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Everything posted by SITG

  1. Seems like a coin flip since they have the exact same amount of yardage and touchdowns so far, but Williams has received a significant amount of more targets this year, particularly with Rosen under center. Also, it's worth noting that the Dolphins have faced the Patriots, Ravens, Cowboys, and Chargers so far. Not a murderers row of defenses, but all strong with the exception of LAC due to so many injuries. This redskins D should be a significant downgrade in competition compared to what they've gone up against so far this year. Not saying he's a lock to put up numbers by any means, but there's hope at least.
  2. Agree with this, if anything the young backs will get eased in to spell Gurley over the course of the season, wait til week 2 or so when he has a monster game and get a nice return.
  3. aaron jones as well I think is the better/safer bet. I think Jacobs has a ton of talent, but Raiders might be one of the worst teams/offensive lines this year so I think that's where Jones takes it.
  4. Not sure of the exact rules but 1 scenario looks good like others said
  5. Not sure which to flex for week 1: David Montgomery vs GB or: Marlon Mack @ LAC I think Montgomery is a riskier play since we don’t know how they’re going to split carries in Chicago especially early on, but he looked real good in limited preseason action. Mack has more of a guaranteed volume, but having Brissett at QB has me worried they’ll be trailing all game if the chargers come out rolling. WHIR!
  6. In a rotoworld blurb about Lattimore being healthy it says that he’s most likely to shadow Brown, but I wouldn’t take that to the bank.
  7. This happened in the last 4 games of the season, it was close to a 50/50 split between Miller and Blue. Now with Foreman coming back, I think the most likely outcome is 50/30/20 workload share between Miller/Foreman/Blue on the running game, and an opposite timeshare of the RB passing game. Miller has looked better than Blue so far, but not enough to warrant being the standalone workhorse. Luckily, Blue averaged 2.3 yards this week with a heavy workload, so Miller is likely back to getting around 15 touches until Foreman comes back. I don't understand Millers' lack of usage in the passing game though, I haven't watched a ton of Texans football this year, but it seems like Watson prefers to run it himself rather than dumping off to the nearby RB. I can't imagine that the coaching staff wants him to continue putting himself in harms way over a RB, but I haven't seen much of an uptick in the RB passing game either.
  8. Yeah unless Foreman somehow is much better than last year and also improves his pass blocking, this is going to become a full blown committee between Miller, Foreman, and Blue.
  9. I'm pretty happy with him so far, he's ran well, and the lack of TD's don't worry me because it's a 2 game sample. If you're going by what we've seen so far he's also projected for 1440 yards from scrimmage this year. The lack of involvement in the passing game is frustrating, but I think he'll have some games with 30+ receiving yards sprinkled in. This guy was going for scraps in drafts and before Thursday's game he was RB4 in rushing totals. He's not a guy who's going to win you a season single handedly, but he's as reliable as they come for RB's, especially at the discount he went for.
  10. Yeah I’m hoping that since it’s concussion related that his status will be reported earlier in the day. Not like a hammy injury where he has to stretch it out on the field before they make the call.
  11. If he plays I think I’ll be starting him over Jamaal Williams. His ypc wasn’t great in week 1, but I expect him getting used in the passing game more tomorrow. Pats had a strong lead throughout the game last week, but I expect the jaguars to keep it closer or potentially be ahead at times which will prompt more Burkhead receptions. Also, it bears repeating that Brady just overthrew him on a TD pass in week 1. If that play connected he would’ve had 80+ yards and a TD, and everyone would be hyping him as a low end RB1. As long as Michel doesn’t explode with his carries (and I don’t expect the pats to suddenly shift duties to a rookie rb with knee and ball security issues), then Burkhead has great value as a member of one of the best offenses in the NFL who is looking at 15-20 touches per game.
  12. One thing that's impossible not to like about last night is the 10 targets. I know that's not going to happen every game, but in an offense with some young and new faces, Cobb could be looking at 2014 type numbers this season. It's also nice to see that the Packers D still isn't great, always great news for the offense.
  13. Obviously his total yardage wasn't anything to write home about, but Burkhead owners have to be happy about his workload. 19 touches on a Pats offense will translate to way more points against a weaker defense. Also, I haven't gone back but I believe Burkhead had a red zone target and was open, but Brady just made a bad pass. I'm willing to bet that he's more involved in the passing game moving forward too, and Hill being out for the year will definitely help him out as far as goal line touches. Now the only thing to be worried about is how Michel looks when he's back from injury. If he doesn't pan out to much more than a chance of pace guy, Burkhead could be looking at a 300 touch season.
  14. It's tough that Williams two starts without Jones around are against the Bears and the Vikings, two of the top run defenses in the league. So it's not likely that his stats will jump off the page next week either. His lack of usage in a play from behind 2nd half is a little concerning though, I was really hoping he'd develop into a dump off option for Rodgers, but 1 reception is not enough. I think Williams will still have a solid week 3 workload as they're not too likely to just hand Jones' a bunch of touches on his first game back. But once you get into week 4 on I could see it as Williams for 10-15 touches, Jones for 5-10, and Montgomery getting the passing work. That's a bit of a nightmare situation as it makes him entirely TD dependent, and would require an injury for anyone to become a confident starter in fantasy. It's only week 1 so all of this is a bit premature, but it's not looking particularly great for any of the Packers' running backs at the moment.
  15. I think people will make offers depending on how week 1 goes. If a guy like chris Carson gets 15 carries and a couple receptions for 80 yards and a td, that’d be an interesting offer for a player who just got banged up and only had 6 carries, and is potentially heading into a 50/50 timeshare.
  16. I’ve been trying to decide the same thing. I think you have to look at your matchup/other players on your team. Do you need a guaranteed floor? If so Baldwin probably isn’t your guy. But his ceiling certainly isn’t low. Besides Lockett (who has never posted 700+ yards in a season), Baldwin is the only surefire receiver in this offense, and could easily see 10+ targets week 1, especially this early in the season when Wilson is still getting used to the other (downgraded) options around him. Also, while I don’t think the seahawks defense is going to be bad, on paper they’re undoubtably worse than in years past. Playing from behind could really boost his target share and YPC even more. I’m rolling out Baldwin in my flex this week over Burkhead and Hyde, for reference.
  17. So your hot take is that a player that got hurt a few times last year will get hurt a few times this year? And that the pats offense with 4 running backs will take a few weeks to get figured out? Really stepping out on a ledge there..
  18. I like Hollister as a player, but even if gronk goes down I don't see him being fantasy relevant. Also, they say he's put on some mass and is listed at 6'4", but he always looks so small out there as a tight end.
  19. He might have a couple decent games during Edelman's 4 game suspension, but after that he'll likely be in on >50% snaps, with him and C Patterson rotating in on 3 WR sets. Can't imagine you'd want to roll the dice on him in that first 4 weeks unless he really blows up week 1 with a lot of targets.
  20. Not much to dislike considering how low his price is at the moment, but what do you think about having Hogan and Gronk in the same lineup? Pats D is looking shaky again, none of these new receivers seem to be really stepping up to the task, and Edelman hasn't looked particularly great coming off injury at age 32. If you can get 1/2 of Brady's production from those two guys (which should be Brady's top 2 targets) you're looking at 2300 yards and 16 TD's to split between the two, certainly seems reasonable for that to happen.
  21. One thing people aren't really talking about is that Foreman is coming back from an achilles tear. In some positions you can come back from that and be relatively fine, but there has literally never been a running back to recover from an achilles tear and be the same player they were before. I'd spend almost double what he's going for in auction drafts at the current time. Between Foreman's slow return from the achilles tear, Watson being back, the playmakers on their D being back, and Miller shedding some pounds in the offseason, there's really not much to dislike this year. He may not flash on film, but he's put up 1200+ yards from scrimmage and 6+ TD's every year for the last 4 years, and only missing 2 games in that span. You can get a great RB2 for 10 cents on the dollar this year, apparently.
  22. He’s never had more than 13 carries in a season, why would he get 4x that much in NE? Especially with how many RB’s on the pats roster. With that being said, as a pats fan I hope he ends up being great and putting up solid numbers. But so far from preseason it looks like the pats are more invested in Dorsett as the third receiver, although he’s looked meh at best so far. Patterson makes more sense to me since the patriots lack a big body receiver (although they do have Gronk), so I’d like them to show off a bit more size with Patterson rather than Dorsett. Im curious if BB is so concerned about getting his kick returner hurt that he’ll limit him to the previously mentioned gadget plays that CP is known for. Belichick values special teams maybe more than any head coach out there, so it wouldn’t surprise me.
  23. I like Cook a lot this year at his price, and there aren't a ton of backups that are as good/as guaranteed to get the majority of work if an injury pops up to the starter, so I'm hoping to grab both. There's also the slight possibility that Cook and Murray are both options to start in fantasy formats depending on how the workload is shared. Murray and McKinnon both had reasonably productive seasons last year, and Cook is miles better than McKinnon from the brief tape he had last year. Not saying it's likely, but I like the situation a lot more than most teams.
  24. I think cooks and amendola being gone are going to help Gronk’s stats more than any receiver on the pats. Between the two of them there are 1700+ yards and 9 td’s to replace from last years offense. With Edelman out the first 4 games I’ll be surprised if he tops 800 yards this year. Unless one of the new wr’s really breaks through, I see a fair chunk of those yards and td’s coming gronks way.
  25. It'll be worth monitoring the battle at left tackle this preseason too, with Solder gone I think the expectation is Trent Brown to start, but the Pats took Isaiah Wynn at #23 overall so he could be in the runnings too.