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Juan Soto 2019 Outlook

tonycpsu

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tonycpsu

[Thread for previous season automatically locked. Feel free to post a new thread for 2020.]

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I'm proud to start this one off. 

 

Juan Soto caught all of us by surprised and blessed Rotoworld Forums readers with a great fantasy baseball season, especially with you play OBP (I don't). First it started with Victor Robles getting hurt and then Howie Kendrick and a subpar performance by Michael Taylor to get a surprise promotion of the phenom after only 8 games in AA. 

 

To give you an idea how crazy this was for all of us on the forums to see this. Soto has never played over 45 games in a single minor league system. All of a sudden he gets called up and plays 116 games at the show. He then blessed us with amazing line drives. Tons of walks. Multi-home run games and my favorite, the opposite field home run from a lefty. 

 

Juan Soto hit: 77 Runs 25 Doubles 22 Home Runs 70 RBI with 79 walks to 99 strikeouts and add 5 stolen bases while batting .292 

 

OH and as a NINETEEN year old 

 

I am really curious to see what weight Soto reports as a 20-year-old and if Harper resigns with Washington or not. If he doesn't, then all of a sudden there may be a big opportunity for Soto and Rendon to take over his batting order and counting stat opportunities. 

 

Here are his current projections: 

 

Fangraphs 152 games 91 runs 28 home runs 93 RBI 7 SB with a .291 AVG

Steamer has 148 games 88 runs 28 home runs 90 RBI 7 SB with a .291 AVG

 

I have to say, I am loving the Home Run projection. He is easily a keeper for me although he has less value in a Standard league, but I think he will evolve into a great 4 category player with consistent average, runs, RBIs and power. 

 

 

 

 

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For a 19 year old rookie to have the 6th best walk rate in baseball is just mind blowing to me. 16% BB : 20 % K rate. And a swinging K rate of 7.7% too. Just phenomenal knowledge of the strike zone. I'm jealous of those who have him in Dynasty formats. Hyperbole alert : but he could end up being this generation's Ted Williams. 

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Flying pretty low under the radar.  Think it might be last chance to get him this low....

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3 minutes ago, herschel said:

Flying pretty low under the radar.  Think it might be last chance to get him this low....

 

How is a late 2nd/early 3rd rounder "flying under the radar"? That's a steep price.

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In keeper/dynasty leagues he's firmly entrenched as a key piece on most teams. I tried to trade for him and the other owner said he wasn't for sale.

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I was hoping he would slip to the middle of the 3rd in my standard 12 team redrafts

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1 hour ago, Phreedom32 said:

Took him 21 overall in 12 man OBP. All aboard

 

That’s a steal in OBP. That type of setup should have him in rd 1.

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14 hours ago, jimbo504 said:

 

How is a late 2nd/early 3rd rounder "flying under the radar"? That's a steep price.

It’s a given that a group of players currently not taken in the first round will be in the first round next year.  I think Soto is one of the leading candidates in that category.  Also, considering the success he had last season, I would have thought there would have been more hype on him (when I posted, there were only 4 posts in this forum).

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14 hours ago, Phreedom32 said:

Took him 21 overall in 12 man OBP. All aboard

I'm having a hard time taking him that early. OBP 14 man. Big gamble with so many "sure things" available. 

/I want to believe

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Kind of amazed at how little chatter there is about him this year.  He’s raking in spring training, he’s gonna be hitting 4th behind Eaton, turner and Rendon and he’s seen nearly a full season of mlb pitching. Why would anyone think he’s not gonna just get better and better?  

You can think pitchers are gonna adjust, but that already happened, they threw him more breaking stuff and he dipped in August, but then adjusted back in september and had as good a month as any with more hrs than any other.

 

Mark me down for a .300/.420/.550 line with 35 hrs and 90r/110rbi(oh and 5-10 sbs)  No, I’m not crazy and yes those are MVP numbers.  That’s actually worse than his overall numbers were last year between minors and mlb in 155 games. Don’t be scared to take this guy in redrafts in the 2nd round if redrafts, he is that good.  

 

 

 

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Got him 14th overall in a keeper league.  Have only seen and heard great things.  Things mentioned was his amazing plate discipline, very professional hitter for his age, high walk rate.  Compared to some greats, won't steal really but could be a monster 4-cat like Pujols.  

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Hitting like a** and striking out a ton and I’m not liking it.

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Trea Turner injury drops him a tier at least.  This lineup now isn’t very good at all.  And he’s going through adjustment phase.  He’ll have to go ape**** to make up for lack of talent around him now, and I don’t know if he’s capable of that at this point in his career.  Could be a strong swift sell in redraft.

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9 minutes ago, Cmilne23 said:

Trea Turner injury drops him a tier at least.  This lineup now isn’t very good at all.  And he’s going through adjustment phase.  He’ll have to go ape**** to make up for lack of talent around him now, and I don’t know if he’s capable of that at this point in his career.  Could be a strong swift sell in redraft.

Yeah.  Un-good.

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Would you guys relax...

This just means Robles comes out of the ridiculous 9 hole to bat leadoff or 2nd. Robles has a Minor League career .390ish OBP.

Edited by KingJoffrey
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1 hour ago, KingJoffrey said:

Would you guys relax...

This just means Robles comes out of the ridiculous 9 hole to bat leadoff or 2nd. Robles has a Minor League career .390ish OBP.

Jimenez in minors had .600 sluggings and can’t make contact.  Some raw rookie isn’t going to save this lineup.  This lineup is very mediocre and going to be very boring for counting stats.  Soto at this point unless he can carry the team on his back is in a very bad situation.  

Edited by Cmilne23

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2 minutes ago, Cmilne23 said:

Jimenez in minors had .600 sluggings and can’t make contact.  Some raw rookie isn’t going to save this lineup.  This lineup is very mediocre and going to be very boring for counting stats.  Soto at this point unless he can carry the team on his back is in a very bad situation.  

 

You are forgetting about Rendon

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6 minutes ago, KingJoffrey said:

 

You are forgetting about Rendon

They have 2 good bats.  This lineup from last year with Trea out has lost him, Harper and Murphy.  2 ultimate professional sticks, and the best base stealer in mlb.  And they’ve replaced them with a raw rookie, and nothing.  This lineup as is, is a bottom 15 lineup in Major League Baseball.  I don’t see any positive spin here for Juan.  

Edited by Cmilne23

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Hes still seeing the zone. Some questionable balls by the umps yesterday. Not worried at all. This is a good test for him. 

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