murders me when it counts I am out the next year.  

 

I dont know if there is much more potential than what he showed last year. Maybe better average and more runs but the power will always come and go I feel. 

 

I had Beni last year and definitely experienced that second half slump. 2018 splits:

1st half: .297/.380 - 14 - 57 - 68 - 17

2nd half: .279/.343 - 2 - 30 - 35 - 4  

The second half saw both his K% and BB% fall yet his K/BB stayed the same.  Looking deeper, in the second half he started hitting a lot more ground balls: 37.7% in 1st, 45.4% in 2nd.  But the biggest difference is a 12.7% HR/FB in the 1st to a tiny 3.3% in the second.

 

So personally I think it's streaky/fluky weirdness.  He'll be leading off for BOS this season, arguably the best place to hit in all of baseball.

.285/.360 - 15 - 70 - 100 - 20 looks like the floor for Beni in 2019.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
54 minutes ago, En Votto Veritas said:

 

I had Beni last year and definitely experienced that second half slump. 2018 splits:

1st half: .297/.380 - 14 - 57 - 68 - 17

2nd half: .279/.343 - 2 - 30 - 35 - 4  

The second half saw both his K% and BB% fall yet his K/BB stayed the same.  Looking deeper, in the second half he started hitting a lot more ground balls: 37.7% in 1st, 45.4% in 2nd.  But the biggest difference is a 12.7% HR/FB in the 1st to a tiny 3.3% in the second.

 

So personally I think it's streaky/fluky weirdness.  He'll be leading off for BOS this season, arguably the best place to hit in all of baseball.

.285/.360 - 15 - 70 - 100 - 20 looks like the floor for Beni in 2019.

 

He could also stand to take a step forward v. LHP. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
37 minutes ago, TrueToTheBlue said:

Where would you feel comfortable taking him in standard redrafts? Beginning of the 3rd round?

 

Benintendi is a borderline first rounder in my book. But I’m admittedly pretty high on him.

Edited by crafty
  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, crafty said:

 

Benintendi is a borderline first rounder in my book. But I’m admittedly pretty high on him.

 

He hit 2 HRs over the final 3 months of the season last year. Can't spend a first round pick on a guy with such a glaring lack of power.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, absknicks said:

 

He hit 2 HRs over the final 3 months of the season last year. Can't spend a first round pick on a guy with such a glaring lack of power.

 

Agree, even in dynasty I wouldn't have spent first round pick on Beni; many other options to choose from in first.

For redraft, I would have gone late second round to early third on him. 

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 hours ago, absknicks said:

 

He hit 2 HRs over the final 3 months of the season last year. Can't spend a first round pick on a guy with such a glaring lack of power.

And if you play H2H, his streakiness was unbearable at times last season.  I actually had to bench him for significant stretches last year...can"t have that from a first/high 2nd rounder. 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
31 minutes ago, NoHablaIngles said:

benintendi just doesnt wow me. everything he does it just meh. solid contributor everywhere but not a star

 

That's what people said about Christian Yelich too and then... Boom! Dude won 2018 NL MVP!

You just never know.... 

 

Related image

 

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, AF25 said:

 

That's what people said about Christian Yelich too and then... Boom! Dude won 2018 NL MVP!

You just never know.... 

 

Related image

 

 

is tendi going from one of the worst offenses and offensive ballparks to one of the best this year? :P

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, NoHablaIngles said:

 

is tendi going from one of the worst offenses and offensive ballparks to one of the best this year? :P

 

you never know ;)

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, NoHablaIngles said:

 

is tendi going from one of the worst offenses and offensive ballparks to one of the best this year? :P

Related image

 

OK that was a bit old now that I used it previously..... But this is how I see it, both Yelich and Beni came up to the show at the tender age of 21. In his first 3 years in the MLB, Yelich had the following lines ('13-'15)

Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB Pos Awards
2013 21 MIA NL 62 273 240 34 69 12 1 4 16 10 0 31 66 .288 .370 .396 .766 112 95 4 1 0 1 1 7/8  
2014 22 MIA NL 144 660 582 94 165 30 6 9 54 21 7 70 137 .284 .362 .402 .764 115 234 9 3 3 2 3 *78 GG
2015 23 MIA NL 126 525 476 63 143 30 2 7 44 16 5 47 101 .300 .366 .416 .782 118 198 13 2 0 0 2 *78  
2016 24 MIA NL 155 659 578 78 172 38 3 21 98 9 4 72 138 .298 .376 .483 .859 135 279 20 4 0 5 4 *78/D MVP-19,SS
2017 25 MIA NL 156 695 602 100 170 36 2 18 81 16 2 80 137 .282 .369 .439 .807 120 264 13 6 0 6 4 *8  
2018 26 MIL NL 147 651 574 118 187 34 7 36 110 22 4 68 135 .326 .402 .598 1.000 164 343 14 7 0 2 2 *798 AS,MVP-1,S

 

And Beni had the following lines.....

Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB Pos Awards
2016 21 BOS AL 34 118 105 16 31 11 1 2 14 1 0 10 25 .295 .359 .476 .835 118 50 0 1 1 1 0 7/8  
2017 22 BOS AL 151 658 573 84 155 26 1 20 90 20 5 70 112 .271 .352 .424 .776 103 243 16 6 1 8 7 *78 RoY-2
2018 23 BOS AL 148 661 579 103 168 41 6 16 87 21 3 71 106 .290 .366 .465 .830 123 269 9 2 2 7 1 *78

 

While the park could be a factor, but Yelich had 21 HR in his 4th year in the same ballpark he was in the first 3 years of his young career; the spike in HR total in his 4th year is a natural growth as a hitter as part of the projection Yelich is to be.

Beni is just 24 years old going in 2019, some players are still in the minors or about to debut in MLB at this age and he is already going into his 4th year in the majors. Park factor or not, I see Beni continue to improve as a hitter. His OPS in 2018 was the highest of all three years and Yelich's highest in the same span was 118.

Patience is the key to many talented hitters and Beni is definitely one of them. I learnt my lessons for giving up on Yelich and I will urge Beni owners to exercise patience. 

 

 

 

 

  • Like 4
  • Thanks 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
21 minutes ago, AF25 said:

Related image

 

OK that was a bit old now that I used it previously..... But this is how I see it, both Yelich and Beni came up to the show at the tender age of 21. In his first 3 years in the MLB, Yelich had the following lines ('13-'15)

Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB Pos Awards
2013 21 MIA NL 62 273 240 34 69 12 1 4 16 10 0 31 66 .288 .370 .396 .766 112 95 4 1 0 1 1 7/8  
2014 22 MIA NL 144 660 582 94 165 30 6 9 54 21 7 70 137 .284 .362 .402 .764 115 234 9 3 3 2 3 *78 GG
2015 23 MIA NL 126 525 476 63 143 30 2 7 44 16 5 47 101 .300 .366 .416 .782 118 198 13 2 0 0 2 *78  
2016 24 MIA NL 155 659 578 78 172 38 3 21 98 9 4 72 138 .298 .376 .483 .859 135 279 20 4 0 5 4 *78/D MVP-19,SS
2017 25 MIA NL 156 695 602 100 170 36 2 18 81 16 2 80 137 .282 .369 .439 .807 120 264 13 6 0 6 4 *8  
2018 26 MIL NL 147 651 574 118 187 34 7 36 110 22 4 68 135 .326 .402 .598 1.000 164 343 14 7 0 2 2 *798 AS,MVP-1,S

 

And Beni had the following lines.....

Year Age Tm Lg G PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO BA OBP SLG OPS OPS+ TB GDP HBP SH SF IBB Pos Awards
2016 21 BOS AL 34 118 105 16 31 11 1 2 14 1 0 10 25 .295 .359 .476 .835 118 50 0 1 1 1 0 7/8  
2017 22 BOS AL 151 658 573 84 155 26 1 20 90 20 5 70 112 .271 .352 .424 .776 103 243 16 6 1 8 7 *78 RoY-2
2018 23 BOS AL 148 661 579 103 168 41 6 16 87 21 3 71 106 .290 .366 .465 .830 123 269 9 2 2 7 1 *78

 

While the park could be a factor, but Yelich had 21 HR in his 4th year in the same ballpark he was in the first 3 years of his young career; the spike in HR total in his 4th year is a natural growth as a hitter as part of the projection Yelich is to be.

Beni is just 24 years old going in 2019, some players are still in the minors or about to debut in MLB at this age and he is already going into his 4th year in the majors. Park factor or not, I see Beni continue to improve as a hitter. His OPS in 2018 was the highest of all three years and Yelich's highest in the same span was 118.

Patience is the key to many talented hitters and Beni is definitely one of them. I learnt my lessons for giving up on Yelich and I will urge Beni owners to exercise patience. 

 

 

 

 

I just dont see it. The park is a huge factor... and i think luck is a factor too. There is no chance in hell that Yelich maintains a 35% hr/fb again. 

 

Benintendi is a good player. There is no dispute but he's also very polished. He's 25, and given today's aging curve, this is likely who he is. There are countless examples like Bryant etc. 

 

In no way shape or form am I saying give up on Benintendi, but he isnt a game-changer to me. He is a solid contributor in many cats which is valuable but he is not an elite guy.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, AF25 said:

 

That's what people said about Christian Yelich too and then... Boom! Dude won 2018 NL MVP!

You just never know.... 

 

Related image

 

On top of the team/ballpark improvement, Yelich still had/has physical project in his frame. I think he'll continue to get stronger and increase power numbers with his longer leavers. Beni is at his peak physically. His eye may improve and could make better contact, but I think he's as strong as he's gonna get.

Edited by Dark Kn19ht

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I Find it interesting today that they used Benintendi leadoff and Betts 2nd.  I wonder if this will continue into the rest of sprins and the regular season.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, KingJoffrey said:

I Find it interesting today that they used Benintendi leadoff and Betts 2nd.  I wonder if this will continue into the rest of sprins and the regular season.

 

Theyve announced that as the lineup. It is Benny first, Betts second I believe. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

Beninteni only had a 9.4 HR/FB last year. Saying his power is close to maxxed out is foolish as all hell as a 24 year old. Can't strengthen his wrists?

He doesn't need to support 20+ HR/FB rates to have a major power spike. So i dunno why him being a smaller frame matters with his feel to hit plays up potential power. No one is saying a 40 HR season is in the cards or anything.

Edited by Slatykamora
  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)

This is my first year with a share of Benintendi and I think he's in for a more improvements. His soft contact has trended down each year, his medium contact has trended up with that and his hard % had been less consistent; dipped two years ago, rebounded last year. What he hasn't done to this point is lose medium% to soft%. If that trend continues he had a whopping 58% medium rate to play with and I think a good chunk of that trends toward hard hit balls this year. 

Edited by Bigfische

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.