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The fact that he is the #1 WR on his team and he only has 24 posts in his thread speaks volumes as to how little excitement there is about this guy.  He needs a new team, or at the very least a new QB, in order for him to achieve his potential.

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I got him as my WR3 and i'm ok with that.  It all comes down to mariota, which is why i'm rooting for Tannehill to come in and take the reigns.

 

Dudes such a freak athlete and his talents are being wasted right now.

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The market couldn't be any lower for Davis right now. In my auction over this past weekend, I got him for $1. The hype train has certainly crashed for him...but he could end up being a WR3 and for the low prices/draft spots people have to pay to get him, it could possibly be worth it. 

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3 minutes ago, daethfromabove1979 said:

Is there actually a possibility of Tannehill being the QB to start the year, or is it more likely he takes over after a few games if Mariota bombs?

mariota is made of glass so there is a 100% chance tannehill is a starter at some point in the season

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I think he is 100% undervalued at this point.  AJ Brown is only going to help both him and Mariota.  At his current ADP (and certainly for a dollar in auctions) he's well worth it.

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Posted (edited)

I do think there’s some decent post hype sleeper potential for Corey Davis, especially with the decent chance that Tannehill replaces Mariota. Davis just needs someone who can get the ball to him.

I’m not reaching for Davis, but I’m also not avoiding him at his ADP. I would not be overly surprised if Tannehill is the week 1 starter, but at the very least I think there’s a solid chance he’s the starter by Week 4. 

Edited by gufomel

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Drafted him, but actually dropped him today to pickup an upside TE. QB play, new acquisitions at WR, healthy Delanie Walker, and run heavy scheme just don't add up for me. Wish he were on literally any other team

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Situation is obviously extremely important in fantasy, but once you start to get to those later rounds, sometimes you’ve just gotta grab talent and hope everything works out. That’s the case here. Davis has all the talent in the world. I’m happy to have him on my bench and see what happens compared to a guy that I don’t believe in who has a better situation 

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I get why he's not flying off of draft boards, but I still think he's close to a WR3 this year.   He should be in the top 30 or so in targets, and the 4-6 games Mariota will miss is now a Tannehill game and not a Gabbertfest.    I'll not target him as such, its clear the community is down on him so he's a guy I want at the back end of a draft now of course, but i'll gladly take him on my bench once.  

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20 minutes ago, BrianM said:

I get why he's not flying off of draft boards, but I still think he's close to a WR3 this year.   He should be in the top 30 or so in targets, and the 4-6 games Mariota will miss is now a Tannehill game and not a Gabbertfest.    I'll not target him as such, its clear the community is down on him so he's a guy I want at the back end of a draft now of course, but i'll gladly take him on my bench once.  

 

Classic scenario for him to breakout in his 3rd season and be a WR1. Could very well be considered better than Juju by this time next year (similar to how the perception of Allen Robinson vs Davante Adams changed following 2016). 

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Adams had and has Rodgers throwing to him. Davis has Mariota. He's screwed IMO and there are other WRs with better shots at out-performing their AAV that I'll target. Now of course Davis will go off lol

 

 

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I'd absolutely grab him late in the draft. Sure he's not in the best offense but he's still on the field a ton, is clearly his teams #1 WR and had over 100 targets last year. Why wouldn't you take a 10th-11th round flyer on that? Is he going to be a WR1 or WR2? probably not, but I doubt anyone is drafting him for that. 

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1 hour ago, BrianM said:

I get why he's not flying off of draft boards, but I still think he's close to a WR3 this year.   He should be in the top 30 or so in targets, and the 4-6 games Mariota will miss is now a Tannehill

or, corey davis will not be in the top 30 for targets just as easy: we all know the titans want to run the offense through derrick henry. and, adam humphries location on the field might align more closely with mariota's range/accuracy, as well as the need to move the chains ten yards at a time. when mariota gets replaced by tannehill, we all know who tannehill is: he's a QB that has failed to turn out #1 WRs, unless it's PPR and we're talking jarvis landry. again, another boon for adam humphries.

3 hours ago, gufomel said:

I do think there’s some decent post hype sleeper potential for Corey Davis, especially with the decent chance that Tannehill replaces Mariota. Davis just needs someone who can get the ball to him.

I’m not reaching for Davis, but I’m also not avoiding him at his ADP. I would not be overly surprised if Tannehill is the week 1 starter, but at the very least I think there’s a solid chance he’s the starter by Week 4. 

how is tannehill a boost for corey davis? not attacking your post, just that i don't see it. while tannehill might (or might not) be an improvement over mariota, he certainly favored landry in the slot over any receiver. seems like adam humphries or delainie walker would benefit more than corey davis and aj brown.

and, it's possible that a new qb (tannehill) gels with one WR, so while history leans towards humphries, brown is just as likely as davis to be tannehill's man.

28 minutes ago, GurleyTHIRTY said:

I'd absolutely grab him late in the draft. Sure he's not in the best offense but he's still on the field a ton, is clearly his teams #1 WR and had over 100 targets last year. Why wouldn't you take a 10th-11th round flyer on that? Is he going to be a WR1 or WR2? probably not, but I doubt anyone is drafting him for that. 

in 13 games last season, mariota threw the ball 330 times (25 attempts per game). let's give him a full season and round up to 450 attempts, which would be smack in the middle for 2018 attempts / a 2019 projection. i think this is fair enough outlook, even if it's tannehill taking over at some point. the reality is, this is a team who wants to be run-first and focus on derrick henry.

breaking it down, let's say 85 attempts to RBs (henry + lewis), slightly under their 2018 total targets.

we know tannehill and mariota both favor the middle of the field, and delainie walkers 4-year average (2014-2017) is 113 targets. tack on another 30 targets for jonnu smith (his average), another 10 or so for firksher / pruitt.

more than half of the titans' targets are going to non-WRs: 240.

but let's say it's not more than half, and let's say the titans shift their mentality and target their WR corps 60% of the time, 270 targets. certainly possible that no titan WRs see 100 targets (sharpe and taylor will siphon off some targets, albeit minimal of this small pie).

if you had to choose one titan WR to get to 100, would it be the deep ball talents of brown / davis, or would it be the mid-field slot specialist of adam humphries.

by the way, although he's the 3rd most talented WR on the offense, humphries' 4-year contract / 36 million (19 million guaranteed) makes him the highest paid player on the entire titan offense. funny but true...

i suggest the 2019 titans are 8-10 yards at a time through the air---walker and humphries---a ton of ground game, with corey davis and aj brown stretching the field but not getting the lion's share of targets.

Humphries2.gif

https://www.musiccitymiracles.com/2019/3/12/18261208/what-are-the-titans-getting-in-free-agent-wr-adam-humphries

 

 

 

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There’s an old saying in Tennessee, fool me once, shame..shame on you

Fool me twice..you can’t get fooled again

 

would love for this guy to live up to his potential but I cannot draft him after being burned so many times, good luck 

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35 minutes ago, gus030 said:

There’s an old saying in Tennessee, fool me once, shame..shame on you

Fool me twice..you can’t get fooled again

 

would love for this guy to live up to his potential but I cannot draft him after being burned so many times, good luck 


I will never not laugh at that. 

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1 hour ago, gus030 said:

There’s an old saying in Tennessee, fool me once, shame..shame on you

Fool me twice..you can’t get fooled again

 

would love for this guy to live up to his potential but I cannot draft him after being burned so many times, good luck 

 

You know, as great as the GWB quotes are, I laugh hardest at the Dan Quayle ones.

I'm gonna take the plunge on Corey as my 4th WR, whatever round that is.  I don't believe in Mariota but I think Tannehill can give Corey some value.

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I believe the only receiver that did good (over 1000 yards) under Tanny was Landry - idk if he would be a major difference, maybe for Hump who should be in the slot

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We all can agree last year was disappointing. He finished WR30 in PPR. 

What WR3 is a teams number one with this much talent and upside?

Chances are you can get him as your WR4. He's worth a shot IMO.

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Posted (edited)

got him 7th round as my WR3 and i don't feel good about it. hoping surprises us all and fulfills his potential.

Edited by brosephd

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On 8/22/2019 at 1:11 PM, bomont said:

Adams had and has Rodgers throwing to him. Davis has Mariota. He's screwed IMO and there are other WRs with better shots at out-performing their AAV that I'll target. Now of course Davis will go off lol

 

 

 

Adams had Hundley throwing him the ball and still finished as a WR1. 

 

Tannehill >>> Cassell as a QB floor for Davis this year

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?  No idea what you're talking about. Once more: Adams has Rodgers throwing him the ball. Davis has Mariota. If you think Davis will break out with him tossing the ball, g/l with that. if you're counting on him being benched and Tannehill taking over, that's more likely but isn't say much g/l with that too.

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  1. I love the talent but this situation sucks so I'm avoiding him.  Last year the Titans ran 58.8 plays per game and threw the second least amount of passes at 51.49%.  He was already 7th in the league last year in target share (25.9%).  With Walker back and adding Humphries and Brown, I can't see his target share increasing or them throwing more this year than last.  If I had to make a projection, I'd say around 60 catches for 850 yards and 5 TD's.  That would've been good for WR33 last year in PPR which is right where his ADP is on fantasy pros.   I just don't see the upside in him as some guys going after him (Pettis, Shepard, Gordon, Westbrook, Samuel, Sanders, the Packers duo).

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I am waiting for this guy to explode into a top tier receiver. I really do think he has the talent for it, but when will it happen and is it the team he is on that is failing him? 

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17 hours ago, brosephd said:

got him 7th round as my WR3 and i don't feel good about it. hoping surprises us all and fulfills his potential.

Wyzhe Onyourbench?

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