Mr2Saint

David Montgomery 2019 Outlook

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26 minutes ago, JediMasters said:

Was dropped in my 12 team .5 PPR league and I picked him up.  I'm here to join the misery.

 

That's kinda ridiculous.  There's no way there was a pickup worth dropping him for in a 12 team, nor can I imagine him being someone's best drop.

 

Nice (free) buy-low.

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3 minutes ago, Trifecta said:

 

That's kinda ridiculous.  There's no way there was a pickup worth dropping him for in a 12 team, nor can I imagine him being someone's best drop.

 

Nice (free) buy-low.

Arguably the biggest "bust" in fantasy 2019.

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38 minutes ago, mjb said:

Arguably the biggest "bust" in fantasy 2019.

Depends where you got him... And more importantly, where you need him.

For @Trifecta who you replied to, he got him free. Presumably that suggests he's not relying on DMont to be his RB1 or RB2. It's pretty much impossible to bust if you're a WW pickup, right? 

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6 minutes ago, dontclapGonorrhea said:

Davante Adams

Joe Mixon

Brandon Cooks

Would say he is top 10, but not the biggest.

Oj Howard, Juju, Baker

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55 minutes ago, dontclapGonorrhea said:

Davante Adams

Joe Mixon

Brandon Cooks

Would say he is top 10, but not the biggest.

 

48 minutes ago, larfboy said:

Oj Howard, Juju, Baker

 

AB, Damien Williams

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This guy still averaging 9.2 pts half PPR at RB...

Surely there are a lot of busts bigger than that.

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He's averaging around 18 touches a game the last four games and only has two TD's on the year.  It hasn't been pretty but I think you have to ride this out (not drop him) in standard and half PPR.  I am starting him with Conner on bye, but he might have made it in ahead of Robbie Anderson or Hardman at flex even if Conner was playing.  Not too excited about the NO matchup though.

 

That said, I could easily see him with 60 yards and a TD.  

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3 hours ago, JediMasters said:

Was dropped in my 12 team .5 PPR league and I picked him up.  I'm here to join the misery.

Welcome. Glad to have you. Have a seat anywhere. There's plenty of room. 

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5 hours ago, JediMasters said:

Was dropped in my 12 team .5 PPR league and I picked him up.  I'm here to join the misery.

 

Crazy drop.  He's the #27 RB on the year, a high-end RB3.  Playoff schedule looks good.  Offense won't get worse, might get better.

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2 hours ago, pushaZ said:

Mahomes a bigger bust too

Mahomes was on pace for most yards in history lol..

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1 hour ago, mjb said:

Mahomes was on pace for most yards in history lol..

I've never won a championship on pace bro.

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9 hours ago, shakennbakee said:

And this will be the week the Bears beat the Saints and Montgomery goes for 120 and 2 tds 😐

Not a snowballs chance in hell. 

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7 hours ago, this guy right here said:

 

 

AB, Damien Williams

 

Damn I own Montgomery, AB, Damien and OJ. Damien and OJ in one league lol. Montgomery bust due to the hype but we also knew the risk with Nagy. 

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5 hours ago, brosephd said:

 

Damn I own Montgomery, AB, Damien and OJ. Damien and OJ in one league lol. Montgomery bust due to the hype but we also knew the risk with Nagy. 

Absolutely. Plus, he went in the 3rd, to most likely 4th round so the expectation isn't as high as the people listed who were mostly taken earlier.

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17 hours ago, mjb said:

Arguably the biggest "bust" in fantasy 2019.

Not even in the discussion for biggest bust in fantasy unless you took him in the 2nd round, in which case, your fault.  Someone above me said he's the RB27 and he was drafted as the RB21 according to fantasypros ADP.  Disappointing?  Yes.  Biggest bust?  Not even close.

He's a low-end TD dependent RB2, but he will be getting volume and that counts for something.  As a pure running back, he's slightly above average imo.  The problem has been Nagy and the O line.  The Nagy situation is unlikely to improve, but maybe the OL takes a step forward with Long on IR.  I'm rolling him out there out of bye week necessity this week and it's fine.  Should be at least a decent floor play and always has the chance to punch one in.

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He is exactly the same as Jordan Howard last year. Overdrafted due to hype. Feels like a complete dud in your lineup/bench putting up weekly RB3-ish numbers. But season-long ranking won’t be too far off from where he was drafted if he plays 16 games.

Edited by gufomel
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This is really the time to get him, and buy low:

I'm gonna ignore game 1 because he was a rookie and it was his first NFL game.  He only had 6 rushes.

Data below is purely for Standard, not PPR.

Looking at games 2-5, check out the ranking of the team vs RBs and his carries:

Weeks:

2: Den (14th) - 19 touches

3. Was (9th) - 16 touches

4. Min (27th) - 24 touches

5. Oak (25th) - 12 touches

----------------

7. NO (28th) - probably 10-20 touches

8. LAC (9th)

9. PHI (29th)

10. DET (3rd)

11. LAR (10th)

12. NYG (11th)

13. DET (3rd)

14. Dal (12th)

15. GB (4th)

16. KC (6th)

 

After this week, he's gonna be going off.  Get him now while you can.

 

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13 minutes ago, Vivens26 said:

I’m starting him this week. Anybody doing the same?

 

benching him for jordan howard. but its a tough decision im keeping going back and forth

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Of course there's Nagy, but what's most annoying to me is that the more carries he gets, the worse he looks.  

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