Farfromhome

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  1. he starts to fumble then all bets off....hard to say if it carries over...sounds like he is getting solid coaching on it though so thats a good start https://www.indystar.com/story/sports/nfl/colts/2020/06/16/colts-fumbling-wont-issue-jonathan-taylor-tom-rathman/3201722001/
  2. Colts ran the ball 471 times last year which was 5th in the league. They had an elite offensive line last year and returned all starters. They signed Phillip Rivers, which at his age is obviously a short term answer which means they are in win now mode this year. Of the 471 carries last year marlon mack got 247. Brissett was 2nd with 56. Hines 52. Wilkins 51. Williams 49. They kept 4 backs on the roster so williams is gone and rivers shouldn't have any designed run plays for him. My gut says they slightly increase last years carries but for debate we can stay at 471. I think most would agree at a minimum mack has to see the field a little less then last year. Personally i dont see him getting 200 carries, but lets say that he does. thats 271 carries left for taylor, hines, and wilkins. i think from a mathematical standpoint a 200/200 carry between mack and taylor fits. If taylor shows out then he could begin to push that in his favor. Im buying taylor at a floor of 200 carries. I personally think the win now colts, with rivers will recognize taylor is the superior talent and gives them the best shot and his carries push to 250 plus. Although id prefer to take him in the 4th i dont see a problem taking him in the 3rd as your rb2. All my opinions.
  3. What are some Clyde deals that have gotten done by people? Or is everyone holding him close expecting the world
  4. Just to help gage value discussion......I was just offered Joe mixon...whom I love....for Clyde and AJ green....whom I will always love....so many variables with Clyde.....we expect him to get all the action.....but guys like mixon are gonna get all the action....Clyde is so hard to value for me...
  5. We all know Howard hasn't been the best pass catching back ..or even serviceable....but....he has statistically been one of the better pass protection backs in the league....that skill set translates to more snaps when the Tua era begins...I see 250 carrys and 3 catches...ha ha....clear goal line back ..depending on offensive success he could default into 7 tds....could do way worse in your flex if you went heavy wr in draft....
  6. I always appreciate when posters go out on a limp and post rankings and projections.. Having said that.. My initial reaction is the last year 9 total rbs hit 1000 only 5 hit over 1100...the year before that 9 total hit 1000 with 7 over 1100...your projecting 20 rbs to hit 1000 with 13 over 1100. Mathematically speaking that's just way to many
  7. Seattle is 1 of 2 teams to run the football over 500 times. That's good for fantasy rbs. Even if Carson plays 16 games their is still enough carries for penny to possibly be a decent flex. Seattle traded up in the 1st to take penny. That investment equates to management's belief in the guy. He showed flashes. Only had double digit carries twice. One game sucked. One game over 100 yards rushing. I think from a sheer investment to reward standpoint Mr penny is a solid buy right now. I like him.
  8. I'm not really trying to push the conversation in either direction....I would be pleased with howard as my starting tight end in most leagues... Dude has tremendous ability... Numbers can always be found to push a conversation in both directions... My point is Arians seems smart... Howard is good... Will he be gronk? Nope.... But 900 yards and 8 tds seems very reasonable to me...i know 5th round has been tossed around in this thread... Pass on that for sure... 6th?....getting closer.... If i can get him 7th that feels okay... I'm thinking in that value area I'll end up with Evan engram more than Howard.... Tight end feels deeper this year then most..
  9. Well... That year he nearly led the team in total yards and tds Mr Gresham had 737 yards and 5 tds.... Aj green had 1350 and 11 tds.... It's close so I get what your saying...
  10. I get that Arians hasnt used the tight end position for big production in his past...I get that he hasnt had a ton of talent at the position.. I get that Arians has one goal on offense and that's to score points...arians seems like a smart guy....smart guys do smart things and use the best players they have to reach the goal of scoring points. What I do not see is Arians saying, "I have never really used the tight end position for production and I won't start now cause I have a guy with immense talent... Won't do it.. Can't do it..."
  11. Peyton barber is a restricted free agent... If they sign Coleman ID assume they don't tender him... Coleman... Jones.... Ellington...
  12. In his three years in Atlanta Coleman has been pretty dang productive... Last year when freeman went down I think most expected a lot more then they got. Still decent numbers. My only concern is why didn't he get more run? Why did ito Smith get so much? Does Atlanta know something that translated into him not really being a full time guy? Either way. With the money they have tied up in freeman and what ito showed Coleman should be gone. I think. When I watch the tape one thing that stands out is how explosive he is. 210lbs but also really runs with decent power. We know he can catch. I think if he lands on Tampa or Houston if they let Miller go he could be a solid rb2. Seems like a pretty good investment to buy into looking around the internet at his rankings... I like the guy
  13. Excellent data. Excellent post. Much Mahalo for the time u spent gathering this. Made me much for comfortable as a Julio owner.
  14. Crazy how all over the board people are on this guy.... This great game of fantasy football comes down to stats... I feel some think 20 rbs get 300 carries and 20 rbs get 10plus tds....FACT...only two rbs hit double digit rushing tds last year...FACT...only 8 rbs had 250plus carries...its only one game but ajayi is on pace for both even being limited on snaps....i don't understand the problem....he should get 8 tds in the next 15 games.. That alone is elite #2 RB stats in fantasy
  15. I agree with u mostly Grayson... But it's about risk and reward... What's the best case scenario... This isn't Dez of a few years ago... Best case can he get u 1000 yards and maybe 10 tds? Possible I guess... Doubtful but possible... What's the risk?...he comes in and alienates teammates and the "all eyes on him" takes away from the team.... Just doesn't seem worth it.. Imo