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About Olliemets

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  • Birthday 05/09/1994

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  1. As high a reward as any RB you can get from RD 3 on without injury propping up someone else imo. Has some of the worst backup RBs in the league vying for work in Hill and Ito. Stud pass protector and solid enough pass catcher to not come off the field on 3rd down. Something people may not remember is that a hobbled and washed Freeman had 59 catches on 70 targets, and Hill/Ito are not pass catchers. Gurley may work his way into significant pass work, upping his floor and upside. Line should improve with 2 1st rounders entering year 2, Lindstrom is a stud in the run game that dealt with injury, and Kaleb McGary improved as the year went on at RT. Defense should hopefully improve with Keanu Neal healthy and adding Dante Fowler, even though the CBs are still an issue (Though Terrell and Oliver have talent). My only drawbacks other than injury (though he was healthy last year outside of a quad injury that made him miss only 1 game) are having to face stud run defenses 4 times in NO and TB and goal line work. The Falcons pass at the goal line more than any team in football IIRC, and I have a sneaking suspicion that Ito may vulture some goal line carries. In 2018 with Coleman as the workhorse, Ito got most of the goal line work and was surprisingly efficient despite his slight frame. I'd be happy with Gurley from round 3 on. I have him as RB12 in .5 PPR, ahead of some guys that are often ranked ahead of him: Ekeler (new offense, workload/efficiency negative regression), Aaron Jones (negative TD regression, Dillon will take a lot of goal line work), Fournette (awful team, strained relationship with team, loss of pass work with addition of Thompson).
  2. I think he’s very much a buy in the double digit rounds. The injury and inconsistency is finally baked into his adp, which I doubt has ever been below the 7thish round that it was last year. He’s likely disappointed each and every one of us over that’s owned him other than his electric 2nd half of his sophomore season in ‘15 with Tyrod, where he was a top 5 WR for that stretch. He’s still an electric talent, proved that in the AFC champ game and the SB, and he’s still only 26. Burning Sherman on 3rd and 8 is the highlight people remember (rightfully so, it was the play of the game), but he absolutely balled out the entire game on the way to 6/100. He’ll have his duds, everyone you draft in this area will. He’s still the 3rd target on the most potent passing offense in football with size, speed, and route running savvy. Wouldn’t surprise me at all if one of these years he has an 1100/9TD season, then turtles into 550/3 the following year when the expectations return.
  3. Snell is a JAG. I like his game but he's nothing more than a grind it out short-yardage back, has no burst at all. Most importantly, his skillset is redundant with Conner's he's just worse at everything. McFarland has juice. This guy jumps off the tape with his elusiveness and long speed. He dealt with a slew of injuries and supposedly had some character concerns coming into the draft process, but if Conner were to get injured I think he'd be too good to keep off the field. I think the Steelers break camp with Conner, McFarland, Snell, and Kerrith Whyte. Samuels gets cut.
  4. Not sure I'd go that far, Hopkins to Cooks is a significant downgrade, and his skillset is pretty redundant with Fuller's. Stills will have a role, and maybe Coutee figures out a way to get on the field, but losing Hopkins is massive. David Johnson is an upgrade as a pass-catching RB (though Duke would have filled that role just fine had they given him a chance), but him and Cooks still doesn't come close to replacing Nuk.
  5. Disagree with the LB quib here as a Bills fan. Edmunds is an athletic freak coming off a pro bowl season as a 20 year old, his upside is limitless. Milano is criminally underrated and is one of the premier coverage LB's in football, together they make up a very strong unit. Adding Epenesa, Addison, Q. Jefferson to the D line with Ed Oliver ready to break out will be an improvement upon last year's D Line. The only downside with the Bills is they play the NFC West, the best offensive division in football, and the AFC West which could be strong too. Playing 6 games against the Dolphins/Jets/Pats may offset any tougher matchups, though.
  6. Would you guys consider starting him and Robinson? If the TE's and Gabriel are still out, it's become pretty clear the Trubisky just funnels targets to these two (and Cohen to a lesser extent). Godwin's injury has me forced into this consideration, but I don't hate it as much as I thought I would.
  7. Another proud [JMU] Duke alum right here 🖐️.. I always thought the kid could be a part-time deep threat in the pros. Could see him catch a deep ball this week if the rook Scotty Miller remains on the sidelines.
  8. Gesicki is looking pretty appealing if both Parker and Wilson can't go. He'll be the #1 target in the offense alongside Hurns. Giants don't rate terribly against TE's, but Jabril Peppers was a big reason for that and he's gone, and they got absolutely torn up by Ertz on MNF. Dolphins will probably be trailing in the game too. Thoughts on him? It's him, OJ, or Ian Thomas for me.
  9. I'll be deciding between Howard, Gesicki, and Ian Thomas. Gesicki is looking pretty appealing if both Parker and Wilson can't go. He'll be the #1 target in the offense alongside Hurns. Giants don't rate terribly against TE's but they got absolutely torn up by Ertz on MNF. Dolphins will also be playing from behind Meanwhile Howard is the more skilled player but I think he'll have a less reliable workload + the Bucs may take a lead early in this game. Will come down to the wire for me.
  10. 6 catches and 7 targets, albeit for a measly 25 yards. DJ Chark was in a boot after the game and I'm sure he'll get shut down. Does this make Dede a viable WR3 against a porous Oakland secondary next Sunday? I'm sure that more targets will go his way, and Oakland has been terrible against slot receivers/guarding the middle of the field. I'll be between him and M Williams vs MIN in the semis, but very much siding with Dede here 6 days out.
  11. One silver lining going into next week: Sherman left the game late yesterday with a hammy and is doubtful to play on Sunday, which makes sense as they have 2 important division games to close the year in LAR and SEA. That DL will still give Ryan fits and leave him little time to throw, but I'll always accept a #1 CB being out in my matchups (especially because Sherman has been balling this year).
  12. Perriman and Watson both looked pretty good yesterday. Perriman had a nice one handed snag on a Jameis overthrow and looked pretty good on his TD. If he can fill in admirably, as well as an uptick for Howard, I think that Jameis could still be a QB1. We just have to hope that David Blough and the Lions can put up points against TB, which he couldn't do against a bad Vikings secondary, though this game being in Detroit does help.
  13. Could he be worth a start next week against the lowly Lions with Evans out for the year? 11 targets over the last 2 weeks, 85% of snaps, ran routes on 63/87 drop backs. I'll be between him, Gesicki, Hurst, and Njoku in the semis.. he seems to have the highest upside.
  14. I think I'd go Singletary in PPR. Other guys dont catch passes and Buffalo will need to be successful on the ground today. Help?
  15. I'd say Powell just due to matchup and workload. HElp?