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Everything posted by fawkes_mulder

  1. All relievers eat a** sometimes. Taylor's still the closer on this loser, pathetic, franchise. Maybe if he has more blowups, you can mine the reliever turd pile for guys like Magill and Altavilla.
  2. More than a stream this year I think. Leapfrogged Arrieta and has always had raw talent.
  3. https://mlb.nbcsports.com/2020/03/13/mlb-could-still-have-a-162-game-season/
  4. Getting Deja vu from djl 2019 thread. Coors boost also artificially deflates road numbers as you’re going back and forth between the climates. great hitters can still make it on the other side (Matt Holliday, DJL, and I’m sure others).
  5. He’s a bargain imo. This isn’t bench coach cause it already happened, but I flipped Corey seager and mike soroka for him in dynasty. Even if arenado goes to the the Giants Or whatever bad park factors stadium, I feel Great about the trade. He’s an elite hitter, coors or not.
  6. Most catchers bat near the bottom of the order. Kelly is a decent catcher, not great, not horrible. He’s young with some upside.
  7. Heard chatter the season could still start in April with empty stadiums for fans, wait for the outbreak to die down for opening stadiums back up. I’d rather this happen than an extremely abbreviated season.
  8. And that's just for redraft...consider the dynasty discount for cruz. If your team has a chance of winning you're almost crazy NOT to target cruz in dynasties
  9. Add Arozarena to the OF jam. rays will do a lot of platooning.
  10. Yeah you would get excited for this guy wouldn’t you Colin. I think he’ll be exciting for a few weeks in April and May and then get injured. But if he stays healthy I think he’s a solid discount MI rebound play.
  11. I think it will have nearly zero effect on any players (Maybe one or two players miss a few games), but it’s had an absolutely devastating effect on all my shares of Visa and AMD
  12. Actually disagree...the easiest way to win dynasty leagues IMO is to target old studs like Verlander, Cruz, Scherzer, etc. in exchange for some teenage hype spec(s)/sexy-with-warts young MLBers that people are splooging their pants over. But at the end of the day, it's gonna come down to your roster composition. I personally don't play for 2027.
  13. There’s no warning signs, velo loss, recent injuries, etc. He’s got as much risk as any stud pitcher. All of them can get injured. But his track record as a horse and lack of red flags mean that the spectre of age is overblown.
  14. Treat him like the massive once in a generation ace he is (re longevity). There’s no reason to assume the falloff this year. Would be surprised if he was not a t5 pitcher. [...]
  15. Don’t think PT will be a huge issue if he resembles anything like last year in spring training. Seems like a bargain right now and I expect his ADP to rise big time if he performs in spring training.
  16. It's about a 2% deviation from league average BABIP and his infield flyball percentage is 6.9% compared with league average 9.8%. These are guaranteed outs. I don't understand why this .305 BABIP raising any red flags to you.
  17. Think he’s a great catcher to target later in the draft, sub 20 k%, one of the few catchers that probably won’t kill your average, maybe he hits 20+ HR again, if he busts it was a late enough pick that who cares, if he hits like last year you profit pretty nicely. edit: re poster above, he had a .305 BABIP, not sure I’d call his season last year lucky. HR/FB Luck is on wall scraper HR which I don’t specifically recall — of course the HR/FB is going to massively change when he didn’t hit many HR before, again that doesn’t necessarily mean luck in a break out year w/ swing changes, playing time, etc.
  18. BTW when we talk about bust, I don’t consider a player to be a bust if they finish a dozen or two spots lower than their draft spot. That would never lose you your league. As far as picks go, Rendon is a high floor guy. For some levity, Rotoworld never should have gotten rid of the confused emoji. I guess the 😂 one will have to do. A poo emoji would be especially great, there’s a lot of opinions in this thread worthy of it. Tony I love you. I’m talking about Rendon, not the mod. Jk, love you too boo. Don’t delete or ban. Thx.
  19. The fat contract = regression is a myth too. Remember when Scherzer got paid? $210 million at the time was insane. He’s outperformed that contract. Michael Thomas was made the richest WR and just had a record breaking year. deGrom just got a massive extension too and got another cy young, no big deal. There’s dozens of other examples on either side of the spectrum, I just don’t give a f***. Superstar athletes want to do well. It’s in their DNA, the money isn’t what drives it. We aren’t talking about someone with effort issues here. Have you ever heard anything about Rendon not hustling or not being a team player or being lazy or being selfish? He seems like Mike Trout in that he low key just wants to play baseball and isn’t focused on much else outside that and his family. For fantasy purposes, is anyone really concerned about his R and RBI potential with Trout and Ohtani around him?
  20. Of all the threads for heated debates, I would have expected it over a guy with a .400 BABIP like Tatis or Hiura with exciting power/speed and sky high expectations, not a steady bat like Rendon. I don’t have a magic crystal ball. Every single player in the MLB has bust potential, due to freak injury, freak aberration from the norm, playing through injury, distractions in personal life, any number of things. Players are human. I’ll have fun revisiting this one later, but just about everything in Rendon’s profile points to an elite bat. 154, 139, 141 wrc+ last three years. .300+ last three years. OPS over .900 all three years. K% < 14% all three years. BB% close to the K%. Of all the people to yell, scream, and pout about bust risk, Rendon is an odd pick. Who cares about average exit velocity or average launch angle? Those numbers get skewed by ground balls, what matters are the balls that get barreled, and Rendon has been great at doing that. I don’t care about the ball. If the ball is de juiced, it is for everyone else too, and Rendon is gonna hit regardless. Why is it that juice ball arguments are only used for some players and not others? Everyone will be using the same damn ball.
  21. There’s so much shade in this thread for one of the best bats in the MLB...can’t wait for the season to start already.
  22. My mistake, misread your band of upsides as a band of outcomes. I do think all of those are possible, I think he’s a really interesting and volatile player, worth the gamble at some point. I like around the 50th off the board like I said earlier.
  23. let's be honest guys, nobody with a 30% k rate has a "floor" of .280. I think Hiura's very talented, but stuff like .240 is in the same realm of possibility as stuff like .320. I'm giving him a very wide band of outcomes for his sophomore year. I do think he's a great dynasty asset and will be an MLB regular/star for 10+ years. But expectations are sky high ITT.
  24. Interesting late round 2B/SS/OF... 16/12 and 12/12 power speed the last couple of years with less than 500 PA each time. I think he goes 600+ PA this year barring injury, could be a 17/15+ regular with .245/.248 or better avg...think will improve. 70+ runs and 70+ rbis too I think with full time. Could be .250+. Nice healthy walk rates 8.5/9.7 last couple years. Entirely possible this is what he is and he doesn’t improve (I think he can), but seems like a solid versatile end of draft player.
  25. So last year surprised the hell out of me but I like the 8.4 bb% vs 13.7 k%...I like it a lot. Mid 40s ADP is appealing. I’d rather have Ketel than Hiura.