BigPapi44

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Posts posted by BigPapi44


  1. 1 hour ago, kmoore1521 said:

    shine has wore off on this new toy eh?

    Hopefully not.  Expectations were high and he started out hot then got hurt.  Doesn't seem to get the same love like fellow youngsters like Luciano, Robinson, etc., on the Top 100 lists. If you can get him at a discount, he's a nice 'buy-low' candidate, imo.


  2. I'm not going to lie.  This move is not the best for Betts, but it's not the worst either.  Let's be realistic.  His HRs are likely going down and I would have some concern for his RBI numbers too.  Still, he will be valuable, but I would move him down with his present outlook.


  3. 1 hour ago, BackyardBaseball said:

    May be speaking out my a**, but the size and control issues probably point towards him becoming a bullpen arm in the majors which kills his prospect value

    The size has always been a concern.  I think the Yanks will continue to groom him as a starter until there is reason to move him to the pen.  He struggled a bit at AAA, which his age relative to the league, is understandable.  For sure, he needs to sharpen his control moving forward, but the stuff has been nasty and to date he has shown the ability to at least pitch 5+ innings.


  4. 4 minutes ago, kwolf68 said:

    Best thing for Senzel is to be traded to a team that will simply install him at 2B, unless they felt like he should goto his college position (3B) which would probably require getting his arm strength up. Either way, Senzel has a ++ hit tool, stick him in one spot and see if that hit tool can come alive. 

    Cleveland one of the rumored dance partners doesn't really need a 2B, 3B or even a CF. I'd hate to see them get Senzel then stick him in LF. 

     

    Rangers may be an option.

    • Like 1

  5. 38 minutes ago, Members_Only_76 said:

     

     

    Puk is already planning to start the season in the A's rotation.

     

     

     

     

    My interpretation of the comments was that he will begin the season as a starter, not that he is a lock to make their starting rotation.  And if he doesn't make the team, he will go back down to AAA and pitch as a starter as opposed to being put in the A's bullpen.  

    • Thanks 1

  6. Marlins would really need breakouts from Brinson and Diaz, among others to sniff .500, imo.  Arguably, they will play in the most competitive division this year (Nats, Phils, Braves and even the Mets look solid) so there won't be many gimme wins either.  As noted, all is not lost they do have some good young talent that could help them in the near future.  Still, without some really strong FA signings and breakouts by younger guys they are not likely competing for anything meaningful (title/wild card) in this division in the next 2-3 years, imo.


  7. Surprised by this signing as well, more because they already signed the Japanese FA. Perhaps, they did not think he would last this long and at a discounted rate versus what they thought they would have to pay.  There remain a lot of unknowns.  How good is the Japanese guy they signed, do they trade Senzel (now being reported on the trade block per RW). I wonder if they value Aquino ahead of Winker?  Right now, it is all speculative.  Hopefully a trade happens to free-up playing time for him in Cincy, or he is the one that gets dealt.


  8. On 1/25/2020 at 10:37 AM, Dislimb said:

    With power becoming easier and easier to find, bad AVG and/or zero speed guys like this have almost no appeal to me anymore.

    That's not a real strong strategy, imo.  I agree, power is becoming easier, but that doesn't mean you should just ignore him.  It just means that you will need a higher average/speed in other position categories.  Point being, I understand the logic but I still think it depends on the price you are paying for same.


  9. Deivi Garcia - Yanks (they were close to promoting him last year, so I would anticipate he will be up soon)

    AJ Puk - A's (I'm assuming that Luzardo starts the year in the rotation.  I suspect that Puk needs some further seasoning, but if he hits the ground running the A's won't hesitate to bring him up)

    Carter Kieboom - Nats (depending on whether or not he has a job out of ST, if he goes down, I would anticipate he would be one of the first guys called up if injury/performance dictate it)

    Jazz Chisholm - Marlins (He might need more time in the minors, but a hot start coupled by an injury/performance, may trigger a call.  I don't think that would take place until the second half of the season though)

    Spencer Howard - Phillies (Another to watch in ST.  If he does not make the rotation, he should be one of the first guys called up by the Phils)


  10. On 1/18/2020 at 1:06 AM, Trexpenniebaker said:

    Never proven he can stay on the field long enough to produce. Guy is always hurt.  Till we see a few 600 AB seasons strung together we will never know what he can do.

     

    I'm with this post.  Obviously he is talented, but at this point what are you paying for?  I'd rather have a guy that has a better track record, even at less upside, over Senzel.  Until he proves he can stay healthy, I am not a buyer.  As someone who has a parent with vertigo, it is not something that necessarily just goes away.  Caveat emptor.

    • Like 1

  11. On 1/19/2020 at 12:19 PM, crotchcrickets said:

    damn...was hoping to slot him into my 2B vacancy

    All hope is not lost.  Injuries, the need to rest guys, etc., may end up leading to him getting time there in any event.  Let's first let him crack the lineup and start producing before worrying too much about everything else.

    • Like 1

  12. 7 hours ago, 24/7fantasysports said:

    I think Kieboom will be fine at 3B now that it appears to be his everyday spot. Aside from learning the position the uncertainty of where he will be playing is one less thing to worry about and he has Ryan Zimmerman there as a mentor. 

    And they could groom him in AAA until his control date in May. 

    That's a good point on Zimmerman, great mentor to have there.  Cabrera also gets high marks, from ex-teammates, for his leadership too, and also having Kendrick.  He is well positioned to learn from some really great leaders.

    • Like 1

  13. Solak was pretty good last year and has a lot of versatility.  Wondering though with the off-season moves, and possibly Castellanos going to the Rangers if there is any path to a full-time gig.  Curious in people's thoughts, and specifically any Rangers' fans that have a sense of what his role may be in 2020.


  14. 2 hours ago, ChicksDigTheOPS said:

    nice call OP! all over this guy before he was cool (back in 2017).

    Apparently the Rays like him, too.   Welcome to Tampa Bay, Randy! 

    Is there a path to playing time in TBay?  Pham is gone.  I suspect they will use Martinez in a variety of roles, as I would have thought the international guy they signed would mostly be playing first base but maybe Martinez will platoon there.  He is apparently awful defensively in the OF.  Hoping Randy gets hot in the Spring.


  15. 6 hours ago, Slatykamora said:

    Do not doubt his quality on contact will be impressive. Some of those metrics tell you more about power output(LA, Exit Velo). Some are not stable(Sweet spot). Or they represent such a low% of total outcomes(Barrels/PA). 

     

    Lowe is netting 10.9 Outcomes (per 100) with a .822 BA vs .298 BA. Gaining 5.7116 Hits per 100 in a vaccum (.057 BA raise)

    Lowe is netting 34.6 Outcomes (per 100) with a .000 BA vs .298 BA. Losing 10.318 Hits per 100 in a vaccum. (103 BA drop)

    .46 Net BA loss vs .298= .252 BA. That would be his mean BA projection only calculating Barrels PA and K%. (More factor influence BA obviously)

     

    The main question mark with the numbers is repeating it for a full year.  You cannot assume he will see the same pitch mix. My criticism from last year was I did not think his plate coverage/poor contact rate vs his O-swing/Swing rate is was not sustainable in both BA and extreme power output.

    Caveat for that is he could very well tighten his K zone and remedy some of this. He has a very good swing, the talent is there. So if the price is right, worth the gamble for the upside of a youth improving.

     

    Another important factor is where they intend to bat him in the lineup, far more valuable to be in the top 5 in the order versus bottom 3 or something in that range, imo.