the Ghost of Joe Webb

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Everything posted by the Ghost of Joe Webb

  1. Based on Yahoo ownership: DK Metcalf (47%) needs to be more highly owned. Turned 6 targets into 89 yds in his debut, he was Wilson's first look on every pass attempt. Though those are hard to come by in Seattle, he has serious touchdown upside as a redzone specimen. He's essentially an upgraded David Moore, who is out right now and nearly broke out last year because of Russ' redzone efficiency. Matchup at Pittsburgh this week. Carlos Hyde (41%) looked spry last game, could easily see him poach a TD or two. Should be on everyone's radar as the 1b in a high powered offense. AJ Brown (24%) extremely smooth receiver to watch, a 'post hype' pickup. Watch his tape. Many passed on him for the other rookie waiver WRs, but he went 3/3/100 in his NFL debut in under 50% snaps: his playing time will increase. Yes the Titans are run first with a limited passing game pie, Mariota sucks, etc. But it's a bet on what looks to be a top 2 WR talent of his class. Corey Davis has been inconsistent in part because he draws elite shadow coverage, I believe AJB benefits all year. DJ Chark (11%)/Chris Conley (4%) I expect Minshew to sling it in shootout with the Texans. Both have been dynasty projects of physical potential. Chark went 4/146/1 last week, Conley 6/97/1 I would say they deserves a bump in ownership. Often when there is a QB change the target distribution will change from what we anticipated (less Dede Westbrook centric). I believe Minshew is a gamer and this is a DeFilippo (pass happy) offense. Tre'quan Smith (15%) a forum favorite, seems like he's been around forever but this is just the start of his sophomore year. Mike Thomas and Ted Ginn will see Talib/Peters while Smith will get chances in the slot in another potential shootout. CJ Uzomah (4%) for deep/desperate TE teams, prefer him to Eifert, though both may have potential with Zac Taylor's pass happiness. He'll be a PPR low ceiling guy as we've seen him before.
  2. This guy is clearly out to prove he's more than 'just a deep threat.' Works hard, already has chemistry with Carr. Has the makings of a top 20 wr and draft day steal. Talent needs opportunity for fantasy production - he was clearly miscast on the Chargers and took a backseat career wise to the Rivers-KA/Gates connections. See Mike Williams, in the present.
  3. Looks like he's healthy, but will be workload managed all year in anticipation of the Rams playoff run. He was used in sort of a closer role and racked up yardage when the game was on the line. I don't think Malcolm Brown will vulture every rushing TD, so I look at Gurley as a high-end RB2 right now given that this is still a potent offense (especially at home when Goff actually performs). As someone who got him at 3.01, this was an acceptable and even encouraging Week 1 outcome.
  4. Guy looked nearly as good as Hopkins, like a true alpha 1. Outside of Nagy's system and Trubisky he would've dropped 150+. I think he has a shot at a top 15 finish despite it.
  5. My approach to Miles. He's gonna be a flex play with reasonable upside. Ppr leagues I think he is a solid pick at current adp, if you've noticed the pickings past Philip Lindsay range are extremely slim this year. So ideally your rb3. He's gonna get vultured by at least Howard, possibly at times Clement and/or Sproles, so he's more of a floor play with passing game work. Not to mention they have Ertz, Goedert, JJAW, Alshon. Pederson is a tricky *********** at the GL. Wentz is gonna have an excellent year. By the fantasy playoffs, Miles' talent could earn him a 15-20 touch floor, and he ends up an Rb2.
  6. I'm on board. I was using Chris Herndon though after losing OJ then Doyle. Brate is available (ppr) but I need a ceiling play. Justin McMahan on Fpros pod noted that VD was Johnsons first read in limited time last week, and Johnson might take more shots downfield.
  7. Anyone getting this sinking feeling that it will be Darrel, not Damien, with the big fantasy day tonight? Damien is a career COP back. He was a bland fantasy option when given reps in Miami, but obviously 12 touches in this year's KC can go a long way. So he is currently in my lineups for the PPR floor and because scored twice last week from the GL. But Darrel has an esoteric, *cough* league winning, profile. I just don't know if Andy Reid is as predictable as everyone is thinking projecting Damien as an RB2 lock. Darrel might be the sleeping giant that runs wild. I'm strongly considering just backing away from either to avoid the dread of waiting after TNF for the rest of the games.
  8. Hribar mentions in the Worksheet that Sutton would be expected to run 73% of his snaps away from Sherman. Guess that means not split wide left. Plugging Sutton in at wr3 over Landry.
  9. So far it looks like we're heading towards another Lamar Miller year with a workmanlike Top 20ish RB finish. I planned for him to be an RB3/depth guy on draft night and I tip my cap. He is....the Champagne of Flex Options.
  10. If you chase matchups and attempt to cherry predict his games you will pull your hair out. Just look at his final stretch last year: At JAX (best pass defense in years but variable opposing offense): 3/78/1 Vs LAR (high powered O, positive game script right?): 1/6/0 At DAL (neutral): 4/35/1 Vs ARI (historically limiting pass defense): 4/90/2 Bet on his improving health and red zone chemistry with Russ. The rest is up to your alternatives and the fantasy gods.
  11. You guys are going way too far analyzing matchups, run:pass ratios, etc. Doug Baldwin is who he is. He is liable to give you a 2 for 30 yd performance one day and a touchdown boom game the next. He's best fit into a lineup with more stable options. Those of us that drafted him probably will have to start him down the stretch in deeper 12-team leagues. Accept who he is. I looked at his historical game logs and you will see he has always been boom or bust. Scroll down here - http://www.fftoday.com/stats/players/12173/Doug_Baldwin He will be on my Do Not Draft list for more weekly consistent options from now on but he is who he is.
  12. Anyone adding this guy as a late season difference maker? Looking at his box scores makes me feel like he's being overlooked by the community as a flier.
  13. Here's a sleeper pickup...Gio Bernard in PPR formats. With AJG out and a paper thin receiving corps, I like Gio's chances at production down the stretch. You also get one of the best handcuffs in the game. He's back down to 23% owned on Yahoo coming off Cinci 's BYE so scoop him for free.
  14. Not very interested beyond 14-team+ standard leagues. Not only does Pederson have a long history of favoring RBBCs but Sproles is due back leaving 4 guys with different but useful skillsets.
  15. Used sparingly? It was a low scoring grind out game. Even Sanders put up WR3ish numbers. You do know the HC and Elway have been gushing about how special a player he is - there are no reins on Sutton, just his own rookie development and Case Keenum.
  16. Relevant video to his performance today: Skip to ~1minute mark for the near 40yd TD. He hauls that in it's a 4/100/1 breakout. Keenum taking shots like this is why he has a nice ceiling. Heuerman also had the game of his life.
  17. Who's feeling Vance Dance this week? This guy is a poor man's OJ Howard for all the TE paupers out there. He also has a green fantasy playoff schedule Weeks 14, 15. Now if only we could get rid of the "Road Dogg"...
  18. MVS - high projected team total and Geronimo is out. If you're gonna hold him, play him in these scenarios Baldwin has too wide a range of outcomes to trust. I believe he will score this week but he isn't the rational play.
  19. He's a great stash if you have the space but tough in short bench leagues - try and drop him covertly. 50% chance he emerges as a FF playoff savior.
  20. Check list: Keke Coutee Elijah Mcguire Jack Doyle DJ Moore Courtland Sutton Josh Adams Deeper leagues: Rashard Higgins David Moore
  21. He is still clinging to some value in PPR leagues. Could see him be a WW pickup yet again at the end of the year if Fournette has any setback or reaggravation. With the London start time I am holding and watching Yeldon. If he is phased out, I can drop him for an upside stash from the main slate.
  22. The time is now amidst the hype and chaos to try and sell this guy if it fits your team goals. After all, if Jerry Jones values him at a 1st round pick in real life, someone in your league may give you a solid RB2+.
  23. Yeah I'm not so sure about WR5, boom-or-bust WR3 is fair. Baltimore and Minnesota (this week) are two of least generous fantasy Ds but he has a green light schedule after that. He's certainly worth a roster spot in 12+ teamers considering Ginn is out for the year and he has obvious physical upside. We also learned more about his usage and he is going to be on the field : Smith 52/71 snaps/6 targets, Meredith 18/71 snaps/0 targets