FouLLine

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FouLLine last won the day on March 20 2016

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  1. Yeah universal DH extra pitchers on the roster. Even if he pitched well on the day chances are he's removed the first sign of trouble in the 5th and especially in the 6th. If you drafted before the pandemic and got him you probably got decent value. Any drafts post pandemic I doubt you get any return on an investment. I say this knowing he was going fairly late in redrafts. What really is his upside?... Zips has him projected for 105Ks. I'd take the under on that for sure in a shortened season and expanded rosters. Depth Chart projects 81 and Steamer 76. I think 76 a fair projection with how much hype surrounds Gore. But ultimately I would likely take the under on 76 as well as I just don't see him breaking 70 innings this year. 101 innings last year between Advanced A and AA and that was by far the most innings on his young career. So 70+ in a season that is likely to be 50% of a normal season just doesn't seam feasible especially when he isn't going to be allowed the 3rd time through a whole lot. So expect low win totals too. ERA wise he's projected 3.62 (Steamer), 4.26 Zips, and 3.94 Death Charts. I'd be taking the over on 3.94 for sure Zip's 4.26 seems reasonable as I don't think he'll ever be allowed to be out there to get much worse than 4.26. Note that he had a 4.15 ERA in AA (only 5 starts) where his H9 more than doubled (4.08 to 8.31) and his HR9 tripled (0.45 to 1.25). Skipping AAA into the big leagues and not getting his expected NL boost with the universal DH. His best bet at success I feel is if the MLB uses a ball that randomly benefits his arsenal and approach. But if it's the same juiced ball he could be in for a rough time. A high majority of 4-5 inning pitched games is not going to win you anything in fantasy especially if it's a quality start league. I'm thinking best case scenario is they commit to pitch him every time it's his turn at the back of the rotation. That would give him what 31 - 32 starts max in a normal season for a 5th starter. So 16 starts would be half off that which is way too high. Say we go with the projections of zips (21 way too high) Steamer (13) and Depth Charts (13). 13 seems fair if they're committed to getting him that much work he would still have to average just over 5.1 innings a start to break 70 innings. Also what happens if the Padres are actually right in the thick of things? Do they have to convert him into a RP for the last 5-6 weeks of the season to hopefully get more out of him in the playoffs? Now I'm almost thinking best case scenario is they bring him up as an extended reviler get some holds and 3 inning saves. Honestly it would be the most logical. You could get him in a very good position to succeed. The Padres should use Gore as their pitcher following an opener. Ultimately I totally agree next year could net some value if he struggles this year.
  2. Hey mods this needs to be deleted.
  3. While Gore is a good talent he is vastly over rated. I wouldn't touch him in redraft. Even in redraft next year he could be a flop for where he's going to end up going. A lot of Gore's fantasy value is the fact that he's in PETCO but put a DH up against him every night and a young pitcher quickly looses value. I'd rather wait on a bunch of other pitchers who will likely out do Gore over the next 1.5 seasons as well as go much later.
  4. I'm so sick of hearing this pitchers won't be ready nonsense (not exactly what you're saying but the talking heads keep crying about this). Go throw a damn bullpen. Pitch into a screen. There are a million things that can be done yes not all of them ideal but the 3 weeks of spring training over extra actual games is absurd to me as a baseball player and baseball coach. Pitchers just need to throw hitters actually need to see pitches. So honestly the lay over has put hitters at a bigger disadvantage not getting live reps. Granted not hitting in the cold days will help the hitters stats overall. But it's a historic pandemic things will certainly be different, I want to see what guys adjust and rise to the occasion. Not punish everyone else with less games because some guys (professionals) were too lazy to stay ready or get ready during the negotiations. Let's reward those who have been professionals and are ready sooner.
  5. You also have to factor in the over head of running a stadium and what each team invests in advertising. But I think it's pretty off the wall for the owners to act like they're going to be out on the streets over this. Yeah they won't make as much money or maybe they even do lose some money. 1 year of loss revenue for decades of explosive growth and profits.... Since the owners every other year reap the most reward seems like they need to be the one's taking on the money risk. Not the players who are risking their health.
  6. I think baseball in New York, Boston, and DC this year is going to be pretty risky. Worldometers has only 750 deaths reported for today though nation wide. Sundays are always a lower day though due to less staff. So we'll have to see what the numbers are for Monday and Tuesday but at least the data seems to be on the downside of this.
  7. You clearly don't understand how it works. Again the genome closer related to Asia was found on the West coast (the earlier) whereas NY was over run with one closer to the genome found mostly in Europe. So I still have yet to see or find any evidence of NY having cases before Cali or Washington. You're talking about tracking a new virus that is rapidly mutating and sweeping through countries that don't have nearly enough testing or contact tracing. There is no 100% certain way to say this mutation happened at this time in this place. To think because they find a new mutation that they found the 1st actual one that was mutated like that is wishful thinking. Notice they always say Europe and Asia. That is because it is NOT a perfect science. If it were so precise they'd have already released a timeline of every mutation at the exact time in the city that it occurred. But we have nothing close to that. The have it broken down as precise as these mutations likely happened in Europe and these ones likely happened in Asia. Again not a perfect science. Also DNA isn't 100% either just for the record. Yeah DAN testing is far more reliable than mapping the genome of a new virus but not infallible.
  8. I haven't heard anything like that. I've actually been reading the opposite. That New York got a more mutated version from Europe while California and Washington (state) got the version much closer to the genome out of Asia. But either way genome mapping is highly speculative to begin with. What we do know for a fact is the first official cases of the states. Washington was Jan 21st California was Jan 26th New York's first official case was March 1st. Until Mid March Washington was the highest cases and deaths per capita in the country. Then NY exploded past them. But that is a huge gap in first official cases. If NY did have it sooner than Washington or California and it took them that long to publicly announce an official case that only makes their response look even worse.
  9. Exactly. That's why Cuomo went so over board with the TV time. He was trying to make up for lost time. NY is still over 1/3 of the countries deaths yet they got hit with covid much after it was apparent in California and Washington.
  10. I just want to say the main reasons for states making masks mandatory is less about preventing you from catching the virus and more about you not spreading the virus. Yes a mask will lower your chances of infection). But where the mask really helps is the asymptomatic and presymptomatic people won't be throwing their droplets all over the place. But washing your hands every time you come home kinda thing will help. Covid breaks down easily with soap and water.
  11. Very true. Stocks are mainly being floated by all the relief aid. That will dry up pretty quick. Our economy was in for a hard recession long before covid was in the picture.
  12. The beauty of sports is the conversation is never done. I love hearing everyone's speculation. Hell that's basically all fantasy sports are in a way, speculation.
  13. He's going to pretty much lose the entire season. In my opinion you're much better off swapping him out for a lottery ticket at rather than wasting a roster spot on a player that is only losing value by maintaining stagnant value at best. Plus shouldn't we expect a drop in performance upon his return due to the PEDs? If there was a 50/50 bet that Clase would be fantasy relevant at any point from now through 2021 I'd be putting my money on no. Unless you're in over 1000 player leagues
  14. Yeah his 2020 is probably wiped out at this point. He was dropped in 2 of my dynasties early this morning. I'm in a 3rd one where he's owned I'd imagine he'd be dropped by the end of the weekend there too if that owner is up to date on his players.