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Rainyy last won the day on September 22 2019

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  1. I love bitter NFL analysts/announcers, most of who doubted Allen, clinging desperately to the "Josh Allen is returning to inaccuracy" narrative. When Allen misses two passes, Joe Buck craps on him. When Mahomes overshoots Kelce by 20 feet, the take is "the weather is really bad out there."
  2. Here's my best read on the situation: (1) Darrell Henderson is the lead back. McVay trusts him the most with touches, particularly carries. As such, Henderson gets the majority of snaps in close games and/or games where the Rams are leading (to eat clock). (2) However, despite Henderson's productivity with his touches, the Rams trust Malcolm Brown more in pass protection. Henderson is a smaller back at 5'8 so it's no surprise they favor Brown as a blocker. As such, Brown sees a greater share of snaps when the Rams are trailing, usually by 2+ scores. I think this is why we saw Brown on the opening two drives of the third quarter. The Rams were down two TDs. They were looking to get Goff going and establish the passing game (which was horrible for the first half), so they played the guy they perceive as the best in pass protection. (3) Cam Akers, as a rookie, is the developmental piece. I think we see won't see much of Akers in close games, or games where the Rams are trailing. It shouldn't surprise that we saw a lot of Akers last week against a terrible Redskins team (Rams won 30-10). McVay had more leeway to experiment with RBs. --- Hopefully McVay comes to the conclusion that whatever advantage Malcolm Brown offers in pass protection is insufficient to offset his other flaws (relative to Henderson). The good news for fantasy owners is that the first two drives of the 3rd quarter, led by Malcolm Brown, were a dumpster fire. On the third drive, Henderson had seven straight carries and took the Rams all the way to the goal line. After that point, Henderson got more burn until a clear two-minute drills script (wherein Brown took over). Between this game (vs. 49'ers) and the game against the Giants, the Rams have looked the worst on offense when Brown is in at RB. With that said, I think Henderson can gradually take more touches from Brown. However, I think the two-minute drill and 3rd and longs, will more frequently belong to Brown (if not exclusively in the case of the former).
  3. Yep. This is one of the classic examples of when a player's actual value will always outpace their average trade return. Fuller is not a known commodity and he's still perceived as risky. You're likely going to get pennies of the dollar if you sell. My advice: ride Fuller. After this week, he likely jumps into the Top 12 WR in all fantasy formats. Keep in mind that the valuation market always has a lot of inertia and operates in hindsight. A player is injury-prone until the season where they stay healthy and have a stud season. Then they're not. A player is a plodder until they get good blockers. Then they break out. My point is that if you're too glued to the past, then you're going to miss big seasons from a lot of fantasy players. The past offers useful data, but that doesn't mean we should stubbornly tether our expectations to history. In Fuller's case (and again, he'll be ranked a ~Top 12 WR after this week), all signs suggest this performance is legitimate: (1) Fuller is the team's #1 WR (2) Fuller is a borderline elite, if not elite talent. He's made countless big plays this season. And every game, he will get opportunities for huge gains/TDs. (3) You might expect TD regression, but let's think for a moment. Every time the Texans get near the redzone they call Fuller's number first. Seriously. They are always designing plays for him in the corner of the endzone, where he is the first read. Those who have watched Texans games know what I am talking about. The Texans want to get Fuller involved in the redzone because he has been exceptional there. (4) The Texans have an awful defense and are usually playing from behind (5) O'Brien is gone Why can't this guy be a WR1? He's been one so far, and I see so much more potential. I don't live in the past. While I don't know the future, Fuller is healthy now and he is performing now.
  4. Dear McVay, Until this most recent drive, you had Malcolm Brown in the past two drives. You did nothing. When you put Henderson in, you ran him 7 straight times and he took you to the goal line. Please learn your lesson. Malcolm Brown is not a good player. Henderson is. Best, Me
  5. I hate how McVay gives up on the running game the second they get behind 2 scores. Their worst offensive performances have been games where they abandoned the run earlier and went heavily to Malcolm Brown (because they like him more in pass protection). Same thing happened against the Giants. Henderson has been pretty effective on the ground this game. Sad to see he's already riding the pine so that Malcolm Brown can be horribly inefficient with his touches.
  6. More like JuJu Smith-Suckster. I'll see myself out
  7. After this game, I think Fuller needs to be included in the WR1 discussion ROS.
  8. I don't think this is how we frame Higgins' usage because Boyd and Higgins play very different, but complimentary roles in the offense. Boyd operates almost exclusively in the slot and is the short-yardage safety valve in the offense. Higgins is the big-bodied receiver who plays on the outside and who works deep. They're not really competing with one another. The real question is whether AJ Green or Higgins gets more looks on the outside. Higgins is firmly winning that battle. Higgins is basically doing a better job of being AJ Green than (old man) AJ Green is. Green and Boyd were effective together in years past. This is a pretty similar offensive situation; it's just that Higgins has usurped Green's role on the outside.
  9. Really safe floor. Montgomery had 19 carries and 4 receptions. Inches short of a TD (that was overturned). This is a three-down back with goal line duties. How many other RBs can we say this for? Montgomery is a proper RB2 because of this volume. However, some combination of play-calling, blocking, and talent does limit upside beyond that. He's not sexy, but Montgomery is returning great value for where he was drafted.
  10. Another week of Henry "plodding" my team to victory.
  11. Rigorous fantasy analysis. Montgomery still had 11.7 points in .5 PPR, and had a TD reversed. Whatever strange vendetta you have against Montgomery aside, he had 19 carries and 5 targets. That is incredible, RB1-type volume. When a player can average 3.1 YPC and still put up double-digit fantasy points, it tells you they have a pretty safe floor. I just don't see how Montgomery falls outside of the Top 24 on his current volume. Regarding talent, I think Montgomery gets penalized too much because he isn't exciting and the Bears have a bad offensive line. He's hit in the backfield on half of his carries. He's not a burner or an elite talent, but he has good size, good footwork, and decent vision.
  12. I am thinking of adding the Panthers Defense (I currently have no D/ST). Should I (1) drop Zach Ertz; (2) drop La'mical Perine (RB - Jets); or (3) drop no one and play without a DST. I am favored to win by 10 points, as of right now. Part of me wants to play without a Defense, which is obviously risky. Ertz has been terrible, but maybe he turns it around. With Bell gone, only 37 year old Gore stands in Perine's way of carries. Gase has said he wants to get Perine more involved.
  13. You play in a league with benches, correct? The idea is you stash Alshon now and don't risk someone else picking him up. Especially useful if you have an IR slot. Drop your kicker, add Alshon, IR him, add new kicker. Everyone is happy. Yay