30Burger

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  1. Owned a ton of Kamara last year and the hatred I’ve developed for Taysom is unhealthy lol
  2. Is it crazy to consider taking Henry over Kamara in standard?
  3. No way, I think Gesicki is going to be better than Hockenson anyway. With your team I'd be looking at landing a WR1 if I was thinking about trading away Mixon.
  4. Who would be the backup to own should Conner go down? Or would it just be a full blown RBBC?
  5. 0.5 ppr - With a beat up group of RBs, Seahawks throw more and DK Metcalf finishes as a top 10 WR. - Denzel Mims easily beats out Breshad Perriman for the #1 role and finishes as the top rookie WR. - OC Kellen Moore and Dak Prescott continue to develop together, and with the addition of CeeDee Lamb, Dak dominates another season and finishes as the overall QB1. - Guice finally remains healthy and behind a stout Redskins defense, finishes as a top 10 RB. - Devonta Freeman signs with the Eagles just before the season starts. Miles Sanders is placed in a RBBC and finishes outside the top 15 RBs. - Tyrod Taylor struggles and does not dump off to his RBs anywhere near as much as Phillip Rivers. Chargers take a RBBC approach and Austin Ekeler also finishes outside the top 15 RBs. - Stefon Diggs helps elevate Josh Allen to a top 5 QB but actually struggles to become to the WR1. John Brown and Allen's chemistry leads Brown to a 1200/7 finish. - With a huge vacuum of targets, Brandin Cooks remains healthy and has his best year yet, posting 1250/8
  6. I don’t see any problem with drafting both Chubb and Hunt other than losing that roster spot. For the first 10 weeks you should have a top RB and if Chubb goes down then u have a golden handcuff. Hunt’s getting drafted right around other handcuffs/lottery tickets like Latavius Murray, Miles Sanders, Darrell Henderson and Rashaad Penny. If I go Chubb I’d rather lock up that Browns backfield then take one of those guys
  7. ^doubt the defenses change much if Tyreek ends up playing but I could definitely see his efficiency decreasing if given a full season workload
  8. @ajs723 Obviously those 3 guys are better RBs than Williams, but Reid has shown through all his years that he prefers to have 1 main RB (and whoever that RB is SCORES POINTS). Even with how average Ware is he still received 214 carries and 42 targets as the main RB in 2016. In 2018, with a better RB/QB combo in Hunt/Mahomes and some other great offensive pieces, Hunt was on pace for 263 carries and 50.88 targets (he had 63 targets in 2017). Re-looking at my projections, You were right, I definitely had Williams reception count, receiving TDs and yardage waaay too high. But I do think he will be targeted slightly more than both Ware and Hunt have been in previous seasons based off his usage at the end of last year (think ~70 targets) and not get beat out by Hyde or others for the main carries (though they will still take SOME away). Readjusted my rankings and lowered D. Williams to be projected at: 163 carries, 831 rushing yards / 6 TD, 53 receptions, 474 receiving yards / 4 TDs. In standard scoring this places him as my RB#17, below Marlon Mack + Derrick Henry but above Josh Jacobs + Kerryon Johnson. So good looks on the back end RB2 projection, I'm just a little bit higher on Williams but still think he's being over drafted. As for Lindsay, I don't think they are going to drop Booker as hard as you think but it's not a big deal. I don't want any part of that backfield/RRBC Thanks for the insight!
  9. here's a tweet showing Andy Reid's RB1 averages since 2004. Andy Reid RB1 per game basis: 15.1 rushes, 70.3 rushing yards, 0.5 rushing TD, 4.2 receptions, 36.5 receiving yards, 0.3 receiving TD My Damien Williams per game projection: 10.2 rushes, 51.9 rushing yards, 0.56 rushing TD, 4.25 receptions, 39.9 receiving yards, 0.25 receiving TD So i actually did take into account Carlos Hyde and took away some carries and rushing yards from Reid's average. I agree that there are a lot of backs they brought in but until we hear any news or scouting reports that say Williams is struggling I'm sticking with him as the main RB1 and giving him the TDs. As for Lindsay and Royce, I don't think a 190 pound running back will be able to carry a full season workload + Freeman was dealing with an ankle injury throughout the mid season. I expect the splits to be more even for 2019.
  10. Cause I'm bored as shiiiit, love fantasy football and sit on a computer at work all day lol. It helps me see what different draft combinations would be better based off my point projections.
  11. @ajs723 Aaron Jones averaged 3.1 receptions when he was the main ball carrier weeks 8-14 (projected for 49.6 receptions / 16 games). Phillip Lindsay had 35 receptions in 15 games last year. I think both are going to be more in an RRBC than people expect. Lindsay will still be the main pass-catching back so I kept him around the same receptions but lowered his carries. I think Jamal Williams and Aaron Jones will both get equal looks and thus hurt each other's value barring injury (but he is still really efficient). Damien Williams averaged 4.3 receptions per game weeks 13-20 when he was the only RB (68 receptions / 16 game pace). That's right where I have him at in the rankings.
  12. Alright updated list and I'll stop blowing up this thread. Took into account everything you guys said and realized I went a little bit yardage and TD crazy on some guys. I still think there will be more passing to RBs this year and a larger amount of high-scoring RBs available compared to previous years. Have at it Player Tier Games Carries Rushings yds Rushing TD Receptions Receiving yds Receiving TD YPC STD Points Ezekiel Elliot 1 16 330 1551 12 90 544 4 4.70 305.5 Saquon Barkley 1 16 249 1195 11 105 823 5 4.80 297.8 Alvin Kamara 1 16 201 930 12 103 843 6 4.63 285.3 Christian McAffrey 1 16 225 1102 10 96 777 6 4.90 283.9 David Johnson 2 16 269 1182 8 85 833 4 4.39 273.5 Le'veon Bell 2 16 301 1178 9 81 688 4 3.91 264.6 James Connor 2 16 264 1188 12 67 563 2 4.50 259.1 Todd Gurley 3 13 231 1131 11 53 445 4 4.90 247.6 Dalvin Cook 3 16 241 1181 8 62 527 4 4.90 242.8 Leonard Fournette 3 15 301 1324 10 46 377 2 4.40 242.1 Melvin Gordon 3 15 263 1131 10 54 448 4 4.30 241.9 Joe Mixon 3 16 262 1257 9 56 425 2 4.80 234.2 Damien Williams 4 16 163 831 8 68 639 4 5.10 219 Nick Chubb 4 16 233 1211 10 36 266 1 5.20 213.7 Devonta Freeman 4 15 210 1008 9 59 462 2 4.80 213 Marlon Mack 4 16 260 1222 10 28 182 1 4.70 206.4 Derrick Henry 5 16 294 1264 9 24 149 0 4.30 195.3 Josh Jacobs 5 16 215 935 7 42 352 1 4.35 176.7 Kerryon Johnson 5 16 193 968 6 48 340 1 5.02 172.8 Aaron Jones 5 16 171 906 8 34 268 1 5.30 171.4 Mark Ingram 5 16 196 1014 7 29 218 1 5.17 171.2 Lamar Miller 5 16 227 935 6 39 316 1 4.12 167.1 Sony Michel 6 16 222 947 9 15 61 0 4.27 154.8 Phillip Lindsay 6 15 162 794 7 34 245 1 4.90 151.9 Tarik Cohen 6 16 95 423 2 64 619 5 4.45 146.2 Derrius Guice 6 14 177 814 5 29 267 1 4.60 144.1 Chris Carson 6 16 166 813 6 26 205 0 4.90 137.8
  13. 1. I think Lev will get the usage of 300 carries just so Gase can get the most out of his money. Not worried about his football shape, just the Jets O-line (I'm changing his rushing so he's more like 1100-1200 yards and a 3.9 ypc). I think the bad o-line will actually help Bell get more passes so I kept that around his average. 2. Going back through and checking that out. Thanks for the feedback I'm just trying to get accurate projections 3. I looked at their season averages and how those have changed/remained the same from the situations they are in now. Then adjusted for the YPC I thought they would get around, TD regression/progression, increase/decrease in volume, better offense, etc. and looked at the same stuff with receiving. @Farfromhome- Good looks I'll check it out. Obviously, this is projected that every RB plays mostly 16 games, which never occurs and will increase the total amount of RBs that actually finish as projected.
  14. Predict he'll be a mid-WR2 that goes later in drafts. Especially if Cam can get healthy and throw more than 15+ yards.