DekuTree

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  1. Late Afternoon game, not gonna know until later unfortunately.
  2. Darrel has out-touched Shady once this season - Week 11 when McCoy was removed to be checked for concussion and didn't return. McCoy has gotten 28 targets to Darrel's 18. McCoy has gotten 22 RZ touches to Darrel's 8. McCoy has averaged about a 40% snap share when all 3 are active - however when just McCoy and Darrel are active, those splits are much closer to 50/50. Also, McCoy has had 25 fumbles in his entire career (regular season). Across essentially the same number of games, AP has 42. Marshall Faulk had 36. No his fumbling isn't great, but considering Andy Reid knows Shady probably better than any other coach, I seriously doubt that he feels he has serious "ball control issues." Not to say he didn't sit him down and tell him to hold on to the damn ball, but I sincerely doubt he's going to be phased out of their offense because he lost a fumble or two. Numbers.
  3. This went through a couple of trade partners, so a little convoluted. Locked up a bye week and started selling off bench depth, so in the past few weeks I've done: Full PPR Superflex Terry McLaurin / Ronald Jones ----> TY Hilton (figured he was coming back healthy sooner - no worry, flipped him) Chris Godwin ----> DJ Chark and Philip Lindsay (been rolling Mike Evans and Godwin as starters all season - worried me going into playoffs so I wanted to diversify, and needed some good RB depth (was starting Coleman/Ekeler at RB2)) TY Hilton / John Brown / Tevin Coleman / Sam Darnold ---> Deshaun Watson and DJ Moore Skill Positions are now: Lamar Jackson / Deshaun Watson Christian McCaffrey / Philip Lindsay / Austin Ekeler / Kareem Hunt / Marlon Mack (IR) Mike Evans / DJ Moore / DJ Chark / Keenan Allen / Devante Parker
  4. Pure assumption, but you would think Shepard would slide into the slot in place of Tate in 3-wide sets, with Slayton and Latimer manning the perimeter. Shepard is probably the best option for targets, but also most likely to get the toughest matchup rolled his way. GB has also been far more susceptible to outside receivers, allowing huge games to guys like Cooper, Gallup, Mike Williams, and Allen Robinson (DJ Moore had a big game too - would have to see where he was lining up though). Slayton has the air yards on his side, so while it's most likely that Shepard will see the biggest bump in targets, with the lack of depth at receiver there's a good chance that Slayton will see a decent uptick as well, and he will still most likely to be running the deepest routes on the field. In a game the Giants are almost surely to be behind in, and which could easily develop into a shootout (or, at worst, garbage time), Slayton's probably not the worst boom-or-bust play you could make at the position this week. If nothing else, a decent target share should give him at least a serviceable floor while maintaining his same upside.
  5. The only thing I'm trying to decide is whether to keep him on my bench or just go ahead and drop him ahead of the game
  6. There's a first time for everything, I guess. The only time the Texans and Watson have 'shred that arse' since 2016 they won on an OT field goal.
  7. So it appears @pastorofmuppets2 may not have been too far off to begin with, because while the stats I posted for fantasy points allowed to RBs still stand (Jets allowing right about the average to the position), there's a lot of analysts today pointing out that the Jets are sitting at #2 at DVOA against the run (essentially, points allowed once adjusted for opponent, game situation, score, field position, and other factors). I'm still inclined to consider them still in the mediocre area of run defenses, simply because the DVOA seems to indicate what is already obvious - that they allowed a lot of RB points to great offenses, allowed middling production to average offenses, and were able to stop the bad ones. That said, where you value Guice this week will probably depend on how you view the Redskins offense in its current state - do you consider them more average, along the lines of Buffalo, that can eke out some points with the right gameplan? Or do you view them as a simply bad offense like Miami, that won't be able to overcome a rush defense that puts up even moderate resistance?
  8. I might have to petition ESPN to increase the character limit so that I can make this my team name.
  9. All good! I've just been starting to take a look at matchups down the stretch run and didn't remember marking the Jets as someone to worry about. Guice's schedule is really the only reason I picked him up at this point - definitely doesn't have anything to do with that offense inspiring confidence. NYJ, DET, @CAR, @GB, PHI, NYG Amazingly, if going by the Harris Index, the Jets should actually be the HARDEST matchup against RBs that Guice will face the rest of the year, so schedule shouldn't really play much part. Far moreso will be the committee situation, the lackluster offense, Haskins at the helm, uninspired playcalling..........
  10. Where did you get this from? In the last 5 weeks (according to the Harris Index), they're right at league average, whereas TB is the toughest in the league. On the season, they're also right at league average with TB the toughest. According to ESPN they're exactly 15th in points allowed to the RB position. Once again, TB is the toughest. Don't think I've seen anywhere that they've been tough against the run, especially in the last 6 weeks or so. Their defense is in shambles and they're giving up points to every single position at at least an average rate. If anything their numbers may be slightly depressed against RBs simply because it's so easy to pass on them, but it certainly has nothing to do with them being strong against the run.
  11. That's the thing with watching Dwayne though - he's not even good enough to get a proper evaluation on. The kid literally cannot read a single defender, much less run an actual football play. He could barely handle taking a step back and giving the ball to AP without screwing it up. There's absolutely nothing that throwing Haskins to the wolves is going to prove besides just how unprepared he actually is. Getting absolutely crushed in real game time isn't 'experience' - it's detrimental to development. This is of course assuming rational coaching, out of Washington no less, so yeah, we'll probably be getting 6 weeks of Haskins handing it off 40 times a game and airmailing 4-5 throws over McLaurin's head each game. That said, here's your reminder to toss Guice on your bench - that schedule after the Bye is middling-to-easy.
  12. Don't think I saw anyone mention... Derrius Guice was designated for return and can be back on the field in Week 11. Redskins are terrible and that line is atrocious, but he flashed some talent before going down, and their schedule after the Bye is cake as far as run defense is concerned - NYJ, DET, CAR, GB, PHI, NYG. Philly is the only one I would be concerned about. Only 29% rostered on ESPN 🤷‍♂️
  13. And granted he only caught 1/3 of his targets, but he went 4/104/1 🤷‍♂️
  14. This so much. Or even as recently as last season, Gus Edwards. People in here acting like they weren't out there scrambling to drop half their FAAB on Wayne Gallman a couple of weeks ago - who is arguably far less talented and in a worse offense. Lot of strawman arguments of people apparently debating with no one that Ty Johnson isn't going to be an every week high-end RB2 or better - pretty sure anyone who paid attention knows that he's a gamble, not a sure thing for production, but tell me - how many other guys are sitting on your wire that could be staring down 15+ touches a week without an injury or trade occurring? For someone like me who is having to role out Mixon or Montgomery in my #2 slot, Ty is an incredible pick up, even if he does split carries or doesn't turn into a consistent performer. A matchup dependent RB2/Flex play is still nothing to turn your nose up at, especially if your roster isn't looking too rosy at this point of the season.