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Everything posted by thebrowns

  1. I play dynasty, I'll be selling all my shares. People are excited and I've seen everything i need to in order to imo i need someone else. Hoping Haskins declares.
  2. This. I expect Pettis to continue the work of his last 3 weeks.
  3. The bears are very similar to the seahawks vs WRs.
  4. At this point, still a lot of development possible, Mayfield looks like the only worthwhile QB from 2018. 2017 definitely looks to be a superior class.
  5. You're right @TTo34 this is a fun read. This quote from @Devastator would make a great debate now. I'm scared to see what i said.
  6. I feel better now that Los Angeles scored. Andy is notorious for taking his foot off the pedal. Troll if you want to, "a little nervous" was appropriate. Anyone who capitulates first quarter points across a game without factoring in real world coaching is shortsighted. I was more nervous about the 85 yds and 2td lead.
  7. I'm a little nervous about a 14-0 score and 2 tds off only 85yds. This feels like the Jacksonville game.
  8. I think that the nw rules are going to allow more guys to succeed. Have you watched all of these guys?
  9. That isn't a terrible thing. 2005 gave us Aaron Rodgers and Alex Smith. Plus other guys who have contributed like Derek Anderson, Matt Cassel, and Fitzmagic. There are classes that haven't had a HOFer (rodgers) and dependable starter (smith). I think there's at least one Rodgers in this class, I don't like OSU, but Haskins has it. This class is fine if he and Herbert come out. Unfortunately, there's just a lot of guys in this class who need the right spot.
  10. I like Grier too. I want to see more of him before I decide to invest in him. Right now he's in Mason Rudolph territory. He's a dynasty stash in 2QB. TBH, i have Lauletta in one league.
  11. We definitely should temper expectation. We're depending on a third string underrated rookie (i know it's his second year, but it's his first season) to get the ball out. The O-Line is not great, Denver is elite away getting to the QB. I won't be surprised if Pettis bombs. And, i don't think anyone sees him as a FF WR1. Hopefully he's the flex play. Everyone I'm starting him over has the same floor. His ceiling is crazy high, that's the cause of optimism. I don't think many of us will be let down by him, because we understand the risk. I expect him to be more dependable next year. Still the best all around WR in this rookie class, IMO.
  12. IMO Pettis and Coutee would be bigger names if it weren't for lingering injuries. Luckily Dante appears to be healthy. He is probably the most polished of the 2019 class. Let's hope he can stay healthy. I adore his routes.
  13. This playoff stretch of passing defenses is the reason I've held on to Jackson. He should get his this week and next.
  14. Ten Months Later, this is what I'm thinking as the season closes down. 1) Dwayne Haskins (Ohio State) [UC] -- decent floor, high upside, not much experience, quick release and good vision, he's learning a lot but seems to be a quick learner 2) Justin Herbert (Oregon) [UC] -- a lot of tape, high risk high reward, athletic, strong arm 3) Daniel Jones (Duke) [UC] -- high floor low ceiling, good coaching pedigree, smart, average to above verge arm strength 4) Drew Lock (Mizzou) [GR] -- strong arm, a lot of tape, decent floor decent ceiling 5) Will Grier (West Virginia) [GR] -- great college career, good release, good accuracy, decent mobility, average to maybe just below average arm strength 6) Jarrett Stidham (Auburn) [DC] -- weird release, average arm strength, smart, underperformed junior year UC - Undeclared GR - Graduated DC - Declared
  15. I know this is a feed on Mahomes and not an advice feed. However, gotta start Rivers. I don't think that Baltimore will push KC on the score even though this will be Jackson's best passing game to date. River's floor is a little less in this game and his ceiling is comparable. Could Mahomes outscore Rivers? Sure! I don't think it will be by more than a few points. That being said. I'm rolling with Mahomes. I love the possibilities now that Hunt is gone. The backs on the roster are better receivers than runners (even though hunt was a better receiver than any of them). I don't think we are going to see a huge commitment to the run which will open up the passing game, especially the vertical game to Hill and to Robinson.
  16. I highly recommend you guys looking into the stats of good route runners vs the Denver defense. Matt Waldman did a great write up on Pettis' chance of having a big game because his routes are crisp and Denver can't defend that. Now, imagine Denver being up and not being able to defend Pettis. He could easily of 5-100-1.
  17. I'm rolling with him. There is a chance this game is like Jacksonville, where he doesn't have a score. He still had 18 fpts in that game. 18 for a floor is really good. It was clear on Sunday that option 1 is pass, option 2 is pass, and option 3 is run. The Chiefs are going to live and die on that arm.
  18. This post convinced me to play Pettis today. Thanks Roto World for having my back.
  19. I'm nervous about this move for Landry. Kitchens was the RB coach for awhile. Three positive i do see is the Bruce Arians pedigree. Maybe Jarvis will get more PPR production. This week is a good litmus test. If things don't go well against KC i'd stay us landry owners are screwed. That defense is generous; if baker can't whip something up there we'll know everything we need to about the interim regime.
  20. This! I'm amazed that people can only look at one set of data. Yes, there should be a regression in TD efficiency; yet, those TDs have a real game effect. Mahomes may not be a game-winner for Kansas City, however, he should be a game winner in fantasy because of that bottom 5 defense. FTR I would not be surprised to see Mahomes stay efficient. He seems to have every level: very short, short, intermediate, long, and deep. He has a quick release and is on point more often than not. His receivers make catches, who knows if Hunt will remember how to move the ball with a hand-off... that helps even more with Mahomes' numbers has he uses dump-off passes instead of handoffs.
  21. Regarding interceptions: It is short-sighted to cite only the number of games he played in rather than consider the number of opportunities (passing attempts). I am concerned about interceptions for any rookie. Peyton Manning Threw 28 INTs on 575 attempts (0.0487 INT rate per Attempt, almost 1 every 20 attempts) his rookie season. NFL Total: 251 INTs on 9,380 attempts: 0.0268 rate His college numbers at Tennessee were 33 career INTs on 1381 attempts (0.0239 rate). Alex Smith Threw 11 INTs on 165 attempts (0.0667 INT rate per attempt, over 1 every 20 attempts) his rookie season. NFL Total: 96 INTs on 4,613 attempts: 0.0201 rate His college numbers at Utah were 8 career INTs on 587 attempts (0.0136 rate). Sam Bradford Threw 15 INTs on 590 attempts (0.0254 INT rate per attempt, about 1 every 40 attempts) his rookie season. NFL Total: 57 INTs on 2,887 attempts: 0.0197 rate His college numbers at Oklahoma were 16 career INTs on 893 attempts (0.0179 rate). Matthew Stafford Threw 20 INTs on 377 attempts (.0531 INT rate per attempt, over 1 every 20 attempts) his rookie season. NFL Total 118 INTs on 4,850 attempts: 0.0243 rate His college numbers at Georgia were 33 career INTs on 987 attempts (0.0334 rate). Baker Mayfield College numbers at Texas Tech and Oklahoma were 30 career INTs on 1,497 attempts (0.0200 INT rate per attempt, 1 every 50 attempts). Patrick Mahomes II Threw 1 INT on 35 attempts in a garbage time game his rookie year; has him off to a .0286 interception rate, 1 ever 35 attempts. His college numbers at Texas Tech were 29 INTs on 1,349 attempts (.0215 rate)
  22. " Carlos Hyde left the 49ers for the Browns this offseason as a free agent, and he's expected to share touches with Duke Johnson and rookie Nick Chubb. It's not an ideal situation, but Hyde will likely be the starter and handle the majority of work on rushing downs. Chubb will be a factor in that scenario, and Hyde should see a decline in his production as a receiver because of Johnson. In 2017, Hyde had the most work of his career and finished with over 1,200 total yards and eight touchdowns. Part of that was 59 catches for 350 yards, and those stats will be hard to replicate. We'll see how the Browns plan to use Chubb, and hopefully Hyde can still get enough touches to be a quality Fantasy option. But his Fantasy outlook is lower with his move to Cleveland as long as Chubb and Johnson stay healthy. We still like Hyde as a No. 3 running back/flex option with the Browns, but he's only worth drafting in Round 7 in standard leagues and Round 8 or later in PPR." This article from two weeks ago does a better job of articulating my argument regarding Hyde. Is he a value at current ADP? Definitely. AND he's better suited for the third running back on a roster than the first or second. He was in a near ideal situation (we can talk about the line if you want to, thus the "near" qualifier) last year. I don't think we can reasonably expect him to do better or even to replicate last year's production. A few more quotes: "Hyde was an RB1 last season in a lackluster offense, so don't be surprised if he holds off Nick Chubb for a year. The upside is there for him to return to top 15 production, but there will be some obstacles considering all the mouths Cleveland suddenly has to feed." Bobby Sylvester - FantasyPros - 2 weeks ago "He's someone I was targeting in best-ball leagues as a low-end RB2 just a couple weeks ago, as I do believe the Browns are going to be run-heavy in 2018. While that's still going to be the case, them drafting Nick Chubb in the second-round was the worst-case scenario for Hyde (outside of them taking Saquon Barkley). Chubb is essentially a younger version of Hyde, but faster. I still believe Hyde gets 10-12 touches per game, but it's not enough to crack the top-30 running backs." Mike Tagliere - FantasyPros - 5 weeks ago
  23. This wasn't a self-contained article. It's an excerpt from a larger article (I included the link) about projecting the top ten rookie RBs. The point is that Chubb will not be a non-factor. Expecting any one of these RBs to excel would be folly.
  24. "ESPN Browns reporter Pat McManamon: It's early in the process, but Chubb has a chance to be the Browns' starting running back. Chubb's between-the-tackles ability and his work ethic will earn him a long look in training camp and preseason. It would not be surprising to see Chubb get the bulk of the every-down carries, especially early in games. The competition will be intriguing. The Browns did sign Carlos Hyde to go with Duke Johnson, in addition to drafting Chubb. But Hyde's tough running would be valuable in short-yardage, red zone and fourth-quarter situations -- assuming the Browns have games when they are protecting a late lead. Johnson's role won't change; he'll be the change-of-pace back, the weapon out of the backfield." I think that drafting Hyde at current ADP makes sense; it means that Hyde isn't viewed as an RB1. I don't think that any of those backs can be viewed as more than flex options ATM, even in PPR. Shanahan is a special coach so I don't see Hyde catching 59 passes again, he had 50 combined receptions in the three years prior to 2017. He hasn't been a high volume rusher, I think he tops out at 16 rushes/game. Which isn't awful, but he was the feature back. Duke has had 188 receptions in three years. Chubb should eat into Hyde's touches. This doesn't mean Hyde doesn't have value, it just means that expectations should be tailored. Chubb probably won't be a breakout stud. I like him, but he has a bad FF situation. Hyde probably won't be better than what he's been and could regress. I like him, but he has a bad FF situation. Duke will probably be what he is, a little upside here because of Haley. I like him, but he has a bad FF situation.