Weekday Warrior

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Everything posted by Weekday Warrior

  1. Wow so Yankees offer Cole 7/245, and Cole’s agent turns around and gets that EXACT amount for his other less valuable client? Did Boras make some kind of argument to the Nats that since it was just an opener for Cole it is a fair proxy for the closing price for Stras? I guess Cole wants to be the first $300 millions pitcher...
  2. Looks like the Phillies paid a 20% premium for the certainty of getting it done early and avoiding a protracted bidding war.
  3. Buckling in for another snooze fest until March, the Boras clients at the top of the pile are going to milk this....
  4. Stumbled across this still-in-progress prospect mock draft between 16 industry writers and/or podcasters. First 5 rounds are done and the list is updated here ... https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1xRe3iuvCXPXsbxj3l-_ouBnc7xUbKAfv_k2q9lVgyBw/htmlview# Definitely skews toward young upside guys with Marco Luciano, Jasson Dominguez, Julio Rodriguez, and Kristian Robinson all going in the top 10 (!!).
  5. I don’t know he had a lights out spring training this year and faced even less competition for playing time so there isn’t much he could do performance wise in next year’s ST to make me bullish. The landscape would really need to shift vis a vis path to playing time, which will get even murkier after the Rockies sign Ben Zobrist this offseason.
  6. With lists like this I think much of the debate centers around who belongs in what tier since reasonable minds can always disagree with individual rankings. I personally don’t have much use for a top 100 list as I would never consciously draft a starter outside the top 40 unless I very specifically handpicked someone as a breakout candidate. But it is still interesting to see the 1000 foot view of the SP landscape like this.
  7. The fact that he has never eclipsed even 450 ABs in a season is a bit of a red flag heading into next year. Yeah you can find replacement stats while he is out but those injury and conditioning problems have also been known to effect his performance.
  8. I think it is too early to judge the Gallen/Jazz swap. It was definitely a nice buy low/ sell high swap in the sense that Jazz was a top 100 preseason prospect and Gallen was a no name. It is not surprising that Gallen would deliver early MLB returns since he has a premium changeup, next year will be the real test after hitters adjust. Jazz is still a legit power speed threat and true shortstop so he could turn into something.
  9. I was worried that the Dodger’s platoon-happy style could take a big bite out of Lux’s value. He was fine against lefties in the minors this year but AWFUL in 2018. Joc Pederson was also fine against lefties in his 2014 30/30 AAA season but we know how that story ended...
  10. Power is fading down the stretch, .376 SLG this month...last home run was July16th. No major cause for alarm for an 18 year old with so many other advanced metrics of course. But it still puts a damper on the fun of talking about or owning someone you can characterize as an emerging titan of the sport.
  11. I watched that 4 walk inning and saw him hit 95 and 96 mph, I thought he was a soft tosser who relied on control and pitch mix? Seems like the ingredients are all there, just need to coalesce...
  12. Well they do say not to take PCL hitting stats seriously ...
  13. Due for some BABIP regression, but his triple slash can absorb it and he’ll still be a stud
  14. Is there any reason not to test his bat in AA? Forget his age, he clearly is not being challenged, and it is not like it would hurt the Rays’ years of contract control. If it turned out AA isn’t a challenge either and suddenly the Rays feel pressure to fast track him for a 2020 debut, so what? Their competitive window is right now, this would be a good thing.
  15. There have been sooo many of these toolsey guys over the years who never learn to hit, at this point it is like a lottery ticket. Maybe these guys never got burned by holding onto Anthony Alford for years like I did. Madrigal seems to be a polarizing figure on fantasy lists, but ranking him in the 80s is aggressive. Speedy middle infielders have fantasy value even without power, and Madrigal’s .311 avg, 2.4 K% (!!), 8.2 BB% points to a very advanced hitting ability, one of a kind really. Leaving aside all the raw tools guys they put ahead of Madrigal, what is the devil’s advocate for ranking Xavier Edwards higher? Similar profile but the lack of power they dinged Madrigal for is an even bigger problem with Edwards.
  16. Way too low on Nick Madrigal, they have numerous batters ahead of him who literally haven’t even figured out how to hit yet (Jordyn Adams, I’m looking in your direction)
  17. Seems like George Valera is getting more love here but Kristian Robinson is living up to the hype so far as a power/speed threat. The K rate is high, but what do you expect, and he still hits for average and walks plenty.
  18. I agree that these empty calorie stolen base prospects with no power can be dangerous to bet on and have high bust potential, but I think it is reasonable for fantasy owners to speculate on getting another Dee Gordon, who has had some excellent fantasy seasons with an ISO that is always well below .100, including his post PED 2017 where he delivered 114 runs and 60 steals with a .067 ISO. Since these are young players who are still developing, maybe they can even hope for a harder hitting profile than Dee Gordon, say something like 2012-2014 Altuve before he added home runs to the mix and became a mega stud.
  19. I can think of hitters who had strong post-PED suspension years but no pitchers jump to mind, so even in keeper leaves he is looking risky I think, hard to justify burning that roster spot not knowing what his velo and stamina will look like when he comes back....
  20. I am fascinated by the 2.7% K rate he is sporting.
  21. Second coming of vintage Chris or Khris Davis, either one really
  22. So upside is something like a Vlad, Jr. triple slash plus shortstop eligibility and steals? I mean obviously still much to prove at higher levels but just being able to say that is a plausible outcome with a straight face is pretty insane.
  23. Love the talent, hate the situation. Wake me up when Colorado decides to move on from Ian Desmond.
  24. I was practically begging the forum to talk me into taking a flier on this guy in my 2 preseason posts above, after noone talked about him since May of 2018... crickets... took the silence to mean there was in fact “nothing to see here”...shame on me. (Not that he is guaranteed to be a star or anything but sometimes it is nice to have some guys in the rookie portfolio who aren’t as highly touted as the toolsey teen types but have a solid foundation and clear path to playing time in the near term.)