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Showing content with the highest reputation on 03/03/2018 in all areas

  1. 3 points
    Over reactions lol. I guess it's easier just to jump to conclusions and state claims like they're facts than it is to spend 2 minutes doing research to see that he was in foul trouble all game. First of all, very small sample size. Milsap has only played in 2 games. He hadn't played with the team for 3 months prior to coming back against the Clippers. Second of all, Jokic shot 5 times in each of the last 2 games but he shot 7-8 free throws so the low number of shots isn't quite as low as it seems. Regardless, Jokic's value doesn't come from scoring a ton of points, and he's not our go-to number one option all the time. He is at his best when he's distributing the ball and hitting cutters, including other big men. Some of his best assists have been to Plumlee while in the post. But really what happened the last two games is Jokic matched up against DJ (then Boban) on Tuesday and then Marc Gasol last night. He had foul trouble but allowed it to get in his head like he tends to do and then got pretty much abused by both DJ and Gasol. Also the refs were remarkably horrendous on Tuesday against the Clippers, and that visibly affected how he was playing. He got absolutely decimated by Boban. His sub-par performances in both of those games had little, if anything to do with Milsap.
  2. 3 points
    Milsap need to go back where he came from
  3. 3 points
    Agreed. I think the sky's the limit for this guy if he can improve his plate discipline. I think this year we start to see improvements in that. You really want to see him get that K% below 30% this year, and keep the walk rate atleast where it's at, a few points above league average. This is one of those guys, I think, that if you're buying in this year hoping for him to break out, you might be a year early though.
  4. 2 points
    Man this is not looking good, doesnt look like the coaching staff trusts him at all.
  5. 2 points
    He was around top 20-25 before Sap went down so that is all I am basing it on. It was a little sample so we will see.
  6. 2 points
    I don't think it's too much to think he could hit 35 HR's this season. I take some things with a grain of salt from CBS, but they had him listed on multiple bust/regression lists, and I don't think he regresses so much to warrant that. Yes, some numbers from last season make it seem like he should regress, and I can't totally disagree with that. His first half numbers from 2016 (before he collapsed in the 2nd half possibly due to injury) aren't that far off from his numbers from last season though, so it's not like he's not capable of at least coming close to what he did last season even if some of the numbers say otherwise. I'd be happy with .290, 35, and 110ish, which I don't think is unreasonable at all.
  7. 2 points
    Only scarce position is SP. SP is very thin. Question marks related to injury and injury recovery abound even with the top guys..Kershaw, Madbum. Managers seldom allow pitchers to throw more than 6-7 innings per start and go well over 200 innings So asuming a 1400 IP cap, you really need 6 SP. Given a standard 12 team league and that's 72 SP right there. But there are always injuries, skipped starts, "lets flirt with a 6 man rotation" and some starts you just don't want to risk ( your N#5 guys@Colorado ) . And after 72, things get really scary in a hurry. You got bad peripherals and rookie pitchers. With SP, a few bad clunkers like the 1 IP 8 Runs allowed disasters weigh your team down. Over time, in Roto it can be really hard to overcome.. Catchers is a scarce position. But after the top 3, maybe top 5, you have a bunch of interchangeable parts. Catcher with a .250-.270 range in Avg, few steals and 20-30 HRs. And they will all be cheap. I doubt anyone is reaching for Mike Zunino or Wellington Castillo but they could be great and solid bargains for their ADP/Auction$.
  8. 2 points
    I'd give it a little for them to get a groove going. Right before Milsap got hurt they were figuring it out after weeks of struggling
  9. 2 points
    Looks like Singer was 92-94 in the first inning. Other lines of note: Griffin Roberts: 8 IP, 2 H, 1 ER, 3 BB, 11 K Blaine Knight: 6 IP, 6 H, 0 ER, 1 BB, 4 K Rolison's game got rained out. Seth Beer obliterated a baseball tonight: That was off a pretty good pitcher in Adam Hill of South Carolina. He actually had a no hitter up to that point when Beer hit the HR. Some notes on him: Another guy BA has talked about before is Konnor Pilkington of Mississippi State: Lastly but certainly not least, Kumar Rocker: BA released a top 300 draft rankings yesterday. You can see the top 10 without a subscription, but anything past that, a sub is needed. https://www.baseballamerica.com/draft/2018-top-300-mlb-draft-prospects/#Qbg6rvPoBsMca42d.97 Here's that top 10: 1. Singer 2. McClanahan 3. Liberatore 4. Hankins 5. Turang 6. Gorman 7. Rolison 8. Mize 9. Madrigal 10. Swaggerty
  10. 2 points
  11. 2 points
    There's no way he bats 2nd this year with that stacked offense. Yelich, Cain, Shaw, Santana, Braun(1B), Arcia will all bat above him.
  12. 1 point
    Landry is about to get himself in a worse fantasy situation than he's in now. The Dolphins have treated him well (on the field), have force fed him targets and only have one other competent receiver on the field in Kenny Stills. Landry's value most likely goes down if he leaves Miami.
  13. 1 point
    Outside of Harper's monster season (and I know what some will say - he actually did have that season), in 615 games, he's had 111 homers/322 RBI/,272 BA. If you think that Harper is going to mimic what he put up in 2015, this probably isn't a good deal. If you think that Harper is going to put up close to what he's done in his other 2,235 major league at-bats, you have yourself a very good deal.
  14. 1 point
    I will take the Panthers, I have sent an email Kenniembarnett@gmail.com
  15. 1 point
    Haven't heard any rumblings about this. Fake news
  16. 1 point
    Gase has been a fantasy nightmare for RBs in Miami. He seems unwilling to commit, despite results.
  17. 1 point
    Either I woke up in 2011 or you're completely wrong.
  18. 1 point
    32 PPG for the past month, a full MONTH...yet, nobody is talking about him. 48% FG and 91% FT to boot. He's been the #5 overall fantasy player during that span. Not bad for a 2nd round pick!
  19. 1 point
    The cost is too close to take this risk. If Judge was cheaper, maybe. But I wouldn’t. http://forums.rotoworld.com/topic/695030-thoughts-on-sean-doolittle/?tab=comments#comment-7733888
  20. 1 point
    yeah that game was weird for stats same as Fox and WCS are missing stats.
  21. 1 point
    Condensed chart for those interested: All RBs at the combine this year and their results in each event per Scott Barrett
  22. 1 point
    My gut says his acquisition had more to do with price and his versatility than the team feeling like they needed him. He’s great for the Yankees in his ability to handle 3B, 2B, and a corner OF spot. My guess is he starts the year at 2B with Andujar at 3B (Andujar is on fire so far, obviously small sample). Give Torres a month or two in AAA to shake off all the rust and rebuild confidence. When Torres is ready (or if the OF suffers an injury, Drury can fill in there. He’s their Marwin Gonzalez. He’s the guy that can give DH break days to everyone.
  23. 1 point
  24. 1 point
    Id pass, tough giving up a 1st rounder and a true #1. If hed bite with one of the above mentioned Ps as the second piece, id probably do it.
  25. 1 point
    I wouldn't put him above those top 18 he listed. This is a make-or-break year in Philly for Franco, imho. The Phils are already contemplating trying Kingery at 3B, and that leads me to believe they're getting ready to cut bait if he doesn't show significant inprovement this year.
  26. 1 point
    Can't deny Milsap's presence hurts Jokic's stats. He took 10 shots total in the last two games. Usage rate and touches aside, the team's offensive flow changed. Maybe given time they can integrate well; until proven, Jokic has lost 1st-rounder status.
  27. 1 point
    How does he only take 5 shots.... 5 shots!!!
  28. 1 point
  29. 1 point
    Hes back... & having one of those games...
  30. 1 point
    this is best chance at win now
  31. 1 point
    Five years from now Henry will have completed his 7th season. That is lasting pretty long.
  32. 1 point
    I picked Charlie last year as a sleeper (auction) due to this forum last year and he got me a Rd1 playoff bye. I will pay for him again this year. Good to hear on the velocity this spring too!
  33. 1 point
    Might be a bit high right now, as I think that may be closer to a career year for him than his first full season in the Majors, but I've seen crazier projections for certain players. The main thing is I don't see him reaching 115 RBI's yet, especially since a lot of the Phillies' future core isn't in the Majors yet. Given how good their future looks, I'd say he definitely has potential to reach those numbers in the near future, but maybe not quite yet. I was ecstatic to have picked up Hoskins before anyone else did and then see him finally get called up and do fantastic, and I'm obviously keeping him in my keeper league, but I'd still pick Springer over him. Still, Hoskins should have a solid year and not be a high risk pick, regardless of whether he hits .250 or .280.
  34. 1 point
    Kiser may be one of the all time worst QB's. He is brutal.
  35. 1 point
    3B always seems to be a position I target late. This year will be no different as I will be looking to pair Franco or Castellanos with Senzel (for when he gets the call). I think Franco as a post hype prospect sleeper is a good value. Lots has been talked about his off-season adjustment to hit more low outside pitches which is where his struggles have been most abundant. He will be hitting in a sneaky good lineup cesar-odubel-santana-hoskins-franco...
  36. 1 point
    That's irrelevant though. People compared him to what Rondo has done, not what he would've done in his prime today. It's clear that comparison is off based on style of play. And if you've watched Rondo play, he's been a reluctant shooter his whole career. Even when players shot less threes a few years ago, few were as reluctant as Rondo to shoot when open. Lonzo is only 19 but has shown a level of willingness to shoot that Rondo never has. Again, I am only comparing to what Rondo has actually done. Volume obviously matters when comparison play styles. Markkanen's 3 point record is impressive and means he's a really good shooter. Obviously it doesn't mean that he's the best shooter ever, but if you can hit 3 at a high rate while shooting a lot of threes, it means you are a good shooter. Funny that you said I shouldn't compare player's threes from today to a few years ago yet you are comparing today's game to the wild pace of that era you're referring to (way faster than today's game). When adjusting for pace, the numbers look quite different: Bill Russell - 12.2 Wilt Chamberlain - 12.0 Bob Pettit - 10.8 Source: https://doubledribble.wordpress.com/2012/09/13/nba-stars-of-1960s-pace-adjusted-stats/ But again, this isn't what I was arguing anyway. My main point was that the comparison of Lonzo to what Rondo has done (not what you think he would've done) was way off and anyone that's watched the two would agree. All that other stuff you're arguing is besides the point.
  37. 1 point
    It’s a quote thrown around by Vogel... seems like bs.
  38. 1 point
    i will eat my keyboard if he doesn't play b2b
  39. 1 point
    Kevin Kiermaier has been one of the trendier sleeper picks the last two years based on his power/speed upside. While he has been unable to stay on the field consistently, he has been productive when healthy and that is shown with his two-year (2016 and 2017), 162-game average of 22 HR, 30 SB, 89 R, 61 RBI, .261 AVG. This would obviously be a scenario where Kiermaier played in 162 games, which he has struggled to come anywhere close to, but it shows his potential upside. Last year in 421 PAs, he posted a .276/.338/.450 with 15 HRs and 16 SBs. That line was supported by an average 7.4 BB% and a career low 23.5 K%. It also came with a career-best .337 BAPIP which was fairly significantly higher than his career average. All told, he posted an above-average 112 wRC+. Let’s dig a little deeper and see what his season looked like under the hood. Looking at his batted ball data, Kiermaier curiously lost some of his fly-ball% gains from 2016, going from 37.6% to 32.1% last year. I think that’s very interesting considering he set a career-high with 15 HRs and did so with a similar number of PAs as the year before. The shift of fewer fly-balls led to more groundballs (49.6%), and in theory that would explain some of the BAPIP gains as ground-balls are less likely to be turned into outs compared to fly-balls, especially for guys with good speed like Kiermaier who can beat out groundballs with their legs. He also posted the lowest Pull% of his career with a 39.2% mark and went up the middle at a career-high rate (38.5%). Again it’s curious because a lower pull% doesn’t usually translate to a career-best HR season, but it also likely helps his BAPIP as it makes him tougher to defend against with the shift. Kiermaier did post a career-high 31.8% Hard hit%, but that’s just barely better than last year’s 31.4%. That 31.8% rate last year ranked in a tie for 188th best in baseball among those with at least 250 PAs with Matt Holliday, Austin Jackson, David Peralta, Adam Duvall, and Kole Calhoun. It ranked ahead names like Eddie Rosario, Xander Bogaerts, Lorenzo Cain, and Adam Jones. Kiermaier supported that hard-hit rate with a below-average 85.9 MPH average exit velocity (MLB average is 87.32). Looking at that using a full-season perspective, those below average hard contact and exit velocity rates along with the decreased fly-ball rate makes you question how sustainable his 16.7 HR/FB rate from last year was, and therefore you question how high his power upside really is. On the positive side though, if you look at his monthly splits, his hard contact rate was dragged down by a brutal March/April in which he posted a 23.2% mark. The hard contact% rates for the rest of the season were as follows: 34.1% in May, 35% in June, 33.3% in August, and 35.6% in September and October. That gives me optimism! His 2nd half hard contact rate of 34.8% ranked in a tie for 123rd in the league with Adrian Beltre, and was ahead of names like Josh Donaldson, Marcell Ozuna, and Kris Bryant. So if you looked at his underlying numbers at a full season glance, you’d probably peg his power upside in Low 20 HR’s range (if healthy), but the 2nd half numbers have me thinking he has 25 HR upside if he can stay healthy. I should note that Kiermaier’s soft contact rate of 22% is pretty high, ranking in a tie for 50th worst in the majors with Austin Romine and Luis Valbuena among those with at least 250 PAs. Similar to his hard contact rate, it was also better in the 2nd half of the season with a 19.6% mark. Also note that as a lefty batter, he does have some platoon splits, but he’s not brutal hitting against opposing lefties as he posted a .255/.321/.362 that was worth 88 wRC+ against them. Comparatively, he posted a .289/.349/.502 against righties that was worth 127 wRC+. So keep that in mind if he’s on your team in leagues with daily transactions. Let's take a look at Kevin Kiermaier's plate discipline metrics: His out-of-zone swing% was 30.7% MLB average is 30% His zone swing % was 69.3% MLB average is 65% His overall swing % was 47.6% MLB average is 46% His out-of-zone contact % was 61.1% MLB average is 66% His zone contact% was 83% MLB average is 87% His overall contact rate was 75% MLB average is 80% His % of pitches seen inside the strike-zone was 43.8% MLB average is 45% His swinging-strike% was 11.8% MLB average is 9.5% As you can see, Kiermaier is a fairly aggressive hitter, particularly inside the zone. He shows a pretty solid eye at the plate with a roughly league average out-of-zone swing rate, and that’s a good thing because he is far below average at making contact on pitches outside the strike zone. He’s also below average at making contact inside the zone which is concerning. He was better in that regard in year’s past, so my guess is he concerted more effort to hit for more power in 2017, and traded some contact for power. His swinging strike rate is pretty high too, and that tells me he gets fooled fairly often. Under the hood in plate discipline metrics, Kiermaier does not look good, but he’s also not absolutely brutal. In terms of Speed which is one of the big reasons Kiermaier is so attractive to us fantasy players, he shines. He went 16 for 23 last year on the bases, and 21 for 24 the year before. That’s pretty efficient and the Rays are likely to continue to give him the green light in 2018. I think there’s a reasonable floor of around 15 SBs and there’s upside for around 30 if he can stay healthy. Overall, there’s a lot to like about Kiermaier! He’s got a nice power/speed mix, and he should be a centerpiece in the Rays lineup meaning solid counting stats. He just needs to prove he can stay healthy! His current price is reasonable IMO (NFBC ADP of 157), his upside means he can very easily outperform that ADP but the potential health issues mean he might underperform that ADP. I’m personally buying him at that price and hoping to get 450+ PAs and relying on the fact that OF is the deepest position and that if/when he goes down with an injury, that I can play the wire reasonably well in his absence. The depth at OF lowers the downside to me. For 2018, I’m going to project .268/.330 with 18 HRs and 22 SBs.
  40. 1 point
    High intensity training with heavy weights and high protein diet. I would imagine he got stronger.
  41. 1 point
  42. 1 point
  43. 1 point
    Doesn't really matter if he's coming off the bench or not... as evidenced by tonight's game.
  44. 1 point
    The Steelers bail on Bell and pick up Lewis.
  45. 1 point
    He's never stayed healthy any season of his career except his contract year. Nope, I've never seen this story play out before...
  46. 1 point
    My contention is that we are entering a new paradigm of pitching vs. hitting where power is much more widely available and pitching for 6 innings with a hr/9 under 1.25 has suddenly become incredibly rare. It might change again but this is the new trend and using that as an insight to inform your fantasy strategy might be the difference in a game of small margins.
  47. 1 point
    The issue of ROI from hitters and pitchers is pretty much settled at this point. Pitchers do get injured more, and that's a big factor in why they're not, on average, going to return as much per dollar spent. This is a pretty comprehensive look at the data from a few years back. TL;DR is that ROI for hitters was 65-80%, but only 35-50% for pitchers. That overstates the situation a bit unless you're in a draft-and-hold league, since you're going to DL / drop pitchers who get hurt / don't perform well and replace them with someone who's returning value. The piece notes that the ROI gap closes to ~10% or so when you factor this in by removing pitchers who returned no value, but that actually understates the problem, as nobody has a perfect ability to pitchers who won't get hurt or suck. The actual gap is somewhere in the middle, which seems to vindicate the conventional wisdom that you devote ~65% of your budget to hitters, or spend more on them in the earlier rounds of drafts than pitchers. Still, pitching stats are responsible for half of your roto points, so at some point, if everyone's fading pitching, there are buying opportunities for those who are willing to spend more on pitching than what the numbers say. This means you need some good skill / fortune in getting the guys who return value (or really good instincts moving the ones who don't / trading for ones who do) but I think this is where I'm at -- knowing that pitching isn't as sound of an investment from a pure spreadsheet perspective, but knowing that you still need good ones to win your league, and being willing to outspend people who read too much into the 65/35 split thing.
  48. 1 point
    bad babip year, WRC+ over 100 which is pretty good for a bad year as is a 333 wOBA. 256 ISO is pretty good too, so I don't know about "not hitting for extra bases". Home Runs are extra bases and hitting 30 in a bad year is pretty good. He's only 24. Not impossible he hits 250 or better. would have an OBP over 350 or better, and could slug 500.
  49. 0 points
    Considering it's on the main page of this very site I'm sure most saw it. You can also find source of quote through main page via Orlano's depth chart. Click on Mario.
  50. 0 points