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About Nickmo

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  1. It's a tough situation, as any relation to the 2019-2020 season as we know it is pretty much gone. Any momentum built is squashed. Injuries have had time to heal. Fatigue should be non-existent. Most everything that shaped the season and it's standings is null. Players who typically wear down during the season will be fresh as ever. A big part of the playoffs is the grind it takes to get there. No one is playing at 100% health by time the playoffs come, and that's what separates the men from the boys. The players that push through and still give you 110% somehow; the teams that put it all together at the end of the season and bring that momentum into a playoff run. We won't have things like that. Any attachment to the real 2019-2020 season is gone. And as much as people need entertainment at this point, it doesn't seem worth the risk to run a shell of a season out there. Even if they run games without audiences, there's still a lot of work that goes into running a stadium for game time. And it wouldn't be just NBA players that are at potential risk for infection, All of the stadium workers who have to be present for the game are also at risk. Which means those workers families would be at risk still, ect. If COVID19 forecasts are correct (which I am not a professional and have zero firsthand knowledge of) then the risks presented by continuing the season in a time frame that would make any sense just aren't worth it for the entertainment.
  2. To be fair everything was trending in that direction for LA. Gurley was a full, dual threat beast for a year and a half (I know, very short window). Almost 4000 yards and 40 TDs in a 2 season span is incredible by any standards. They were a Superbowl team just 2 seasons ago and Gurley did alot of the heavy lifting early on that season before he broke down. 80+ yfs in 11 of the first 12 games that season and 19 TDs in that span. If they would've won the Superbowl that year (just one more game), that's all you could ask for from any player. Unfortunately, chronic injuries, that no one could've predicted would come to affect Gurley as fast as they did, happened. Other shortcomings on the Rams roster, such as their QB taking steps backwards, and also being in a stacked division also led to the Rams star to fade quickly. And you're left with what it is now, instead of what it could've been in a perfect Rams world.
  3. If the stats are correct, Howard did not lack in routes run per game. He ran routes on 61% of pass plays, or about 26 routes run a game. How many of them were decoy routes, or just Winston flat out ignoring him are for someone who's watched a few more TB games to decide. But to turn that into 3.8 targets a game is just awful. Most pass plays designed by Arians are for his stacked WR group. Winston isn't exactly the type of QB to calmly look through his progressions and definitely loses track when under pressure. Howard also didn't help himself with 5 drops, including that awful one that led to an interception against the Saints. If Winston was still his QB, I wouldn't touch him. With Brady, he has a better chance to improve based on having a much more intelligent QB, who can go quickly go through progressions and hit the open receiver. I think improvement is inevitable, but not enough to warrant anything more than TE2 consideration. Gronk, 1 Aaron Hernandez season, and 1 Martellus Bennett season is the extent of TE success Brady has provided. Gronk is a generational talent, you can take that out of this conversation. Hernandez was also not your prototypical TE and used much more cleverly than Arians would ever use Howard. Bennett would be a decent comparison, and hung up a 55/701/7 line in his one successful season with Brady. But that was with Edelman being the only real WR threat. That was also with Brady not being 43 years old. Competing with two 120+ target WRs who get funneled the ball may leave too little for Howard to really be playable outside of streaming.
  4. This looks like a fantastic year to load up on AFC East defenses. If you're in best ball grab 2 or 3 and you're set!
  5. Wow, if that's the case I'm in on him. If he plays 16 games he should put up RB2 #s just based on volume alone.
  6. Same thing I said about Duke last year applies to DJ as well. A QB who's never utilized his RBs in the passing game (NFL and college) working in a system that under-utilizes pass catching backs, including the RB they just signed last year TO catch passes out of the backfield. And you have a redundancy now with both Duke and DJ being talented receivers and both playable on passing downs. Does the 150+ targets vacated by Hopkins mean they'll actually spread the ball enough for DJ to get a significant PPR boost??? Consider me skeptical. DJ is owed alot of money and should handle most of the carries and be the undisputed goal line back, but he also looked like he was running uphill in sand last year. And if that was only because of injuries, then he's now an injury risk instead of just slow. As the defacto RB1 on his team, given the situation, what round would you guys be comfortable grabbing him?
  7. Agreed. The Chargers run attack was similarly bad and he's rushed for over 4ypc once in his 5 year career. Miami ran the least amount of run plays out of any team last year. But oddly enough ran the 11th most plays total. They also ran for 10 TDs total, Fitzpatrick accounting for 4 of them. It would take a very heavy workload in the passing game to make him worth what his draft capital will probably be. And I don't believe Miami is built to feed one RB 90-100 targets. Edit: Let me rephrase similarly bad to was also bad, but not as bad as Miami's.
  8. Great move by Tennessee and a solid move for fantasy purposes. You take pretty much the same team that made the AFC championship this year into next year with big game playoff experience now. For the regular season he should post similar #s to last year. Same receivers, same OLine, same monster RB who could not be stopped in the 2nd half of last year. They say defenses will adjust, but how do you adjust when a RB just literally runs right through your players? If Henry stays strong, Tannehill will reap the benefits once again.
  9. Not sure what makes you come to such a strong conclusion that he can't be the featured back. He handled over 1000 touches in college and averaged 26+ touches a game. Granted it was division II football. That's still a heavy workload with no major injuries to date in his college/nfl career outside of a concussion & neck stinger in 2018. To me that's refreshing in a potential high fantasy pick. With that said, his effectiveness in the run game was limited, but their run game as a whole was ineffective and that O-Line does no favors. But his bread and butter should continue to be his usage and effectiveness catching passes. He has great hands, he runs solid routes, he can track the deep ball, he has great vision, quickness, and the ability to make tacklers miss in the open field. They definitely paid him to use him, and he's proven invaluable in the passing game. Whoever they sign at QB will have to adjust to utilizing their RB in the passing game, or 24 million dollars is wasted. He also has a solid nose for the endzone. 11 TDs last year, including 6 in the first four weeks when Gordon was inactive. I think 300 touches is not out of the question. And if 90-100 of those touches are receptions, he's going to be golden in PPR, and still high quality in non-ppr. I don't doubt his YPCarry will be lackluster, but the Chargers have not been a strong running team in recent memory. They've averaged over 4.0 YPC as a team only once since 2012. I'm buying.
  10. Lol agreed except about the Pats becoming doormats. They still have the most successful coach in the history of the league, a solid defense, and upper tier OLine depending on what happens in the off season. And an offense with alot of holes, which is much better than having a defense with alot of holes IMO. The next 2 years their only significant missing pick is the 2020 2nd rounder. They probably won't be Superbowl contenders, and like you said, that will be the end of the old bandwagon boys. But I think the Hoodie will do A-OK post Brady.
  11. He's had significant injuries 3 of the last 4 seasons. Groin tear, toe injury, and most recently a torn ligament in his ankle that required surgery. He sat out the entire year, which was probably more of a self preservation move. But you're talking about a 32 year old receiver who will be almost 2 years removed from his last healthy appearance in real game action. If he stays in Cincinnati, he'll have a rookie QB throwing to him while competing for targets with Boyd and Ross, in an offense that was 7th worst in YPG and 3rd worst in PPG. If he doesn't stay in Cincy, you're still talking about a receiver who has been healthy one in the last 4 years, all injuries being to the lower extremities. You have a 6'4, 200+ LB. Frame coming down on 32 year old injury prone legs, I'll take a pass. Father time strikes hard and fast, don't wanna be left holding the hot potato when the clock runs out.
  12. I don't see his production falling much, but if the tender is a 2nd rounder I'll pass. I'm more interested to see where Mahomes goes, and if he's too expensive as well, this isn't a bad year to wait on QB.
  13. Here's a decent summary of his injury history, although it doesn't include last year's injury yet. It's alarming that pretty much every injury is a different part of his body. He lasted 150 touches before he was shut down for the season in 2018. He touched the ball 91 times before missing 8 1/2 games last year. His YPC (3.6) and his involvement in the passing game were down significantly in 2019 even before the injury. For what it's worth, Scarborough (89 carries), Ty Johnson (63), and McKissic (38) all averaged more than 4.0 YPC, and Detroit's offensive line is pretty solid. The talent is there. Lack of previous success, injury concerns, and potential workload are all working against him. He's not on the do not draft list, but for what his ADP will probably shoot up to come summer, he will be.
  14. There's no doubt just based on his legacy and popularity that this storyline will be milked dry. But that comes with the territory of being one of the most liked players ever to play the game. That being said, not everyone who follows the NFL cares. Despite what he's done in the past, he's just not the best of the best anymore. And equally as important, his fantasy impact will be marginal at best. It'll be interesting to hear where he lands, but it's hard to really get excited about a 42 year old QB's prospects. 😕
  15. It's the end of a dynasty. Congratulations to the Patriots and their fans for being able enjoy success on such a grand level. It's time to plan for their QB of the future. It's long overdue. Brady has had success despite his physical decline, and Belichick has been superb at hiding his QB's weaknesses and developing a team and game plan that would still allow Brady to be game manager and still allow him to come through in the clutch. One of the GOAT, he just can't compete physically anymore. I love to hate Brady, but even I wanna see him go out with dignity. I hope he calls it a career sooner than later.