Jump to content
Rotoworld.com Forums

Blake Snell 2020 Outlook


Recommended Posts

Can he stay healthy and put up 180 + IP?  Does he return to his 2018 level of dominance. Snell could be a relative bargain at the right draft spot, or if he misses time he could be a bust.  Someone likely to effect the outcome of leagues next year.

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • tonycpsu changed the title to Blake Snell 2020 Outlook
  • Replies 149
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

Popular Posts

That’s all true. But Blake pulled the “we’re risking our lives!” If that’s the case, you don’t play, period. But he won’t risk his life for some money, but more money will make it ok? Come on. His mot

You mean like those outings last year before he ended up needing elbow surgery? You might remember me as the harbinger of doom from such threads as Chris Sale 2020 Outlook and Luis Severino 2020 Outlo

"on top of a 33% cut of the half that's already there -- so I'm really getting, like, 25%."   What's he talking about with the 33%?  This was right after he said he shouldn't only get paid half becaus

Posted Images

1 hour ago, hockeyfan77 said:

Same here....Think he has a BIG bounce back year

 

3 hours ago, jfazz23 said:

im all over him this year.  its why i wont be taking an SP in the first 2 rounds at least

 

Unfortunately I believe a lot of other owners including myself will be thinking this way.  

I thought for sure in mock drafts he would be going after round 5. In these two he went at #29 and #39.  I am not sure the value is there.  

 

https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/2020-fantasy-baseball-draft-prep-early-h2h-mock-places-heavy-emphasis-on-pitching/

 

https://www.cbssports.com/fantasy/baseball/news/fantasy-baseball-first-rotisserie-mock-draft-shows-rising-value-of-juan-soto-ronald-acuna/

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites

His strikeout rate is salivating. He has a legitimate shot at 300 if he can have a fully healthy season. His ADP on Fantrax is 43 as of now, which seems fair. He has the same if not better upside of any pitchers going in rounds 2-3 ahead of him. I will gladly take a chance. He got a bit unlucky with ERA last year, his FIP still sat at a respectable 3.32. I think he will be a popular pick at the 3/4 turn in drafts and it is justified.

  • Like 1
Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, kwolf68 said:

Health is the only issue, his injuries have been nagging, didn't he injure himself doing maintenance on a toilet or something? Put the kid in a bubble and let him slay.

 

He was moving something made of marble (i think) in his bathroom after taking a shower. I remember reading the story and being like wtf Blake....

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • 3 weeks later...

2018 left shoulder fatigue

2019 surgery to remove loose debris from his left elbow

Can he pitch a full season in 2020 (200IP)? There's no denying he's one of the nastiest pitchers in baseball, if not THE nastiest

Link to post
Share on other sites
3 hours ago, mcdowellstl said:

No doubt his stuff is filthy, but yeah- durability is a concern. Hard for me to take Snell over Clev, Flaherty, and Stras.


Same.  As much as I like him I might have to pass.

 

 

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • 5 weeks later...

Damn Yahoo updated their auction values for Snell unfortunately. They raised him a few dollars so now the bots bid him up to around $30+ in auctions compared to the $26 he was going for before.

In some drafts you could of stabbed him for $24, now it's going to be difficult to get him for less than $29 basically pricing me out on Snell. Very unfortunate and I'm not sure what causes the industry to be so high on Snell this year after a downer last year.

Link to post
Share on other sites
33 minutes ago, CrypTviLL said:

Damn Yahoo updated their auction values for Snell unfortunately. They raised him a few dollars so now the bots bid him up to around $30+ in auctions compared to the $26 he was going for before.

In some drafts you could of stabbed him for $24, now it's going to be difficult to get him for less than $29 basically pricing me out on Snell. Very unfortunate and I'm not sure what causes the industry to be so high on Snell this year after a downer last year.

 

Clevinger's injury might be increasing the demand for Snell.

Link to post
Share on other sites

I think most people, myself included, are writing off last season as a total fluke. All of his underlying numbers say he got unlucky. His FIP (3.32), xFIP (3.31), and SIERRA (3.56) were all way better than his ERA (4.29) and more in line with what he did in 2018 (FIP - 2.95 / xFIP - 3.16 / SIERRA - 3.30 / ERA - 1.89), although he outperformed those metrics a bit.

His K-BB%, SwStr%, and O-Swing% were all better than his 2018 numbers. Also, his contact rate decreased last year so it's clear he still has elite deception in his stuff. The only thing that jumped out at me was the HR/FB number jumping up to 15.4% which is nearly 5% higher than his career average. However, nothing in his batted ball profile changed from 2018 enough to indicate there is an issue. He actually decreased his hard hit percentage and his FB% but somehow the HR/FB ratio jumped. 

He's got the stuff to be a top 5 fantasy pitcher this year.

Link to post
Share on other sites
  • 2 weeks later...

[...]

 
(5 hrs ago) Snell felt some discomfort in his elbow after Wednesday's start and received a cortisone shot Friday, Josh Tolentino of The Athletic reports.

The Rays are reportedly not overly concerned, and Snell is already scheduled to play catch Tuesday and throw a bullpen session Friday, so he won't be shut down for long. Manager Kevin Cash noted that the shot was in the lefty's outer elbow, not near the tendon, which would be a considerably more concerning area. Still, it's hard not to worry about elbow issues popping up early in camp for a pitcher who missed two months for elbow surgery last season. Whether or not Snell is expected to miss time at the start of the regular season should become clear over the next week as he resumes throwing.

Edited by tonycpsu
Removed Cool Story
Link to post
Share on other sites

If I drafted tomorrow I wouldn’t take him that high.  But Rays are ultra aggressive with putting guys under the knife any chance they get.  If they aren’t overly concerned that’s likely a good sign.  This is one team that’s overly proactive in just getting things over with when needed.  

Edited by Cmilne23
  • Like 3
Link to post
Share on other sites

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr"><a href="https://twitter.com/hashtag/Rays?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">#Rays</a> Snell, on his elbow issue: <a href="https://t.co/tbk0EBtNQN">pic.twitter.com/tbk0EBtNQN</a></p>&mdash; Marc Topkin (@TBTimes_Rays) <a href="https://twitter.com/TBTimes_Rays/status/1234160623279312899?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">March 1, 2020</a></blockquote> <script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>
 

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.


×
×
  • Create New...