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Kristaps Porzingis 2019-2020 Season Outlook

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I have a different take on KP and I am far higher on him than most in this thread. He isn't or shouldn't be on a DND or punt team. Saying he is on one of those is lacking any creativity and open mindedness to assemble a roster during a draft, IMO. The thing most are overlooking is that KP is a dynamic block source. He isn't a specialist. He provides you a great wing stat line with elite blocks. Seems like everyone is so conditioned to have their bigs fit a mold that they can't adjust to a big that gets you FT%, 3's, blocks, and scoring. Compensate his weakness later in the draft. It isn't like you are compensating for a 58% heavy volume FT shooter. FG% compensation is done quite often.

Also, playing with Luka is going to be great for him and that is their duo moving forward. The focus will be on those 2 developing chemistry. KP played with trash in NY. His looks and responsibilities will be much more favorable in Dallas. 

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31 minutes ago, thezing1 said:

I have a different take on KP and I am far higher on him than most in this thread. He isn't or shouldn't be on a DND or punt team. Saying he is on one of those is lacking any creativity and open mindedness to assemble a roster during a draft, IMO. The thing most are overlooking is that KP is a dynamic block source. He isn't a specialist. He provides you a great wing stat line with elite blocks. Seems like everyone is so conditioned to have their bigs fit a mold that they can't adjust to a big that gets you FT%, 3's, blocks, and scoring. Compensate his weakness later in the draft. It isn't like you are compensating for a 58% heavy volume FT shooter. FG% compensation is done quite often.

Also, playing with Luka is going to be great for him and that is their duo moving forward. The focus will be on those 2 developing chemistry. KP played with trash in NY. His looks and responsibilities will be much more favorable in Dallas. 

If you pick a big in the third round who shoots sub 45% on around 8/18 volume then you're not going to have good FG most of the time.  I guess if you picked Giannis in the first round and someone with decent FG in the third round, then it's possible.  But you will be unbalanced in some other way.  If you think it's trivial then please construct a team in BBM using the team analysis tool whose starting five averages over 48% from the field with the following constraints: 1) You have to follow players ADP and use someone from the first, second, third, fourth, fifth rounds.  No funny business; 2) You have to select, a PG, SG, SF, PF, C; 3) You have to use your third round pick on Kristaps.    

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1 hour ago, StifleTower2 said:

If you pick a big in the third round who shoots sub 45% on around 8/18 volume then you're not going to have good FG most of the time.  I guess if you picked Giannis in the first round and someone with decent FG in the third round, then it's possible.  But you will be unbalanced in some other way.  If you think it's trivial then please construct a team in BBM using the team analysis tool whose starting five averages over 48% from the field with the following constraints: 1) You have to follow players ADP and use someone from the first, second, third, fourth, fifth rounds.  No funny business; 2) You have to select, a PG, SG, SF, PF, C; 3) You have to use your third round pick on Kristaps.    

Again I don't know, maybe you are talking about Roto, but in H2H nothing happens if your FG% is 47 instead of 48. If you have luck, team 47 can even have the same number of wins in FG% category as team 48. But if everything is going normal way then team 48 get 3-4 wins more than team 47 in this cat. That means you don't lose much but you can maybe gain these wins in other cats. Just my opinion is that in H2H it is not must to have 48% FG.

Edited by apatas

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I m a big fan of him in real life. but not easy to pick him. I would pick Sabonis earlier than him.

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31 minutes ago, apatas said:

Again I don't know, maybe you are talking about Roto, but in H2H nothing happens if your FG% is 47 instead of 48. If you have luck, team 47 can even have the same number of wins in FG% category as team 48. But if everything is going normal way then team 48 get 3-4 wins more than team 47 in this cat. That means you don't lose much but you can maybe gain these wins in other cats. Just my opinion is that in H2H it is not must to have 48% FG.

You might be correct in H2H, but I think with Kristaps it will be difficult to even get your FG% to 47%.  If you draft two guards who go 8/18 and Krtistaps goes 8/18 then that's 24/54.  Even if you add a 7/11 guy such as Capela, who led the league in positive FG% impact, then your total is 31/65.  That's 47.6% but it doesn't take into account that you've already drafted two bigs and your FG% is likely to go down from there.  That also includes drafting the big with the most positive FG% impact.  I'm not allergic to Kristaps it's just annoying when people say I'll pick so and so...oh but I won't punt...I never punt...and they don't realize or don't care that if they pick that player so early then their realistic ceiling in FG is still below median.  Oh, but they won't punt. 

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43 minutes ago, StifleTower2 said:

You might be correct in H2H, but I think with Kristaps it will be difficult to even get your FG% to 47%.  If you draft two guards who go 8/18 and Krtistaps goes 8/18 then that's 24/54.  Even if you add a 7/11 guy such as Capela, who led the league in positive FG% impact, then your total is 31/65.  That's 47.6% but it doesn't take into account that you've already drafted two bigs and your FG% is likely to go down from there.  That also includes drafting the big with the most positive FG% impact.  I'm not allergic to Kristaps it's just annoying when people say I'll pick so and so...oh but I won't punt...I never punt...and they don't realize or don't care that if they pick that player so early then their realistic ceiling in FG is still below median.  Oh, but they won't punt. 

 

Well I suppose it might be like taking one of those punt FT players early - do you punt or try to even it out?  It can applied to any category...and I feel is like the big dilemma in drafts after a few rounds - do I hard punt, medium punt, soft punt?  Even if you have Drummond early, there are other teams that are tanking FT with players like Adams, Simmons, Westbrook, etc., so I feel like I can take him and still build a decent team that is bottom 3rd in FT but not last.  Now in roto it becomes even more complex in that you're stuck with that cumulative negative impact...

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10 minutes ago, hipriest69 said:

 

Well I suppose it might be like taking one of those punt FT players early - do you punt or try to even it out?  It can applied to any category...and I feel is like the big dilemma in drafts after a few rounds - do I hard punt, medium punt, soft punt?  Even if you have Drummond early, there are other teams that are tanking FT with players like Adams, Simmons, Westbrook, etc., so I feel like I can take him and still build a decent team that is bottom 3rd in FT but not last.  Now in roto it becomes even more complex in that you're stuck with that cumulative negative impact...

I would say medium punt with Kristaps.  There are scenarios where you could come up with semi-decent FG%.  Eg if you picked Giannis in the first round who shoots on such a high volume.  There are other players available later such as Bam, Bryant, Kanter, Favors, etc.  But I don’t think there are many scenarios in which you’re going to finish over 5 points in roto with him as your first big, selected in the third.  Most of the time I wouldn’t go out of my way to try.  If I drafted him I would just turn off the FG filter, but I wouldn’t deliberately do anything to tank it either, which is what some people think punting is.  It doesn’t mean that to me. It simply means I turn off that filter.  

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