CaptainObvious

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Everything posted by CaptainObvious

  1. You do understand the difference between discussing whether something will happen and reporting that it has happened, right?
  2. I have no doubt that he'll spend the minimum time on the DL. Upon being fully healed, Toronto will send to him the majors for a few rehab games to shake off the rust, and then promptly return him to AA where he is desperately needed.
  3. Sorry, but this makes no sense. The reason that they're not competitive this year is because they haven't had their best team on the field. A young player like Vlad can easily light a fire on a team that's otherwise going through the motions. Besides, you don't have to be in first in order to be perceived as a good team, and there are plenty of teams that won't make the postseason who aren't out of the race before the ASB. Being in New York I get to listen to a lot of complaints about the Mets. No one was expecting them to make a run at a championship this year, but the common refrain was "At least be relevant in August. Be at or around .500 and hope for a miracle finish or someone else's epic collapse". Of course Mets fans wanted a big free agent signing, but the Jays don't have to do that. Just bring up Vlad and you'll have baseball fans everywhere rooting for the kid. That's marketing 101. Create a story that engages people. Toronto is 15 game behind the Yankees right now. To date they've lost 14 games by 2 runs or less. Vlad might not have won all or most of those games for them, but if he can hit for the Jays anywhere close to what he's done in the minors, he'd give them an extra run or two often enough to put them in the hunt. Or close to .500. Or not irrelevant on June 5th.
  4. I still think people will be very happy to have drafted him before season's end, especially in roto.
  5. How long until he regains the ability to hit?
  6. Could be a blessing in disguise. Put him on the DL, let him clear his head and then give him a few days rehab against minor league pitching.
  7. Flash in the Pan? A simple look at his Wiki page suggests otherwise: He played in 2015 with the Rancho Cucamonga Quakes and was selected to the mid-season California League all-star team[11] as well as the post-season all-star team.[12] In 128 games, he hit .264 with 30 homers (tied for 2nd in the league), leading the league in runs (97) and RBIs (103).[7][13] He was given a non-roster invitation to Dodgers spring training in 2016.[14] Bellinger was assigned to the Double-A Tulsa Drillers in the Texas League to start the 2016 season.[15] In 114 games for Tulsa he hit .263 with 23 homers (3rd in the league), 59 walks (tied for 3rd in the league), and 65 RBIs (9th in the league), earning him a late-season promotion to the Triple-A Oklahoma City Dodgers, where he had six hits in 11 at bats (.545 average) and three home runs. Everything about his professional career has been exceptional, so do you really think that 200 plate appearances is more significant than that? You don't think that it's possible that he's going through a typical sophomore slump, where pitchers have adjusted to him and he's learning how to correct some holes in his swing?
  8. If they weren't going to bring him up to the majors he'd be in AAA by now. The only explanation for letting him obliterate AA pitching is Super 2. I almost feel sorry for the team management. They know they look ridiculous, but there's a lot of money at stake and it's only another week or two. They're probably just as anxious as we are to get the deadline behind them.
  9. Are Eflin's runs earned? Did they reverse the error call in the 1st?
  10. I'm usually the most optimistic guy in the world when a player gets called up or comes back from injury. In this case, I think it's gonna be a bumpy ride. He's proved many times that he can hit minor league pitching, but things seem to fall apart in the majors. Add to that the recovery from surgery and only being sporadically active for the last few years, and it seems unlikely that he'll perform well in the first few weeks. He also seems to let frustration play with his head, so he could go through a period where he constantly guesses wrong on good vs. bad pitches. I hope I'm wrong because I get to watch the Yankees and another power bat would be a whole lotta fun, albeit a little ridiculous at this point. I think he'll hit a fair number of homers, but the average and the K rate will be ugly this year.
  11. I'm convinced that he'll be up immediately after Super 2 requirements are met. No reason to move him to AAA just to uproot him again in a few weeks. Everyone wants to see this kid play in the majors, and the bottom line for the team is, well...the bottom line. He'll sell tickets. He'll make headlines. He'll be the darling of the league if he can get anywhere close to his MiLB numbers in the majors. Even if he falters he's still going to have people paying attention and waiting for him to break out. Given the potential for Vlad to become the top player in baseball, the Jays would be crazy not to ensure that they have control for as long as possible, but as soon as that's accomplished he'll get the call.
  12. Torres is good, but not this good. I've had him in dynasty for years and always valued him as a potential 25/20 .300 guy. Valuable, certainly, but not a classic power bat. He's on a pace now to hit 40+ homers and his average is .385. If someone wants to pay full price those stats, I'd say you let them, especially in a redraft.
  13. I guess I'm nearly alone in rooting for him to get to the majors. I don't think he's good enough to remain there for long, but his is a compelling story and it would be a Rudyesque ending.
  14. Makes sense. It keeps Super 2 alive and they can bring him up again in June. He's not likely to make a big enough splash against Boston's pitching to make anyone complain about him spending a little more time in the minors. Hey, at least we get a thread in the main forum now.
  15. If he keeps hitting like this, they'll let him pitch if it gets him in the lineup.
  16. Haven't seen a collapse like this since Josh Hamilton. Of course that was at least partly due to injuries, so this seems much worse.
  17. Now I know how it felt to lose Sgt. Hulka
  18. Hoskins is a huge dynasty asset, but he'll be a mixed bag in redraft this year. Once he hits his stride he'll be elite, but that may or may not be realized in 2018. He's the kind of guy you want to keep until the ASB and if he doesn't perform, sell to the guy in your league who is more interested in ceiling than floor. He'll be in 4th or 5th place and will hope to catch lightning in a bottle for a playoff run.
  19. I wouldn't suggest using Seattle as a final test. They're above average in runs scored, top ten in OBP, and #7 in OPS. Not saying that Manaea will be overmatched, but this is the kind of team that can be trouble for any non-elite pitcher. Same with LAA. I'd expect that of the 6 starts you list, he'll get 4 QS and at least one of those will be a dominant performance. 2 or 3 of those teams will make life difficult for him, and the final ERA will be under 4. Right now he's a top 20 pitcher, but few people really expect him to stay there, so some kind of correction is almost inevitable. The good news is that he's only 26, so he's probably still improving his strategic approach to pitching, and he has a veteran catcher who can help him with that. He plays in one of the best pitcher's parks in the league as well, so picking favorable matchups isn't too difficult. What's not to like?
  20. There are some things to watch. Strand rate close to 80% and BABIP around .200. FIP and xFIP a full point higher than his current ERA. All signs that he's pitched over his head so far. Still, if he can get the K rate up a little and the GB% stays where it is, he can probably maintain a mid-3 ERA and reliably supply QS against average and below average teams.
  21. He'll be worth watching all year. Cron, Adams, Duvall, etc. will be worth rostering when they find their groove, but unusable for 50% of the season.
  22. Yankees are playing Whack-A-Mole right now. One gets hot, another cools off. If Didi gets going while Torres is still hitting well, this will be a fun team to watch.
  23. Mikolas is one of those pitchers who might have a bad outing now and then, but he'll be well worth owning in the long run.