FlashGordon401

2018 Strength of Schedule Discussion

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SoS is an important tool to factor into sit/start decisions as well as evaluating players' situations before the draft.

 

Using Scout Fantasy Sports' SoS matrix for weeks 1-16, these are the top 5 easiest strengths of schedule in order for respective positions:

 

QB: BUF, SEA, LAC, DAL, MIA - (McCarron, Wilson, Rivers, Prescott, Tannehill)

RB: MIN, CLE, NE, DEN, CAR - (Cook, Chubb/Hyde/Johnson, who knows, Freeman/Booker, McCaffrey/CJA)

WR: ATL, CAR, MIA, BUF, ARI - (Julio, Funchess, Parker/Stills, Benjamin, Fitz/DJ)

TE: LAC, KC, OAK, DEN, TEN - (no idea, Kelce, Walford?, Butt, Walker)

D/ST: CIN, BAL, TEN, JAX, IND

 

Top 5 most difficult:

 

QB: GB, CLE, DET, IND, CIN - (Rodgers, Taylor, Stafford, Luck, Dalton)

RB: WAS, LAR, SF, GB, NYG - (Guice/Perine, Gurley, McKinnon, Jones/Williams, Barkley)

WR: IND, CLE, CIN, BAL, TEN - (Hilton, Gordon/Landry, Green, Crabtree, Davis/Matthews)

TE: ATL, GB, CAR, CHI, DET - (Hooper, Graham, Olsen, Burton, Ebron)

D/ST: WAS, MIA, DEN, BUF, DAL

 

Couple points I noticed from this list:

- GB has a brutal schedule this season

- Rivers and the Chargers' passing attack should feast

 

Reference: https://fftoolbox.scoutfantasysports.com/football/strength_of_schedule.cfm?type=d&sortby=DEF

 

Edited by FlashGordon401

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13 minutes ago, FlashGordon401 said:

SoS is an important tool to factor into sit/start decisions as well as evaluating players' situations before the draft.

 

Using Scout Fantasy Sports' SoS matrix for weeks 1-16, these are the top 5 easiest strengths of schedule in order for respective positions:

 

QB: BUF, SEA, LAC, DAL, MIA - (McCarron, Wilson, Rivers, Prescott, Tannehill)

RB: MIN, CLE, NE, DEN, CAR - (Cook, Chubb/Hyde/Johnson, who knows, Freeman/Booker, McCaffrey/CJA)

WR: ATL, CAR, MIA, BUF, ARI - (Julio, Funchess, Parker/Stills, Benjamin, Fitz/DJ)

TE: LAC, KC, OAK, DEN, TEN - (no idea, Kelce, Walford?, Butt, Walker)

D/ST: CIN, BAL, TEN, JAX, IND

 

Top 5 most difficult:

 

QB: GB, CLE, DET, IND, CIN - (Rodgers, Taylor, Stafford, Luck, Dalton)

RB: WAS, LAR, SF, GB, NYG - (Guice/Perine, Gurley, McKinnon, Jones/Williams, Barkley)

WR: IND, CLE, CIN, BAL, TEN - (Hilton, Gordon/Landry, Green, Crabtree, Davis/Matthews)

TE: ATL, GB, CAR, CHI, DET - (Hooper, Graham, Olsen, Burton, Ebron)

D/ST: WAS, MIA, DEN, BUF, DAL

 

Couple points I noticed from this list:

- GB has a brutal schedule this season

- Rivers and the Chargers' passing attack should feast

 

Reference: https://fftoolbox.scoutfantasysports.com/football/strength_of_schedule.cfm?type=d&sortby=DEF

 

 

This is if every defense in the NFL remains static from last year to this year.

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Just now, Axe Elf said:

 

This is if every defense in the NFL remains static from last year to this year.

True, I should have prefaced that in the post.

 

Still something to consider though.

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for what it worth, this is Dave Richard's SOS based on how he's projecting teams this year (not solely on last season's results)

 

image.png.c4501164feefdb353d238810fb749343.png

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4 minutes ago, K197040 said:

for what it worth, this is Dave Richard's SOS based on how he's projecting teams this year (not solely on last season's results)

 

image.png.c4501164feefdb353d238810fb749343.png

 

Wow, San Francisco 29th overall and 28/27 vs run/pass?

 

Granted, they started slow last year, but in Weeks 13-17 they were in the top half of the league... and then they went and got Richard Sherman.


I think San Fran will at least be around the top 10 Ds this season.

 

And I guess Kansas City is 32nd??

 

Edited by Axe Elf

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I quit using SoS when deciding on who to draft.  I found that it never really matter all that much.

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4 minutes ago, Hawkeye21 said:

I quit using SoS when deciding on who to draft.  I found that it never really matter all that much.

 

Same. Told myself I would stop last year than started streaming DST vs. the Rams to start the season. It didn't go to well.

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I don’t think it’s completely useless. If I’m completely on the fence between two players, it can sway me. I think it matters more for RBs. Some defenses are WR friendly overall, but have a shut down CB who takes away the opposing team’s WR1 and the rest of the WRs feast

Edited by FinsUp24
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3 hours ago, Axe Elf said:

 

Wow, San Francisco 29th overall and 28/27 vs run/pass?

 

Granted, they started slow last year, but in Weeks 13-17 they were in the top half of the league... and then they went and got Richard Sherman.


I think San Fran will at least be around the top 10 Ds this season.

 

And I guess Kansas City is 32nd??

 

 

 

No...you’re looking at it wrong.  SF has the 29th toughest schedule.  

 

Looks like my paste was cut off...KC with 32 toughest schedule.

 

 

 

 

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Cornerback matchups is always something good to look at for WR's.  Other than that please don't look at SOS as a factor in who you decide to draft.

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It has been very good at weeding out the top tier QBs the past few years.

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5 hours ago, Hawkeye21 said:

I quit using SoS when deciding on who to draft.  I found that it never really matter all that much.

 

Agreed. I see strength of schedule as one factor out of many, something we can use to structure the active roster and bench more towards mid-season, because by then the strengths of the defenses are clearer, as are the weaknesses in the offenses. But for drafting purposes I have yet to find S-o-S an efficient metric. 

 

Still, we’ll have to hear about it for the next two months.

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2 hours ago, K197040 said:

No...you’re looking at it wrong.  SF has the 29th toughest schedule.  

 

Looks like my paste was cut off...KC with 32 toughest schedule.

 

Oh, ok, that makes more sense.

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2 hours ago, RMJ_12 said:

Cornerback matchups is always something good to look at for WR's.  Other than that please don't look at SOS as a factor in who you decide to draft.

 

Yeah...I agree with this.  And taking that further, if the opposition has one shut down corner, it often benefits a solid #2 like JuJu with higher than avg targets. 

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