Fort4242

Dante Pettis 2019 Outlook

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One of my favorite 2019 breakout players, Pettis has a legit chance to be the 49ers #1 target next season.  A lot of speculation over AB heading to San Fran, so we'll have to see how the off-season shakes out.  

 

 

Additionally, 49ers are not bringing back Garcon next year opening up more volume.  Pettis had some really nice flashes last season, especially at the end of the season.  With Jimmy G coming back, love Pettis as a second year breakout WR. 

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I'm interested in Goodwin myself.  Guess you could do worse as a flyer

 

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Pettis was a solid late-season waiver addition and Dynasty stash last year, and like it was previously mentioned, ended up flashing in a big way over the second half of the season. From Weeks 10-16 (Week 11 bye and Week 16 injury included), Pettis was the WR20 in standard leagues and was on pace to be closer to WR15 when his stats are extrapolated over a full season of similar playing time and production.

 

By the time the 2018 NFL Draft came around, Pettis was sniffing a Top 5 WR pre-draft ranking by a good amount of scouts and organizations as evidenced by the 49ers trading up to get him in the 2nd Round as the fourth WR taken in the draft.

 

Heading into 2019, the 49ers are expected to have both running back Jerick McKinnon and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo back from their ACL injuries, keep improving their offensive line play, and will have a full year of experience running head coach Kyle Shanahan's offensive system. With news breaking of the 49ers planning to release Pierre Garcon, Pettis is setting up to be a full-time starter heading into 2019.

 

Currently, Pettis's pre-NFL Draft ADP in standard leagues lies between a last round flier and undrafted, and he is going around WR21 between the 8th-9th Rounds in Dynasty leagues. With that said, Pettis is almost guaranteed to pick up some steam as the 49ers offseason hype train gets rolling again and people take note of his late-season surge from 2018. All in all, Pettis has the talent and the upside to be worth a genuine draft investment for fantasy in 2019. With the projected ceiling of a solid WR2, any fantasy owner should be happy drafting Pettis for anything less than that, with the possibility still very well in play that he could remain at a bargain price for far less come 2019 fantasy draft season. 

 

 

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13 minutes ago, Ed The Mundo said:

Pettis was a solid late-season waiver addition and Dynasty stash last year, and like it was previously mentioned, ended up flashing in a big way over the second half of the season. From Weeks 10-16 (Week 11 bye and Week 16 injury included), Pettis was the WR20 in standard leagues and was on pace to be closer to WR15 when his stats are extrapolated over a full season of similar playing time and production.

 

By the time the 2018 NFL Draft came around, Pettis was sniffing a Top 5 WR pre-draft ranking by a good amount of scouts and organizations as evidenced by the 49ers trading up to get him in the 2nd Round as the fourth WR taken in the draft.

 

Heading into 2019, the 49ers are expected to have both running back Jerick McKinnon and quarterback Jimmy Garoppolo back from their ACL injuries, keep improving their offensive line play, and will have a full year of experience running head coach Kyle Shanahan's offensive system. With news breaking of the 49ers planning to release Pierre Garcon, Pettis is setting up to be a full-time starter heading into 2019.

 

Currently, Pettis's pre-NFL Draft ADP in standard leagues lies between a last round flier and undrafted, and he is going around WR21 between the 8th-9th Rounds in Dynasty leagues. With that said, Pettis is almost guaranteed to pick up some steam as the 49ers offseason hype train gets rolling again and people take note of his late-season surge from 2018. All in all, Pettis has the talent and the upside to be worth a genuine draft investment for fantasy in 2019. With the projected ceiling of a solid WR2, any fantasy owner should be happy drafting Pettis for anything less than that, with the possibility still very well in play that he could remain at a bargain price for far less come 2019 fantasy draft season. 

 

 

 

ADP is in 14 round on fantasy pros. Expecting it to stay around there. Would be a no brainier off the waiver wire.

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I dont imagine his ADP will be anything too high, and he's a great late rounder if that holds true, but I'm still anticipating some kind of WR move by the Niners this spring.  That doesn't mean he can't still break out of course.   I'll have him on my radar, lets just see where the ADP lands as they churn the roster the next few months.  

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On 2/14/2019 at 9:21 AM, Fort4242 said:

One of my favorite 2019 breakout players, Pettis has a legit chance to be the 49ers #1 target next season.  A lot of speculation over AB heading to San Fran, so we'll have to see how the off-season shakes out.  

 

 

Additionally, 49ers are not bringing back Garcon next year opening up more volume.  Pettis had some really nice flashes last season, especially at the end of the season.  With Jimmy G coming back, love Pettis as a second year breakout WR. 

I’m on this train as well. Barring health and any major move at wr by the Niners and I could see him sneak into the top twenty in ppr.
Injuries derailed the first half of the season and then he spent the next 1/4 of the year trying to fit into a mess of an offense. I believe the niners went into their week 11 bye with the mindset of getting Pettis involved.
I feel like weeks 12-15(week 16 he got hurt and week 17 he didn’t play)are the games we will see out of Pettis next year, especially since Jimmy G not Mullins will be the qb.
Weeks 12-15 he avg
6.5 targets , 4.3 catches 84.5 yds 1td
Ove 16 games that’s 
104 targets , 68 catches , 1352 yds , 16 tds
now I realize you can’t use 4 games to project a season but I think this is the type of usage is what we can expect for 2019.
i think we could see
100 targets 70 catches, 1100 ,8 td
 
 
 

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No big name wr left on the market that can kill his value any wr signing will probably be complementary. .  D-jax is incoming. . .😜

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56 minutes ago, BRIGUY11 said:
I’m on this train as well. Barring health and any major move at wr by the Niners and I could see him sneak into the top twenty in ppr.
Injuries derailed the first half of the season and then he spent the next 1/4 of the year trying to fit into a mess of an offense. I believe the niners went into their week 11 bye with the mindset of getting Pettis involved.
I feel like weeks 12-15(week 16 he got hurt and week 17 he didn’t play)are the games we will see out of Pettis next year, especially since Jimmy G not Mullins will be the qb.
Weeks 12-15 he avg
6.5 targets , 4.3 catches 84.5 yds 1td
Ove 16 games that’s 
104 targets , 68 catches , 1352 yds , 16 tds
now I realize you can’t use 4 games to project a season but I think this is the type of usage is what we can expect for 2019.
i think we could see
100 targets 70 catches, 1100 ,8 td
 
 
 

 

That's top 15 WR. I don't see it but good luck to you sir.

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2 hours ago, dashoe said:

No big name wr left on the market that can kill his value any wr signing will probably be complementary. .  D-jax is incoming. . .😜

You forgot Golden Tate...

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14 hours ago, SyNdicateZ said:

You forgot Golden Tate...

Good point

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All the speculation about another veteran WR would be added to the roster but to my knowledge it never happened.

 

How is everyone feeling about this guys prospects for the coming season? 

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Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, theSPANKER said:

All the speculation about another veteran WR would be added to the roster but to my knowledge it never happened.

 

How is everyone feeling about this guys prospects for the coming season? 

I have SF as a fairly average team, offensively. Garoppolo is nice, but not great yet; their RB situation is a MESS, and for receivers they have Kittle and Pettis (and a fresh rookie and some JAGs). Pettis showed promise; the best I can say is that the coaches clearly like him, so that's good.He had 465/5 in the 7 games he started, which extrapolates to a 1000 yard season; if you can get that in the 7th round, you are a sleeper to me.

I don't understand at all what Shanahan is doing though. The band of misfits he has now will never get him a Superbowl, and isn't that what they were trying to do in SF? Is Pettis really the answer? I don't really believe that, but if he passes my track I may be willing to go long for the ride.

Edited by Boudewijn
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SF WRs are a coin flipping mess fantasy wise. Several promising guys, a top TE...I won't touch anyone here (Kittle will cost too much).  

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8 minutes ago, bomont said:

SF WRs are a coin flipping mess fantasy wise. Several promising guys, a top TE...I won't touch anyone here (Kittle will cost too much).  

Agree with this, but if I had to own one at current adp it would be Pettis. Projected wr1 on (again) a projected good offense. I think the hodgepodge of weapons is factored into his adp

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I like Pettis off the board as my WR3. Per FFCalculator Half-PPR ADP...

7.01 Matt Ryan
7.03 Dante Pettis
7.05 Latavius Murray
7.06 Christian Kirk
7.06 Drew Brees
7.07 Jared Cook
7.08 Allen Robinson
7.09 Kyler Murray
7.10 Vance McDonald
7.11 Miles Sanders
7.12 Jordan Howard

There isn't much ahead of Pettis that interests me. Unless you want to draft a QB in Round 7.

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Can't say as I auction draft. A lot of those guys will probably go for a buck including Pettis (I think).

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9 minutes ago, smetana34 said:

Rather have Goodwin at their current ADPs. 

Last time I check they are about 30 picks apart...

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1 minute ago, Ryansm11 said:

Last time I check they are about 30 picks apart...

 

It's a lot more than that, according to FantasyPros Pettis is going before Pick 80, and Goodwin is going well after Pick 200.

Agree I like Goodwin's upside at the end of the draft more than Pettis' at 80.  Lots of much safer, less exciting options at 80.

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5 minutes ago, handyandy86 said:

 

It's a lot more than that, according to FantasyPros Pettis is going before Pick 80, and Goodwin is going well after Pick 200.

Agree I like Goodwin's upside at the end of the draft more than Pettis' at 80.  Lots of much safer, less exciting options at 80.

I’m sorry, I thought I read Godwin. Bucs WR. Now I see! Lol

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20 minutes ago, Ryansm11 said:

I’m sorry, I thought I read Godwin. Bucs WR. Now I see! Lol

I did too lol. Ain’t no body got Goodwin on their mind 

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Realy like ARob at that price. He's not sexy but..

- #1 receiver on his team.

- a year removed from the ACL tear.

- year two in the system.

-positive regression from Trusbisky (at least you'd expect/ hope)

Sorry for derailing the thread

 

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I have Pettis in the 7th and Goodwin in the 13th.  Ooof.  Not really sure what to make of all this.  Rather pick Tevin Coleman in that round (if available, James White, Jordan Howard, or go QB.  

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Posted (edited)

I like Pettis. He did most of his damage with a 3rd string qb, more teams will focus on kittle this year. Jimmy G is coming back. Running back mess doesnt scare me because they had 4 rbs average over 4ypc last season so it's pretty safe to say whoever wins the rb battle will do ok. Kyle shannahan is in my opinion one of the top 5 offensive minds in football and can scheme Pettis open better than most coaches.. and now it's his 2nd year in the system. He will think less and play faster. 

Just my 2 cents 

Edited by Stonej14

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Reading some.previous post I am suprised he is not more liked as a sleeper.

 

He is an elite route runner right now.  Go watch his routes 

Plus he will take 3-4 TDs to the crib  that's 150 yards on 4 big plays

Don't see how he doesn't get 1000 yards and 6 TDs 

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